Stablecoins outpace Visa and Mastercard: $33T in 2025, $50T target

Stablecoins are processing more money than Visa and Mastercard combined, according to Morph’s “State of Stablecoins” report. Stablecoins settled $33 trillion on-chain in 2025, versus $25.5 trillion handled by Visa and Mastercard together. The data highlights growing institutional use. About 60% of stablecoin flows are now business-to-business, driven by corporates using dollar tokens for cross-border treasury, supplier payments and procurement. Separately, the report says around 90% of financial institutions are already using or piloting stablecoins. Volume momentum is also accelerating. The report notes several months in 2025 where stablecoins cleared above $1.5 trillion monthly, putting tokenized settlement capacity in the same range as major card networks. Looking ahead, Morph projects stablecoin settlement could exceed $50 trillion annually as early as 2026. By 2030, it forecasts stablecoins could represent roughly 10% of global cross-border payments, supported by lower fees, instant settlement, and clearer regulation under frameworks such as the EU’s MiCA and new U.S. stablecoin rules. The report also argues that AI agents may become key transaction initiators, automating high-frequency machine-to-machine payments across supply chains. Under this scenario, stablecoins could support a $1.9 trillion market by 2030. For traders, the message is that stablecoins are shifting from a speculative theme to core market infrastructure—volume growth and enterprise adoption may reduce liquidity risk while increasing on-chain dollar demand.
Bullish
这篇报道的关键利好在于:稳定币(stablecoins)结算规模持续“放大”,并且已经达到与传统支付网络相当的量级。Morph给出的数据——2025年链上结算3.3万亿美元,超过Visa+万卡合计2.55万亿美元——意味着链上美元在真实商业流程中的渗透在加速。这通常会被市场视为“底层流动性增强”的信号,从而对风险资产情绪形成支撑。 短期来看,稳定币结算量的上升往往意味着交易对手方用USDT/USDC等方式更频繁地完成跨境与企业付款,可能带来更稳定的交易所/场外流动性,降低极端波动发生概率。若市场此前担忧流动性或跨境通道受限,这类数据更容易触发资金回流风险资产。 长期来看,报告预测稳定币年度结算可能在2026年超过5万亿美元,并到2030年覆盖约10%的全球跨境支付。这类“基础设施级别”的增长,类似于过去在监管明确、机构参与度提升时(例如部分合规交易所扩张、机构托管与结算工具落地)市场对加密资产的估值往往更愿意给出溢价。 主要风险在于:稳定币仍面临发行方信用、合规节奏与监管执行强度的不确定性。但即便考虑这些因素,这篇文章强调的事实(stablecoins吞吐与企业采用上升)总体更偏利好,因此对市场倾向看涨。