Standard Chartered Forecasts ARB at $10 by 2030
Standard Chartered has begun coverage of Arbitrum and forecasts the ARB price could reach $10 by the end of 2030. The bank used a reference price of $0.14, while ARB was trading near $0.21 in the latest assessment. Its annual targets are $0.50 for 2026, $1.50 for 2027, $3.50 for 2028 and $6.50 for 2029.
The bullish ARB price forecast reflects a shift in Arbitrum’s role from a fee-focused Layer 2 competing with Optimism and Base to blockchain infrastructure for financial institutions, tokenised assets and decentralised finance. Standard Chartered expects the tokenised-asset market to expand from about $34 billion to $4 trillion by the end of 2028, with tokenised equities potentially reaching $750 billion.
Arbitrum’s monthly revenue is expected to reach $5 million in September, more than five times its pre-launch level following Robinhood Chain’s mainnet launch on 1 July. Robinhood Chain uses Arbitrum technology and focuses on tokenised assets and DeFi. Under the Arbitrum Expansion Program, qualifying networks return 10% of protocol net revenue to the ecosystem, with 8% allocated to the ArbitrumDAO treasury and 2% to the Arbitrum Developer Guild.
However, ARB remains an ERC-20 governance token. It provides voting rights in ArbitrumDAO but does not represent ownership of on-chain assets or direct access to protocol revenue. Arbitrum revenue currently accrues to the DAO treasury, with no formal buyback or burn plan. Risks include slower tokenisation growth, competition from rival blockchains, falling fees on expansion-program networks and scheduled token releases, including about 92.6 million ARB previously set for release on 16 September. The forecast may support short-term sentiment, but sustained ARB repricing depends on stronger value capture and reduced dilution.
Bullish
The news is bullish for ARB because Standard Chartered’s long-term price targets, including $10 by 2030, could attract speculative buying and improve market sentiment. The reported increase in Arbitrum revenue after Robinhood Chain’s launch also provides a near-term fundamental catalyst. Traders may respond with higher spot demand and increased derivatives activity, particularly if ARB breaks key technical resistance levels.
The longer-term outlook is less certain. ARB is currently a governance token rather than a direct claim on Arbitrum’s revenue, and there is no confirmed buyback or burn mechanism. Revenue is directed to the DAO treasury, while expansion-program income may be vulnerable to falling network fees. Competition from Optimism, Base and other Layer 2 networks, slower real-world-asset tokenisation and scheduled ARB unlocks could limit upside or trigger selling pressure. As a result, the immediate price impact is likely bullish, but sustained gains require stronger token value capture and controlled supply growth.