STRK Rebounds as Network Activity Cools and Unlock Looms

Starknet’s STRK has surged about 210% in four weeks, but fading network activity and fresh token supply are clouding the rally. STRK climbed 122% from October 8 to October 11, reaching $0.1232 as social sentiment and usage rose. Active addresses peaked at 2,823 and 1,166 new wallets joined—about 13 times the recent average. By October 13, active addresses had fallen 63% and new wallets 81%, while STRK had lost nearly 30% from its peak. On October 15, STRK rebounded nearly 25% from a low of $0.0718 to around $0.096, although it remained about 22% lower for the week. The move followed a seven-day, nonbinding governance poll on whether to research an independent, quantum-resistant Layer 1. A yes vote would authorize research only; Starknet has not confirmed a move away from its Ethereum Layer 2 model. If the proposal is rejected, its post-quantum work would continue as an Ethereum Layer 2. About 127 million STRK—nearly 1.7% of circulating supply and worth roughly $12.2 million at the reported price—unlocked on October 15. Monthly releases of up to 127 million tokens to investors and early contributors are scheduled through March 2027. The top 10 holders’ combined balance rose to about 7.09 billion STRK, its highest level since April, which may offer some support. For traders, resistance is near $0.0977 and $0.10; a sustained break could bring $0.1221 into view. Support sits around $0.0732, with the recent low at $0.0718. Liquidation concentrations are clustered near $0.065–$0.070 below price and $0.094–$0.10 overhead. Weekly MACD remained positive, while Stochastic RSI above 90 signalled stretched momentum. STRK’s rebound therefore faces cooling activity, recurring supply and governance uncertainty.
Bearish
The near-term balance of risks for STRK is bearish. The October 15 rebound followed a steep retreat from the October 11 peak, while network indicators weakened sharply: active addresses fell 63% and new-wallet growth dropped 81% by October 13. The 127 million STRK unlock adds immediate potential sell-side supply, and further monthly releases through March 2027 may weigh on market sentiment. Stretched Stochastic RSI readings and resistance around $0.0977–$0.10 could also encourage profit-taking. A break above that zone could improve momentum, while support near $0.0732 and the $0.0718 low are key downside levels. There are offsets. Weekly MACD remained positive, the top 10 holders’ combined balance reached a high not seen since April, and the quantum-resistance proposal may sustain longer-term interest. However, the poll is nonbinding and authorizes research rather than a confirmed strategic shift from Ethereum Layer 2 to Layer 1. Unless network activity recovers and STRK clears resistance, traders may treat the rebound cautiously; recurring unlocks and uncertain follow-through could continue to limit gains and amplify volatility.