TAO Hits Four-Month High as Bittensor Halving Boosts Staking Activity
Bittensor’s token TAO surged to a four-month high on March 25, helped by rising subnet activity and the network’s first halving event. TAO was last around $350, up about 12% on the day, with 24-hour volume near $887.8 million and a 7-day gain of roughly 25%.
Key catalyst: subnet staking expanded sharply. CryptoRank data shows total TAO staked across Bittensor subnets climbed from about $74.4 million to over $620 million in 12 months, alongside subnet count rising from ~80 to more than 120. Several subnet projects posted strong monthly gains, including Templar (+171%), Quasar (+146%), NOVA (+66%), Targon (+36%), and iota (+29%).
Supply dynamics also mattered. CoinGecko links the move to the completion of Bittensor’s first halving, which cut token emissions by half, adding a new supply-side catalyst as traders reassessed TAO issuance.
Notably, most TAO is still outside subnets: a quoted estimate says about 19% is staked in subnets, while around 48% remains in Root. Analysts cited the potential for future capital rotation into subnets if they reach larger value targets.
Market context: TAO was among the better performers in the top 100 by market cap and traded with broad momentum earlier in March, supported by buying pressure and a reported short squeeze. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe pointed to the next resistance area near $500.
Bullish
这是偏看多的消息:TAO 的上涨同时来自“需求侧(子网活动与质押增长)”与“供给侧(首次减半导致发行减少)”两股力量叠加。历史上,类似减半/发行下调事件往往会在短期制造稀缺预期,推动资金重新定价;而当网络使用数据(这里是子网数量、子网质押规模)同步上行时,行情更容易从“叙事驱动”过渡到“基本面驱动”。
短期交易上,文章提到 TAO 已出现显著放量、日内涨幅与七日延续,并且市场关注下一阻力位(~500 美元),这通常意味着动能交易者可能继续追逐突破,同时也要警惕短挤压后的回撤风险。
中长期看,文中强调“只有约 19% TAO 仍在子网质押”,其余资金在 Root,若未来子网规模继续扩大,存在进一步轮动进入子网的可能,这会提升生态内资金沉淀并增强支撑。总体而言,短期情绪偏强,长期取决于子网是否持续吸引更多质押与用户参与。