Polymarket Prediction Markets Signal Strong Bullish Momentum for Bitcoin and Key Altcoins, Anticipate Major Airdrops and ETF Approvals into 2025
Crypto prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi reveal rising bullish sentiment for the cryptocurrency market moving into 2025. Traders on these markets forecast Bitcoin (BTC) reaching new all-time highs, with probabilities of 60% or higher for BTC surpassing $125,000 and Ethereum (ETH) exceeding $5,000. As of May 2025, Polymarket trading activity suggests 87% confidence in BTC crossing $110,000, and strong volumes support targets of $120,000 and $130,000. At present, BTC trades around $103,953, not far below its January 2025 high of $108,786, buoyed by macroeconomic tailwinds such as the recent U.S.-China trade agreement.
Traders are also optimistic for altcoins and ETF launches. Probabilities of U.S. approval for crypto ETFs including XRP, SOL, and LTC range from 51% to 75%, underscoring anticipated mainstream adoption. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and FARTCOIN are among trending tokens, with 62% of Polymarket traders betting on HYPE to hit $28 and 75% expecting FARTCOIN to reach $1.50 before June 2025. Polymarket users are closely monitoring Q2 2025 airdrop candidates like Linea (leading with 40% support), Ethereum wallet Rainbow, and meme coin platform Pump.fun.
In U.S. political forecasts, Kalshi traders assign a 59% probability that Donald Trump, if elected, might create a national Bitcoin reserve, reflecting expectations for crypto-friendly regulation. In contrast, CME futures markets project a more cautious price rise, estimating BTC at $98,000 and ETH at $3,500 for Q1 2025 delivery. Nonetheless, prediction markets have a record of outperforming traditional financial forecasts in event prediction.
For crypto traders, these signals underline broadly bullish forecasts for Bitcoin, select altcoins, and upcoming airdrop events in 2025. The combined influence of trader optimism, regulatory developments, ETF potential, and anticipated airdrops could drive ongoing market momentum and shape trading strategies in both the short and long term.
Bullish
Both summaries highlight robust bullish sentiment for Bitcoin and select altcoins on prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. High trader confidence in significant price gains, strong bets on major airdrop events, and anticipation of favorable regulatory developments such as ETF approvals indicate upward pressure on market prices. While traditional futures markets present more conservative forecasts, the weight of prediction market sentiment—bolstered by their historic accuracy and large trading volumes—suggests a constructive environment for price appreciation. This optimism, combined with potential regulatory tailwinds and increased mainstream adoption, is likely to fuel short-term momentum and set a positive tone for the longer-term crypto market outlook.