Toncoin Price Stalls Despite AlphaTON’s $100M Treasury Bet

AlphaTON Capital has deployed a $100 million Toncoin treasury, aiming to generate revenue through staking and validation while supporting DeFi protocols and gaming on the TON blockchain. Despite this, Toncoin’s price remains flat, trading around $3.14 and down over 54% from its December 2024 peak. Another Nasdaq-listed firm, Ton Strategy Company, holds $713 million in Toncoin, underscoring growing institutional interest akin to Bitcoin’s corporate treasury trend. Yet retail demand has yet to follow through. Toncoin’s long-term outlook hinges on its integration with Telegram, which reached over one billion monthly users and rolled out TON wallets in the U.S. in July 2025. Developers are building mini-apps, gaming and DeFi projects to leverage Telegram’s scale, but TON’s total value locked (TVL) of $193.5 million remains a fraction of Ethereum’s $92 billion and Solana’s $11.2 billion. Technically, Toncoin must hold support at $2.81 and clear resistances at $3.18, $3.39 and $3.60 to challenge a $4 breakout. Failure to defend $2.81 could see a drop toward $2.56. Traders will watch whether institutional treasuries and Telegram-driven adoption can trigger a sustained rally.
Neutral
Despite AlphaTON’s $100 million treasury build and Ton Strategy’s $713 million accumulation, Toncoin price remains range-bound and down over 54% from its peak. Institutional bets mirror Bitcoin’s past narrative but have yet to translate into retail demand or a technical breakout. Telegram integration offers long-term growth potential, yet low TVL and entrenched resistance levels keep immediate sentiment flat. Similar to MicroStrategy’s early Bitcoin purchases, major treasury moves may support future rallies but are not guaranteed catalysts for short-term price spikes. Overall, this news maintains a neutral market outlook.