Trump’s Tax Reform Bill Divides GOP Over SALT Cap, Green Energy Credits, and Medicaid Cuts, Raising Fiscal Policy Uncertainty

President Donald Trump’s latest tax reform bill has sparked significant divisions within the Republican Party, with House Speaker Mike Johnson struggling to forge consensus ahead of a critical House Rules Committee vote. The bill seeks to extend Trump-era tax cuts, boost defense and border security spending, impose deeper Medicaid and food stamp cuts, and hold a comprehensive package covering tax, Medicaid, energy incentives, immigration, and the debt ceiling. Key policy clashes include: conservative demands for tighter Medicaid restrictions, stricter work requirements, and the rollback of President Biden’s green energy tax credits, framed as market distortions. In contrast, GOP moderates from high-tax states like California, New York, and New Jersey insist on raising the controversial $10,000 SALT (state and local tax) deduction cap to $30,000 for individuals earning under $400,000, warning inaction could jeopardize Republican seats in the 2026 midterms. The bill also proposes cutting Medicaid funding for states covering immigrant children and pregnant women. The debate over green energy tax credits further splits the party between states reliant on clean energy investment and those opposed to subsidies. Persistent GOP infighting raises doubts about the bill’s passage and could drive short-term market volatility. For crypto traders, ongoing fiscal uncertainty, potential impacts on US treasury yields, and shifts in risk sentiment are key factors to watch, as these may influence digital asset prices and overall market dynamics.
Neutral
While Trump’s proposed tax overhaul has introduced high legislative uncertainty and is fueling both fiscal policy debate and market volatility, the outcome remains unresolved. For crypto traders, the primary impact is indirect: ongoing intra-GOP disputes over deductions, welfare cuts, and green energy subsidies may affect treasury yields and risk-on sentiment, but the net direction for digital assets is unclear until the bill’s fate and specific fiscal measures are decided. Historically, such US policy wrangling has caused short-term volatility but not consistently bullish or bearish trends for crypto without a clear outcome. Market participants should monitor legislative developments, as any decisive fiscal moves could alter macroeconomic conditions and crypto market direction.