Trust Wallet Adds Native Prediction Markets via Myriad; Polymarket and Kalshi Integrations Incoming
Trust Wallet has launched a native "Predictions" tab inside its self‑custodial mobile wallet, enabling users to trade tokenized outcomes on real‑world events (crypto, politics, sports, culture, macro) directly from the app. The feature debuts using Myriad as the initial integration and will add Polymarket and Kalshi in the coming weeks, with multi‑chain support planned. Markets are aggregated in one interface to reduce platform hopping and may simplify arbitrage and execution for event‑driven trades. Availability will be subject to each prediction market’s regulatory and geographic restrictions (Trust Wallet employs geofencing and platform‑specific limits). The move follows Trust Wallet’s recent tokenized stocks feature and mirrors sector trends of embedding trading tools into wallets (for example, MetaMask’s Polymarket tie‑ups). For traders: expect increased on‑chain order flow and potentially higher liquidity where available, faster execution paths for prediction trades, and the need to watch jurisdictional access limits that could fragment reachable liquidity.
Neutral
The integration is a functional, product‑level enhancement rather than a protocol token event, so it is unlikely to directly drive large price moves for any specific cryptocurrency. For traders, the launch may be bullish for on‑chain prediction market platforms broadly because it centralizes access and could channel more order flow and liquidity into integrated venues — positive for market depth and trading opportunities. However, regulatory and geographic restrictions (geofencing) limit addressable user pools and may fragment liquidity across jurisdictions, muting broader price impact. In the short term, expect increased activity and narrower spreads on accessible markets and potentially arbitrage flows between platforms as Polymarket and Kalshi join. In the medium to long term, embedding prediction markets into a mainstream wallet can gradually raise adoption and sustained on‑chain volume, which is supportive but incremental rather than transformational for token prices tied to these platforms. Overall, product adoption improves utility and trading efficiency (mildly bullish for platform usage) while regulatory limits and the lack of a new token issuance keep immediate price effects muted.