Wyckoff forecast: Bitcoin may dip below $80,000 this week amid Fed-driven volatility
Bitcoin price faces heightened volatility this week, with a Wyckoff-based forecast calling for a ‘spring’ that could push BTC/USDT below $80,000 before February. On Tuesday BTC traded near $88,315 before retracing; short-term indicators showed mixed signals. Material Indicators flagged a Trend Precognition buy signal suggesting a low revisit was unlikely during the US session, while CryptoQuant noted moderate positive daily momentum on Binance but described the market as in a “period of anticipation” rather than a clear breakout. Market attention centers on this week’s US Federal Reserve decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance — events expected to drive volatility and influence rate-cut expectations. Trader-focused takeaway: anticipate short-term downside risk around the Wyckoff spring scenario and prepare for elevated intraday swings tied to macro updates and order-book dynamics.
Bearish
The Wyckoff ‘spring’ forecast explicitly anticipates a significant intra-week swing low below $80,000, which signals downside risk. Mixed on-chain and technical signals — a cautious buy signal from Material Indicators versus only modest positive momentum from CryptoQuant — point to an uncertain market without strong bullish confirmation. Macro catalysts (the Fed rate decision and Powell’s guidance) historically increase intraday volatility and can trigger rapid deleveraging and liquidations in crypto futures markets. Similar events (Fed announcements combined with Wyckoff-style distribution phases) have previously led to sharp short-term declines in BTC price. Therefore, the immediate impact is likely bearish: higher probability of a short-term pullback and amplified volatility. In the medium term, if the hypothesized Wyckoff spring forms and is followed by accumulation, it could set a structural base for later recovery; but until that accumulation is visible, trader exposure should be reduced, stop losses tightened, and event-driven risk managed carefully.