XRP $1 Breakdown: Analysts Flag More Losses, ETF Interest
XRP struggles to hold above the psychologically important $1 level, and analysts warn the next move could be further downside before a durable bottom forms. One forecast from analyst Patel suggests XRP may fall another 20%–40%, keeping a “macro accumulation” zone in the $0.85–$0.65 range. The bearish thesis follows a sharp drop from XRP’s cycle peak, with the token down more than 70% since July 2025.
Technical read-through remains mixed. On the 4-hour chart, the RSI is stabilizing around 42 and has edged above the signal line near 41.8. Price action is described as flat with tighter candles, but bulls still need clear reclaim levels at $1.015, $1.05, and $1.081. A breakout above $1.081 would shift focus to $1.145 and $1.20.
On the downside, traders watch for a decisive break below $1 with follow-through. If that happens, $0.906 and then $0.861 could come back into focus.
Separately, Wall Street ETF activity is a supportive counterpoint. The article notes several major firms holding XRP exchange-traded funds (notably Bitwise’s XRP ETF and other XRP ETF products). Reported holdings include Jane Street Group (over 1.2M shares of the Bitwise XRP ETF), Bank of America (13,260 shares of the Volatility Shares XRP ETF), and disclosures from Morgan Stanley and other asset managers.
In short: XRP technicals lean bearish near $1, but ETF positioning may help cushion volatility if selling pressure eases.
Bearish
The article’s core signal is bearish for XRP near the $1 level. Fundamental-to-technical framing is consistent: XRP failed to hold a major psychological support ($1), and the cited analyst expects additional downside (20%–40%) with a potential accumulation range at $0.85–$0.65. That aligns with common historical patterns where breaks of round-number supports often trigger a “liquidity draw” before any stabilization.
However, RSI stabilization and tighter 4-hour candles suggest downside may not accelerate immediately. The key trader inflection points are clear: reclaiming $1.015/$1.05/$1.081 could flip momentum toward $1.145–$1.20, while a decisive break below $1 with follow-through would likely drag price toward $0.906 and $0.861.
ETF positioning by major institutions is the main counterweight. In similar past cycles, ETF accumulation headlines can reduce forced selling and improve bid depth, but it rarely overrides a fresh technical breakdown in the short term. Net effect: bearish bias for the coming sessions unless XRP regains $1.081; longer-term sentiment could improve if ETF demand helps absorb selling during the proposed accumulation zone.