XRP to Hit $134.5 if XRPL Grabs 20% of Tokenized RWA by 2026
Crypto analyst John Squire released a Google Gemini-based model projecting XRP price if the XRP Ledger (XRPL) captures 20% of the on-chain tokenized real-world asset (RWA) market by 2026. Assuming total RWA reaches $70 billion, a 20% share equals $14 billion locked on XRPL. With the current RWA-to-market-cap ratio of 570.8 (based on $302.4 million in RWA and $172.6 billion XRP market cap), the model forecasts XRP’s market cap hitting $7.99 trillion. Dividing by the 59.41 billion circulating supply yields an estimated price of $134.50 per XRP. Squire emphasizes the projection relies on data-driven extrapolation rather than speculation. Community feedback highlights the need to monitor actual XRPL adoption and on-chain activity to validate the model. While hypothetical, the forecast underscores the potential impact of RWA growth on XRP’s valuation.
Bullish
The data-driven price model implies significant upside for XRP if XRPL secures major share of the tokenized real-world asset market. Similar RWA narratives—such as Ethereum tokenized bonds—have historically fueled speculative buying and positive price momentum. In the short term, this projection is likely to boost XRP trading volume and sentiment as traders position for potential gains. Over the long term, if actual XRPL adoption aligns with the model, genuine demand for XRP could support sustained price growth. However, realization depends on real-world adoption metrics and broader market conditions.