XRP Battles Critical $1.41 200-Week MA — Hold or Drop to Deeper Support?
XRP is testing a critical support at $1.41, which corresponds to the 200-week moving average on the weekly chart. After a sharp pullback from the $3.3–$3.6 distribution zone, XRP fell roughly 30% in one week and is attempting to stabilize around this long-term mean. A weekly close above $1.41 would preserve the bullish super-cycle thesis and cast the recent decline as a healthy correction; a weekly close below it risks invalidating the rising trend and could trigger a deeper correction toward the next demand zones at or below $1.00. Institutional interest continues—weekly ETF inflows were reported at $45 million—and Ripple’s ongoing political visibility (including executive engagement with the White House) and sector developments keep fundamentals under watch. Technically, rallies that fail to reach $2 are treated as reactive; stronger resistance levels lie near $2.4 and $3. Traders should watch weekly closes around $1.41, ETF flow data, and macro news for cues on short-term volatility and longer-term trend direction.
Bearish
The article highlights that XRP is at a make-or-break level: the 200-week moving average at $1.41. Price recently lost ~30% in a week after failing to build a stable structure in the $1.6–$2 range, indicating structural weakness and a speculative prior run-up. Technically, a weekly close below $1.41 would invalidate the rising trend and likely accelerate selling toward lower demand zones (near or below $1.00) to ’complete’ unfinished accumulation. The presence of $45M weekly ETF inflows and political visibility provide some fundamental support, but they are insufficient to offset rapid technical deterioration unless inflows continue steadily and macro conditions improve. Historically, breaches of long-term moving averages (200-week/200-day) tend to produce extended corrective phases as stop-loss cascades and liquidity gaps are filled. Short-term impact: heightened volatility, increased downside risk, and reactive bounces that may fail at resistance levels ($2, $2.4, $3). Long-term impact: if $1.41 holds repeatedly on weekly closes, bullish thesis can be salvaged; if it breaks, multi-month consolidation or decline toward lower support is likely. Traders should prioritize weekly close confirmation, monitor ETF flows and macro headlines, size positions conservatively, and use tight risk management.