XRP Faces Bearish August Streak After July Gains
XRP traders are watching a potential continuation of August weakness after a modest rebound in July 2026.
According to CryptoRank, XRP posted a ~3% gain in July 2026, extending its green-July record. The token has seen eight profitable Julys out of 13 since 2014, and it also closed a seventh straight July in gains (including a surge of over 48% in July 2020). However, this July was the smallest green-month return in the dataset, with the broader market still pressured by a bear cycle, global uncertainty, inflation fears, and geopolitical risks.
The article then highlights the bearish setup for August. The past four Augusts have been in the red for XRP:
- 2022: -13.6%
- 2023: -26.6%
- 2024: -9.17%
- 2025: -8.15%
Historically, only 4 of 13 Augusts ended higher. The best August moves (2017 +52%, 2021 +60%) occurred during a bull market, unlike today’s risk-off environment. The median August performance is a -6.57% decline, versus July’s +6.91% average gain.
For traders, this frames August as a seasonality-driven risk window for XRP despite the recent July improvement—watch volatility and whether price can break the negative August pattern.
Bearish
The article is built around XRP’s historical seasonality: the last four Augustes were all negative, and only 4 of 13 August months finished higher. It also notes that the big positive August examples occurred during bull markets, while today’s environment is still a bear/risk-off cycle. That makes the near-term probability skew toward downside or underperformance during August, even though July printed a rebound (~+3% in July 2026).
Short-term: traders may price in “bearish August” expectations, increasing sell pressure around month-start and making rallies easier to fade.
Long-term: if XRP can break the pattern and hold above key levels despite the typical -6.57% median August drawdown, it would weaken the predictive power of seasonality and support a trend shift. But until that confirmation arrives, the data argues for caution and tighter risk controls rather than chasing longs into August.