XRP Mirrors Bitcoin in Every Major Bull Rally, Historical Data Shows
Market analyst King Valex finds that XRP has moved in step with Bitcoin during every major market rally to date. Historical comparisons include BTC’s 2015–2017 surge (BTC ~ $230 → ~$20,000) when XRP rose from ~$0.0075 to ~$3.88, the 2020–2021 cycle (BTC ~$13k → ~$69k) when XRP climbed from ~$0.24 to nearly $2, and the 2024–2025 rally when XRP gained over 5x from cycle lows before pulling back with the broader market. Year-to-date, BTC is down about 5% while XRP is down nearly 10%. Analysts attribute XRP’s underperformance relative to past highs partly to the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple starting December 2020, which limited institutional participation. While XRP adoption and regional activity (Japan, South Korea, XRPL validators, SBI-backed services) are growing, commentators warn that higher usage does not guarantee immediate price appreciation because settlement systems often minimise on-chain exposure. The consistent historical correlation suggests that if Bitcoin begins a sustained uptrend, XRP is likely to follow, frequently producing larger percentage gains due to its smaller market cap. Key keywords: XRP, Bitcoin, BTC correlation, Ripple, SEC lawsuit, XRPL, altcoin performance.
Neutral
The article is primarily observational and historical: it documents a persistent correlation between XRP and Bitcoin across multiple cycles rather than announcing new fundamentals that would directly move markets. Short-term impact: neutral to mildly bearish for XRP when Bitcoin weakens (as liquidity leaves altcoins); conversely, XRP could see outsized gains in a BTC-driven rally. Traders should watch Bitcoin direction, on-chain liquidity, and legal developments (SEC v. Ripple) — the latter can trigger acute volatility. Long-term impact: mixed/neutral — growing regional adoption and XRPL infrastructure are positive fundamentals but do not yet override market-wide correlation and legal overhangs. Similar past events: 2017 and 2021 cycles where XRP followed BTC, with performance constrained by regulatory/legal issues. Practical trading implications: use BTC trend as primary signal for XRP position sizing; expect higher beta (larger % moves) for XRP; monitor SEC rulings and institutional flows for event-driven risk.