XRP Bottom Signals After Bulls Defend $1.30 Support
XRP shows multiple bottom signals as bulls defend the $1.30 support zone. The article cites TradingView data that the XRP/BTC daily RSI is at 24, the most oversold since Oct 2025, a level that has previously coincided with XRP/BTC macro bottoms. Historically, such readings have preceded large XRP breakouts versus Bitcoin (late 2024–2025), including a prior June 2025 bottom that triggered a 61% XRP/BTC increase and a 92% XRP rally to about $3.66.
On-chain signals also support the thesis. Glassnode’s XRP MVRV Z-score is hovering near zero, which has historically aligned with accumulation and market bottoms, suggesting many holders are near breakeven and sell pressure may be fading. The article adds that XRP’s MVRV pricing band around $1.14 matches a 15-month low (Feb 6), with potential upside toward $1.70 or higher if the recovery continues.
Traders key off price levels. XRP/USD is described as cautiously bullish while it holds the $1.25–$1.30 support range. A trader “ChiefraT” argues a short-term bounce toward $1.45 is possible if the zone keeps holding. If XRP breaks down below $1.15—linked to the 200-week SMA—the risk rises for a sharp drop toward a bear-flag measured target near $0.80.
Bullish
偏多判断基于“底部信号+关键支撑守住”的组合：RSI极度超卖（XRP/BTC日线RSI=24）与MVRV Z-score接近零同时出现，且两者在历史上都曾在宏观底部附近触发后续反弹；同时，文章强调XRP/USD只要守住1.25–1.30美元区间，多头仍掌握短线节奏。类似地，文中回溯的2025年6月XRP/BTC底部后出现了持续上行行情，提示当前指标若继续兑现，短期可能先反弹至1.45附近。
但风险也明确：1.15美元下破将触发更强的下行加速，届时市场可能从“底部修复”转为“流动性抛售”，并把交易逻辑切换到下一个需求区（文章给出的目标约0.80）。因此短期以“支撑有效则反弹，失守则转空”为主；中长期则取决于这些链上积累信号能否持续并推动回到更高区间（文章提到可能上看1.70及以上）。