XRP Shows Signs of Bottoming: Structure, ETF Inflows and Outflows Point to Accumulation
XRP may have completed a bottoming phase as multiple metrics align. A bi-weekly TD Sequential printed a macro buy signal, indicating medium-term inflection. Price broke out of a descending triangle after repeatedly defending the $1.80–$1.85 demand zone; acceptance above $2.20 would expose $2.60–$2.67 and then the $3 level, while a return below $1.80 would invalidate the breakout. Institutional ETF flows showed $5.58 million added in a session, lifting ETF-held XRP to $1.24 billion—accumulation occurred during consolidation rather than a breakout, suggesting strategic buying. Spot exchange data recorded net outflows (recently -$7.82 million), implying supply removal and reduced willingness to sell at current levels. Derivatives funding rates rose (latest ~0.006, a ~94.6% increase), indicating growing long conviction, though elevated funding raises liquidation risk if price fails to hold. Combined, structural breakout, ETF inflows, spot outflows and rising funding point toward an accumulation phase that favors upside if XRP sustains above key support; however, short-term volatility and the risk of a failed breakout remain. Primary keywords: XRP, TD Sequential, ETF inflows, spot outflows, funding rates.
Bullish
The article presents converging bullish signals: a bi-weekly TD Sequential macro buy, a successful breakout from a descending triangle after repeated defense of $1.80–$1.85, continued ETF inflows (adding $5.58M in a session to $1.24B AUM) and persistent spot outflows (-$7.82M), plus rising funding rates signaling long conviction. Together these indicators point to absorption of supply and institutional accumulation—conditions that historically precede sustained recoveries in crypto assets. The structural breakout changes market geometry, making upside moves toward $2.20, $2.60–$2.67 and $3 more plausible if price holds above $1.80. Short term, elevated funding and potential quick deleveraging pose risk if the breakout fails; similar past setups have produced sharp rallies when supply tightened and institutions accumulated (e.g., bitcoin and other altcoin recovery phases), but have also seen fast corrections on failed confirmations. For traders: bias toward accumulating on strength and confirmed acceptance above the breakout zone, keep stops below $1.80, monitor ETF flows and spot balances, and manage leverage given heightened funding rates.