XRP Buy Signal Faces Key $1.25 Support Test
XRP is trading near $1.30 after falling about 15% over the past month. Analyst Ali Martinez says the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a buy signal on the three-day chart. The previous three similar signals preceded gains of 31%, 24% and 18%, but the potential rebound depends on XRP holding support around $1.25. If it does, the price could recover towards $1.40; a break below support could expose $0.98, according to Martinez.
Risks include reports of large XRP holders reducing their positions and a rise in XRP held on exchanges, which can add to selling pressure. The article also cites a channel support level near $1.26 and a possible initial downside target of $1.11 if it breaks.
Ripple has expanded its Treasury platform and received final US approval for Ripple National Trust Bank, which is intended to manage reserves backing RLUSD and serve as a collateral trustee. These developments have not yet lifted XRP’s price. Spot XRP ETFs recorded about $4.25 million in net inflows last week, though stronger demand may be needed to support a sustained reversal. XRP’s outlook therefore remains dependent on support levels, selling pressure and renewed investor demand.
Neutral
The news presents mixed signals for XRP, supporting a neutral assessment. The TD Sequential buy signal may encourage short-term traders to look for a rebound, especially given the gains that followed the previous three similar setups. However, that indicator is not a guarantee, and the article makes the bullish case conditional on XRP holding support near $1.25. A break below the nearby $1.26 channel boundary could invite further selling, with $1.11 and then $0.98 cited as downside levels.
The reported reduction in whale exposure and increase in exchange-held XRP point to potential supply pressure. These factors can weigh on price if traders interpret them as signs of distribution. In contrast, the approximately $4.25 million in weekly spot XRP ETF inflows, alongside Ripple’s Treasury expansion and bank approval, offers some supportive context. But the article notes that these developments have not yet produced a price recovery, and ETF demand may need to grow to drive a sustained reversal.
In the short term, traders may focus on whether XRP holds the $1.25–$1.26 area, while monitoring exchange balances, whale activity and ETF flows. A successful defense could support a move towards $1.40; a breakdown could intensify stop-loss selling and test lower targets. Over the longer term, Ripple’s business and RLUSD-related developments may support confidence in its ecosystem, but they do not ensure that XRP’s market price will rise. As with past indicator-driven rallies, confirmation from price action and broader demand will matter more than the signal alone.