Pundit: XRP Historically Tracks Bitcoin — ‘You’re Delusional’ If You Disagree
An XRP community commentator, King Valex, argued that XRP (XRP) consistently follows Bitcoin (BTC) during major market rallies and declines. Citing historical moves, Valex highlighted instances where BTC’s large gains coincided with outsized XRP rallies: BTC’s 2015–2017 rise (~8,450%) alongside XRP’s 51,633% increase to its 2018 high; BTC’s 2020–2021 surge (~from $13k to ~$69k) paired with XRP moving from $0.24 to $1.96; and the 2024–2025 run where BTC rose ~157% (from $49,000 to $126,000) while XRP climbed ~500% (from $0.61 to $3.66). Valex used these examples to dismiss claims that XRP decouples from BTC, bluntly stating “If you think XRP doesn’t follow BTC, you are DELUSIONAL.” The article notes regulatory headwinds (the SEC lawsuit) as a historical constraint on XRP’s ability to re-test its 2018 all-time high. It also references high BTC price forecasts (e.g., $1 million predictions from prominent figures) and models hypothetical XRP prices if it were to match or outpace Bitcoin’s future gains. Disclaimer: the piece is informational and not financial advice.
Neutral
The article is primarily commentary asserting a historical correlation between XRP and BTC rather than announcing new fundamental catalysts. Historical data show XRP often amplifies BTC moves — which suggests heightened correlation and volatility for XRP when BTC trends strongly. Short-term impact: neutral-to-bearish while BTC is bearish (XRP likely to follow and amplify downside), so traders should expect increased downside risk and tighter correlation-based strategies (e.g., hedging BTC exposure or using BTC-tracking signals for XRP entries). Long-term impact: neutral-to-bullish conditional on BTC bullish runs; if BTC posts major multi-year rallies, XRP could outperform on a percentage basis due to lower market cap, but regulatory factors (SEC case history) remain a material constraint on sustained upside and institutional flows. Similar past events: 2017–2018 and 2020–2021 cycles showed linked rallies and larger XRP percentage moves. Practical trader takeaways: monitor BTC trend and correlation metrics, use position sizing to account for XRP’s higher beta, and watch regulatory news which can decouple XRP performance from pure BTC-driven moves.