XRP price analysis: rebound near $1, but $1.36 key
XRP price analysis shows the token rebounded near $1.16 after a sharp weekly selloff pushed it close to the $1 area. Crypto.news data put XRP up about 6.21% in 24 hours, but down 12.8% over 7 days and 16.16% over the past month. The broader picture still looks weak: XRP remains far below the July 18, 2025 all-time high of $3.65 and the long-term trend remains bearish.
Key levels traders are watching for XRP are $1.03 and $1.00 on the downside, and $1.36 on the upside. The article cites Egrag Crypto’s “blue path” view, arguing the current decline may fit a technical structure rather than a full breakdown—yet it is not a confirmed reversal.
Momentum indicators are mixed for XRP. RSI is around 44.16 (below the 50 “strong buyers” zone) and the MACD is still slightly bearish, with the histogram near neutral. Volume is moderate (~51–52 million XRP), suggesting the rebound lacks a strong breakout.
On the flow side, U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded about $2.62 million in net inflows for the week, while Bitcoin ETFs saw heavy withdrawals—an ETF tailwind for XRP sentiment, though not enough to remove chart risk.
Finally, XRP dominance is falling (around 3.3%), which can keep XRP lagging even if the market bounces.
Neutral
The news is best read as neutral for XRP traders. It highlights a short-term rebound (XRP near $1.16) supported by early momentum repair and modest ETF inflows, but it also stresses that the weekly/monthly structure remains weak and momentum indicators have not fully flipped.
Similar setups in prior crypto cycles often produce “relief rallies” that fail unless the asset reclaims key resistance with stronger volume—here, the article’s clear trigger is $1.36. If XRP cannot hold the $1.03/$1.00 support zone, the rebound can quickly unwind, a common pattern when RSI stays below 50 and MACD remains slightly bearish. Conversely, a sustained reclaim of $1.36 with improving MACD/RSI would shift the trade from defensive (support holds) to constructive (breakout confirmation).
In the longer run, the falling XRP dominance (around 3.3%) is a risk factor: it suggests capital may be rotating to other assets even if XRP stops falling. ETF flows provide a supportive backdrop, but they are small relative to the magnitude of the chart downside, so traders should treat this as a wait-for-confirmation environment rather than a full trend reversal.