XRP ‘Super Cycle’ Hype Meets Bearish Technical Signals
XRP’s retail-driven “super cycle” narrative is clashing with emerging bearish technicals. After gains through 2025, XRP’s weekly SuperTrend flipped bearish and price slipped below the $2 psychological level to about $1.97 (CoinGecko). The token now trades beneath a previously supportive trendline, which is acting as resistance; rebound attempts face selling pressure. ATR-based volatility readings indicate bullish exhaustion, suggesting volatility contraction that often precedes consolidation or deeper corrections. Market analyst Paul Bennett warns liquidity — not retail narratives — moves markets, and says current signs point to rising downside risk unless XRP reclaims the weekly SuperTrend and the broken trendline. Key keywords: XRP, XRPUSD, SuperTrend, trendline, volatility, ATR, retail traders, liquidity.
Bearish
The article highlights firm technical deterioration for XRP: a weekly SuperTrend flip to bearish, price below the $2 psychological level, and trading under a previously supportive trendline now acting as resistance. ATR-based volatility contraction signals bullish exhaustion, which historically precedes consolidation or corrections after strong rallies. Combined with commentary that smart money follows liquidity while retail chases narratives, the balance of evidence points to increased downside risk. In the short term, expect limited upside and higher probability of range-bound action or pullbacks as sellers defend the trendline; false breakouts could trap late retail entrants. In the medium term, a confirmed bullish reversal would require reclaiming the weekly SuperTrend and the broken trendline with sustained volume. Comparable past episodes include altcoin rallies where volatility compression after parabolic runs led to multi-week consolidations or 20–40% corrections before trend continuation (e.g., several altcoin cycles in 2017–2018 and 2021). Thus, until technicals and volatility expand positively, trading bias should be cautious or bearish.