Zcash (ZEC) Falls Back as Orchard Flaw Worries Traders; $400 Support Tested
Zcash (ZEC) has surrendered most of its mid-June rebound and is again testing a key technical floor. After previously plunging nearly 50% on the Orchard shielded pool soundness concern, ZEC later bounced toward about $380–$500, but the latest move shows price around $412 (down ~15% from the June 18 high near $500).
Developers confirmed a critical Orchard vulnerability that could have allowed unlimited counterfeit ZEC via the shielded pool. An emergency patch was applied, but traders are still reassessing exploit risk and confidence in the privacy coin has weakened.
Technically, ZEC failed to hold the ~0.618 Fibonacci retracement near $494. Attention is now on the $400–$401 area. A break below $400 may extend losses toward the next Fibonacci zone near $343–$350. Momentum remains bearish: 4-hour RSI is about 34 and MACD stays below zero with a widening negative histogram.
Derivatives data adds pressure. CoinGlass points to a liquidation/resistance cluster around $427–$430, while support pockets are seen near $405–$410. CoinGlass previously cited liquidations near ~$82M during the selloff, and the broader market risk backdrop is also softer after BTC’s derivatives breakdown and liquidation-driven volatility.
Positioning signals are mixed: one whale reportedly withdrew ~37,316 ZEC from Binance shortly after the crash, but notable holders reduced exposure, including Arthur Hayes confirming he exited his ZEC position earlier in June.
Bearish
This news keeps a negative overhang on Zcash (ZEC). Even after an emergency patch for the Orchard shielded pool flaw, traders are still questioning exploit credibility, which hurts sentiment and can sustain selling pressure. Technically, ZEC failed to hold the ~0.618 Fibonacci retracement near $494 and is now under/at $400–$401; a break below $400 would likely trigger further liquidation-driven downside toward the next Fibonacci area ($343–$350). Derivatives positioning supports this view: a noted liquidation/resistance cluster around $427–$430 and previously large liquidation volume during the initial selloff suggest leverage unwind risk remains. Although there is some dip-buying signal from whale withdrawals and possible stabilization after a rebound, the overall combination of security concerns, bearish momentum (RSI/MACD), and risk-off market conditions points to continued downside risk in the near term, with only a conditional path to recovery if ZEC reclaims key support.