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Latest Crypto News | Bitcoin, Ethereum and Altcoin Updates

TRUMP $17.3M whale deposit puts $3.18 support at risk; $3.60–$3.60 liquidation zone could spark volatility

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A team-linked whale transferred a large tranche of TRUMP tokens to Binance, first reported as 3M TRUMP (~$14.9M) after 50 days and later updated to 5M TRUMP (~$17.3M) originating from Meme Team allocation wallets. The movement increases distribution and volatility risk because tokens appear to be entering active circulation rather than cold storage. So far exchange net spot flows remain muted (netflow ≈ -$470.75K), but the deposit raises the likelihood of future sustained inflows and selling pressure. Price action: TRUMP has been compressing inside a long-term descending channel and is currently near key horizontal support at $3.184 (previously $4.80–$5 pivot in earlier reporting), with near-term resistance around $4.274 and an upper channel band near $5.684. Technicals and on-chain metrics show mixed signals—spot CVD has been positive over longer windows, indicating buyers absorbing supply, while derivatives positioning on Binance is skewed long (top traders ~62.8% long; long/short ~1.69 in the update). Liquidation heatmaps and liquidity clusters concentrate overhead and below: dense leverage between $3.50–$3.60 above and $3.30–$3.35 (or prior noted $5.10–$5.20 range in earlier report) below, creating clear liquidity magnets. Trading implications: 1) watch exchange balances—sustained inflows would confirm distribution; 2) monitor price reaction at $3.184—break risks rapid unwind of concentrated longs and a fast drop toward lower supports; 3) a reclaim of $4.274 (and break above channel resistance) would reduce downward pressure and could trigger a short-covering squeeze toward $3.60+. Short-term outlook is heightened volatility rather than clear trend change; traders should monitor spot CVD, exchange inflows, liquidation heatmaps, and key support/resistance for potential stop-run events.
Bearish
TRUMPWhale DepositExchange InflowsLiquidation HeatmapSupport & Resistance

AVAX Volume-Based Accumulation Signal — Low-Volume Pullback Targets $9.35–$10.48; $8.65 Support Key

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AVAX shows signs of accumulation after a low-volume price decline. Price: ~$9.67 (24 Feb 2026); 24h volume ~ $218M, ~22% below the 7-day average (~$280M). Short-term trend remains bearish under EMA20 ($9.23) but key indicators conflict: RSI around neutral (43–51), MACD histogram turning bullish, and volume on down moves 15% below the recent 3-day average. Volume Profile: low-volume nodes concentrated at $9.00–$9.50; weekly support at $8.6467 (score 70/100) and POC near $9.10. Analysts flag accumulation if volume rises above $250M at support, with a bullish target of $12.14 and nearer targets $9.35–$10.48. Distribution risk exists if sudden volume spikes exceed $300M, which could indicate selling by large holders. AVAX is highly correlated with BTC (~0.85); BTC weakness (currently ~$65.9k) could pressure AVAX toward $8 support if Bitcoin breaks lower. Trading implications: neutral-bullish—watch volume thresholds (>$250M for reversal confirmation, $300M+ for distribution), the $8.6467 weekly support, EMA20 resistance at $9.23, and BTC key levels. This analysis is for informational purposes and not investment advice.
Neutral
AVAXVolume AnalysisAccumulationBitcoin CorrelationSupport & Resistance

Analyst Keeps XRP Measured-Move Target Above $15 Despite 70% Retracement

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XRP’s strong late-2024 rally and subsequent correction remain focal points for technical analysts. After rising from roughly $0.49 to above $3.60 (a 640%+ gain) by mid-2025, XRP has retraced about 70% and trades near $1.34. Analyst Javon Marks maintains a long-term measured-move target above $15, based on a November 2024 breakout from a multi-year triangle; that target implies >1,000% upside from current levels. Elliott Wave analyst XForceGlobal views the token as in a structural compression that could precede another impulsive wave, with conservative Fibonacci extensions near $6 and broader upside scenarios between $5–$10 if momentum returns. Monthly chart observers note five consecutive monthly negative closes—an uncommon pattern last seen before 2017’s rally—while on-chain data shows roughly $900m in realized losses during a single week, indicating short-term capitulation. Community commentators propose a wide range of targets (from $4–$10 to speculative charts exceeding $80), but most analysts emphasize that market liquidity, overall crypto market direction, and regulatory developments will determine outcomes. This article is informational and not financial advice.
Bullish
XRPTechnical AnalysisMeasured MoveElliott WaveOn-chain Data

South Korea NTS leaks wallet seed; 4M PRTG seized tokens stolen then returned

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South Korea’s National Tax Service (NTS) accidentally published an unredacted wallet mnemonic in a February 26 press release that included images of seized hardware. Attackers used the exposed recovery phrase to restore the wallet, funded it with ETH for gas, and transferred out 4,000,000 Pre-Retogeum (PRTG) tokens in three moves. The tokens were shown at roughly 6.4 billion won (~$4.8M) face value but were effectively illiquid (most listings only on MEXC with minimal depth). About 20 hours after the transfers the PRTG balances were returned to the original wallets. This incident is the latest in a string of South Korean law-enforcement custody failures following losses of 320.8 BTC by the Gwangju prosecutors’ office and 22 BTC at Seoul’s Gangnam police station. Security experts criticized the NTS for operational negligence; at time of reporting NTS had not issued a public statement. Key details for traders: mnemonic leak of seized crypto; 4,000,000 PRTG moved; tokens represent a large share of PRTG supply across affected addresses and have negligible liquidity (24h volume ~ $332 on MEXC), limiting any realistic extraction of market value; swift return of tokens suggests opportunistic grabs rather than long-term sell pressure. Primary keywords: mnemonic leak, seized crypto, NTS, PRTG token. Secondary keywords: wallet seed, recovery phrase, custody failure, South Korea, law enforcement crypto security.
Bearish
mnemonic leakcustody failureNTSPRTGlaw enforcement crypto security

Brazil Advances Bill to Criminalize Crypto-Facilitated Foreign Currency Tax Evasion

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Brazil’s Congress is advancing a bill that would criminalize the use of cryptocurrencies to evade taxes on foreign currency transactions. The proposed legislation targets individuals and entities that employ crypto and other means to hide foreign exchange operations and avoid related tax liabilities. Sponsors argue the measure will close loopholes used for illicit capital outflows, strengthen fiscal compliance and align Brazil with international anti-evasion efforts. Critics warn the law could overreach, complicate legitimate cross-border crypto activity and impose heavy penalties that deter businesses and users. Lawmakers are debating definitions, reporting requirements and enforcement mechanisms, and the bill’s progress is drawing attention from exchanges, crypto firms and traders who trade or remit funds across borders. The bill’s passage would increase regulatory risk for crypto-related foreign exchange operations, likely prompting greater compliance costs, stricter KYC/AML checks and potential reductions in cross-border crypto flows until rules are clarified.
Bearish
Brazil regulationcrypto tax evasionforeign currencyKYC AMLcross-border crypto

SUI Weekly Technical Strategy: Downtrend Intact — Key Range $0.8636–$0.9290

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SUI remains in a multi-timeframe downtrend after falling more than 40% from its peak. Recent price action shows short-term rebounds (trading roughly $0.89–$0.97 across the two reports) but volume is low and structural bearishness persists. Key technicals: price remains below the 20-period EMA (~$1.10 in the earlier note, weekly resistance near $1.16 in the later), RSI is in the lower range (~33 earlier), and MACD histogram shows a bullish/positive divergence suggesting limited short-term recovery potential. Critical decision zone is $0.8636–$0.9290 — a daily/weekly close above $0.9290 would signal a confirmed short-to-medium-term trend change toward targets in the $1.05–$1.39 area, while failure below $0.8636 and especially the core support at $0.7881 risks deeper losses toward $0.4518. On-chain/market context: SUI is highly correlated with Bitcoin (correlation ~0.85); BTC direction and dominant bearish supertrend constrain sustainable altcoin rallies. Liquidity requirements for a credible breakout are higher than current volume: estimated $400M+ versus current 24h volume around $316M. Trader takeaways: maintain a short/neutral bias while multi-timeframe downtrend holds; use short-term range trades between roughly $0.95–$0.99 or scalps if BTC stabilizes; consider longs only after a confirmed daily/weekly close above $0.9290 (or an intraday close above $0.985–$0.99 as a nearer-term signal) with tight stops. Risk management: small position sizing (spot 2–5%), strict stops (e.g., below $0.9523–$0.8636 depending on time frame), and conservative leverage (max 3% risk exposure, 3–5x only if positioned carefully). This is technical analysis only and not investment advice.
Bearish
SUItechnical analysisBitcoin correlationsupport and resistancevolume risk

Bitcoin Drops Below $65K as Liquidity, Derivatives Liquidations and Macro Pressure Intensify

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Bitcoin fell below the key $65,000 support in early April 2025, trading near $64,900 on Binance USDT perpetual futures after a rise in sell pressure. The move coincided with higher spot and derivatives volumes, roughly $450 million of leveraged long liquidations within 24 hours, and modest net outflows (~$85m) from U.S. Bitcoin ETFs. On-chain flows showed increased transfers to exchanges and a dip in short-term profitability (SOPR), while long-term supply remained largely dormant and miners’ hash rate stayed near all-time highs. Macro factors — a softer S&P 500 futures session and a slight DXY rally in one report, and in other coverage broader liquidity and Treasury/Fed balance-sheet dynamics — added pressure. Technicals now point traders to support in the $60,000–$62,000 zone and the 50-day MA (~$64k) as near-term levels to watch. Derivatives reacted with funding rates normalizing or turning negative and higher put demand (notably strikes at $60k–$64k), increasing short-term downside and liquidation risk. The decline (about 7–9% from recent highs near $70k–72k) fits within historical mid-cycle corrections rather than a structural bear reversal. Traders should monitor BTC reclaiming $65k–$66k, exchange flows, funding rates, open interest, option skew, BTC dominance, and incoming U.S. macro data or Fed commentary for near-term signals. Core long-term fundamentals (ETF adoption, network hash rate, dormant long-term supply) suggest this is more likely a correction than a trend reversal.
Neutral
BitcoinBTC priceDerivatives liquidationsOn-chain flowsMacro risk

Time, Not Price: Why Duration of Bitcoin Ranges Is Now the Key Indicator

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Analyst @ArdiNSC argues that the most important variable for Bitcoin investors right now is time — specifically the duration Bitcoin spends consolidating within a price range — rather than price distance alone. Comparing two BTC/USD daily consolidation phases, the analyst notes a 55-day range that covered ~21% before breaking lower versus a current, similarly wide range (~20%) that developed in only 22 days. The much shorter duration suggests sellers may be overpowering buyers more quickly, signaling weaker demand during the broader downtrend. If the current range resolves downward quickly, it would confirm fading buyer strength; if it holds longer or breaks upward, that would indicate renewed accumulation and potential support formation. For traders, monitoring range duration alongside traditional support/resistance and volume gives earlier insight into market conviction and the likely next directional bias.
Bearish
BitcoinMarket StructureConsolidation DurationTrading SignalsBTC

Report: XRP Uses ~99.999% Less Energy Than Bitcoin, Sparking Debate

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A new analysis from technical analyst Bullrunners compares energy consumption of Bitcoin (BTC) and the XRP Ledger (XRP). Bullrunners estimates the XRP network used about $73,000 of electricity over one year versus more than $10 billion for Bitcoin in the same period. The report states a single Bitcoin transaction consumes roughly 1,100–1,400 kWh (the energy to power an average US home for 38–49 days), while a single XRP transaction uses about 0.0079 kWh. Bullrunners concludes XRP may use up to 99.999% less energy than Bitcoin. The piece highlights the differing consensus mechanisms: Bitcoin’s energy-intensive Proof of Work (PoW) mining versus XRP’s low-energy Protocol Consensus algorithm based on trusted node voting. The report prompted community debate: Bitcoin advocates say PoW’s high energy use underpins network security and digital scarcity; XRP supporters counter that XRP’s efficiency — and lower per-transaction and network-level energy use — is superior, and note Ripple’s large token holdings when discussing decentralization. The analysis is likely to be referenced in discussions about crypto sustainability, regulatory scrutiny, and institutional ESG considerations.
Neutral
XRPBitcoinenergy consumptionconsensus mechanismscrypto sustainability

SoFi Lets 13.7M Users Deposit SOL Directly via Solana Network

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SoFi, a nationally chartered U.S. bank with more than $50 billion in assets and 13.7 million customers, has enabled native on‑chain SOL deposits on the Solana network. Customers can now transfer SOL directly from external wallets (eg, Phantom, Solflare) into unique deposit addresses tied to their SoFi crypto accounts and manage SOL alongside checking and savings within the SoFi mobile app. The integration uses the Solana SPL token standard and clears on‑chain in seconds, removing prior steps that required selling crypto, wiring USD, and repurchasing within SoFi. That reduces friction and costs (avoids double spreads and wire fees); SoFi still requires users to pay Solana network fees. SoFi’s move — the first announced acceptance of on‑chain Solana deposits by a nationally chartered U.S. bank — likely involved compliance and custody safeguards (address whitelisting, transaction monitoring) and could encourage broader retail inflows and custody flows for SOL. At the time of reporting SOL traded near $81.42 after a recent ~5% 24‑hour drop; technical commentary cited near‑term support around $76.60 and resistance near $91–$92 with supply around $85–$87. Analysts expect the feature to attract Solana users, pressure rival fintechs to offer similar direct on‑chain deposit options, and possibly pave the way for support of additional SPL tokens or other chains if adoption proves strong.
Bullish
SoFiSolanaSOLBanking integrationOn-chain deposits

Nine U.S. Senate Democrats ask Treasury and DOJ to investigate Binance illicit-finance controls

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Nine U.S. Senate Democrats, including Elizabeth Warren and Richard Blumenthal, sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Attorney General Pam Bondi requesting federal probes into Binance’s sanctions compliance and anti‑illicit‑finance controls. The request follows media reports alleging that funds flowed through Binance to terrorist groups and that some compliance staff who identified the transactions were fired. Senators cited national‑security concerns and asked for details on Binance’s adherence to its 2023 settlement obligations. The move comes amid stalled negotiations over the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, where illicit‑finance safeguards remain a key unresolved issue. Binance co‑CEO Richard Teng has called some reports inaccurate and defamatory; the company did not immediately comment on the senators’ letter. The letter also referenced Binance’s ties to World Liberty Financial and the Trump‑backed USD₁ stablecoin, and noted President Trump’s pardon of Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, who pleaded guilty and served four months in prison related to past AML/KYC failings.
Bearish
BinanceIllicit financeU.S. SenateRegulationAML/KYC

Trump Orders Federal Agencies to Phase Out Anthropic AI After Pentagon Dispute

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President Donald Trump ordered all U.S. federal agencies to immediately stop using Anthropic’s AI products and imposed a six-month phase-out for any existing deployments after a contract dispute with the Pentagon. The Defense Department had sought contract terms allowing systems for “any lawful use,” prompting talks with Anthropic over removing certain safeguards in the Claude model. Anthropic and CEO Dario Amodei refused, citing protections against mass domestic surveillance and fully autonomous weapons. The Pentagon reviewed options including cancelling a $200 million contract and invoking the Defense Production Act. The White House set a hard deadline for Anthropic to accept revised contract language and warned of civil and criminal consequences if the company does not cooperate during the transition. The dispute drew attention across the AI industry; reports say other AI leaders, including OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman, sought to help de‑escalate. For traders: this is a regulatory and government–vendor conflict that raises near-term contract risk for Anthropic, increases scrutiny on AI providers, and could affect valuations and investor sentiment across AI and crypto-adjacent firms that rely on government AI procurement or regulatory clarity. Primary keywords: Anthropic, Claude AI, Pentagon dispute, AI safeguards, federal agencies. Secondary keywords: federal phase-out, defense contracting, Defense Production Act, mass surveillance, autonomous weapons.
Neutral
AnthropicAI safeguardsPentagon disputeFederal contractingDefense Production Act

XMR Technical Snapshot — Downtrend, Wide ATR Stops and High Risk to 60 USD

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XMR (Monero) is trading in a clear downtrend with elevated volatility; current analysis (27 Feb 2026) emphasizes capital protection, wide ATR-based stops and strict stop-loss placement. Price showed ~7% daily range and RSI ~38, signaling near-oversold but no reliable bottom. Key technicals: current price quoted ~333–341 USD in the write-up, daily ATR estimated ~15–20 USD (suggesting stops of ~30 USD if using ATR×1.5–2). Support levels: 117.58, 109.55 and 100.40 USD (117.58 flagged as critical; break confirms deeper decline). Bearish targets include 60.25 USD; short-term bullish technicals exist above EMA20 (~130.5 USD) with upside targets noted near 355–360 USD, but these are considered weak inside the prevailing downtrend. XMR shows strong correlation with Bitcoin (correlation ~0.85); a BTC breakdown below key supports could cascade into steeper XMR losses. Recommended trader actions: prioritize stop losses below validated supports (e.g., <117.58 USD with buffer), use ATR-based and time-based stops, size positions to risk 0.5–2% of capital, demand volume-confirmed breakouts, and target risk/reward ≥1:2. Overall message: avoid aggressive longs until trend structure flips; manage position sizing and use wide stops to avoid whipsaw in this volatile environment.
Bearish
MoneroXMRTechnical AnalysisRisk ManagementStop Loss

Wall Street snaps up DeFi governance tokens — UNI, MORPHO, JUP rally

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Wall Street institutions are shifting from partnerships to direct ownership of DeFi governance and infrastructure, driving double-digit token gains. Apollo Global Management agreed to buy 90 million MORPHO tokens (about 9% of supply) over four years, lifting MORPHO ~17–18% in recent days (trading near $1.76). BlackRock purchased UNI as part of plans to integrate its $2B tokenized Treasury fund (BUIDL) into Uniswap, supporting institutional access to tokenized US Treasuries and boosting UNI ~15% (trading near $3.75). ParaFi invested $35M into Solana-based Jupiter (JUP), settled in JupUSD with lockups and warrants; JUP rose ~9.7% (trading near $0.152). Data points: Morpho TVL $5.8B and market cap ~$999.7M; Uniswap TVL ~$2.994B and market cap ~$2.381B; Jupiter TVL ~$2.012B and market cap ~$539.97M. Other institutional moves noted include Citadel Securities and Ark Invest buying ZRO for LayerZero Labs. Traders should watch institutional flow, token lockups, and DAO governance stakes — factors likely to increase on-chain liquidity concentration and reduce free float, amplifying volatility around these tokens.
Bullish
DeFiInstitutional InvestmentGovernance TokensUniswapMorpho

20 Million BTC Mined: Experts Say It Proves Bitcoin’s Scarcity

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Bitcoin has reached a milestone with 20 million BTC mined, prompting experts to call it a confirmation of Bitcoin’s “provable scarcity.” Analysts and industry figures highlighted that roughly 95% of the maximum 21 million supply is now in circulation, reinforcing narratives around supply constraint and value preservation. Commentators noted that the remaining supply is progressively harder to mine due to halving cycles and that lost or inaccessible coins further reduce effective circulating supply. The development was framed as bullish for long-term value, supporting institutional adoption and strengthening narratives for Bitcoin as digital gold. Key figures and firms in mining, custody, and analytics were cited explaining the milestone’s market and psychological effects, including potential increases in accumulation by long-term holders and institutional buyers. While experts emphasized scarcity, some warned that short-term price reactions remain dependent on macro conditions, liquidity, and trader sentiment. Traders should watch on-chain metrics (supply held by long-term holders, exchange balances, miner sell pressure), halving-related issuance schedules, and macro indicators to assess near-term price dynamics.
Bullish
BitcoinBitcoin scarcityBTC supply milestoneon-chain metricsinstitutional adoption

Barclays Eyes Tokenized Deposits and Stablecoin Payments, Requests Tech Proposals

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Barclays is evaluating blockchain infrastructure to support tokenized deposits and stablecoin payments, Bloomberg reports. The UK bank has issued requests for information to technology vendors and could select a provider as soon as April. Barclays has previously invested in stablecoin settlement firm Ubyx and was linked to groups exploring jointly issued stablecoins. Ryan Hayward, Barclays Head of Digital Assets, said specialist technology is required for regulated institutions to interact with blockchain systems. If implemented, tokenized deposits or stablecoin-enabled payments would align Barclays with peers such as JPMorgan (which launched JPMD) and other banks that have run pilots (US Bank, Citi, Bank of America). The report coincided with a modest dip in Barclays shares; the stock is up about 54% year-over-year. For traders: the move signals growing institutional interest in on-chain payment rails and tokenized deposits, which could shift liquidity dynamics away from traditional accounts and increase demand for stablecoin settlement infrastructure.
Bullish
Barclaystokenized depositsstablecoin paymentsblockchain paymentsUbyx

Gold Soars to $5,260 on Geopolitical Escalation and Trade Shock

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Gold surged to $5,260 per ounce in a rapid, record-breaking move driven by escalating geopolitical conflicts (notably in Eastern Europe and the South China Sea) and a fresh wave of reciprocal trade tariffs among major economies. The rally occurred across Asian and European sessions, overwhelmed technical resistance, and saw trading volumes triple monthly averages — indicating heavy institutional participation and continued central-bank buying. The move marked roughly a 115% rise from the prior 2020 peak (~$2,450). Equity markets, particularly tech and cyclical industrials, sold off while mining stocks and silver rallied; U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds also saw buying that compressed yields. Key factors to monitor: central bank communications (Fed, ECB), any geopolitical de-escalation, retail physical demand in India/China, and U.S. dollar strength. Short-term prospects are driven by risk-off flows and sentiment; some technical models point to consolidation between $5,400–$5,600, but analysts warn fundamentals (fear and uncertainty) dominate. This development has broad implications for portfolios, consumer prices for jewelry/electronics, and national balance sheets holding gold reserves.
Bullish
GoldSafe-havenGeopoliticsMarket volatilityCentral banks

Dollar Falls as Trade Uncertainty Builds; NFP and Eurozone HICP Set to Drive Volatility

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The US dollar has weakened sharply, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) down about 2.3% as renewed trade uncertainty pressures currency markets. Traders now focus on two key economic releases this week: the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and the Eurozone Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). Consensus for NFP projects job growth near 180,000–200,000 (current projection ~192,000) with an unemployment rate around 3.7% and monthly wage growth expected at +0.4%. Stronger-than-expected wages could revive inflation concerns and affect Federal Reserve rate expectations, likely boosting the dollar. Eurozone HICP is forecast near 2.4% YoY; core services inflation remains sticky, and a hotter print could delay ECB easing and strengthen the euro. Market positioning shows reduced dollar long exposure and balanced euro bets. Technical levels to watch: DXY support ~103.50 (next ~102.80) and resistance ~104.20; EUR/USD resistance ~1.0850, support ~1.0750. Historical patterns suggest increased volatility — NFP surprises >50k have moved the dollar >1% in past episodes, and weeks with coincident NFP/HICP prints saw ~40% higher EUR/USD volatility. Traders should expect heightened intraday swings, manage position sizing, consider wider stops or options hedges, and monitor wage data, trade headlines, central bank commentary, and commodity prices for directional cues.
Neutral
ForexUS Non-Farm PayrollsEurozone HICPMarket VolatilityTrade Uncertainty

Wall Street Banks Expand Bitcoin Custody, ETFs and Trading Services

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Major Wall Street banks are aggressively expanding services tied to Bitcoin, including custody offerings, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) support, and trading infrastructure. Financial institutions are increasing custody capacity for institutional clients, filing or supporting spot Bitcoin ETF products, and enhancing brokerage and market-making functions to facilitate client access to crypto. Key developments include expanded custody solutions, new or supported ETF listings, and ramped-up trading desks — moves that integrate Bitcoin further into mainstream institutional finance and lower operational barriers for large investors. This trend underscores growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin and suggests greater liquidity and infrastructure maturity in crypto markets. Primary keywords: Bitcoin custody, Bitcoin ETF, institutional trading. Secondary keywords: custody solutions, spot Bitcoin ETF, market-making, institutional adoption.
Bullish
BitcoinCustodyETFInstitutional AdoptionTrading Infrastructure

Pi Price Rebounds 30% as V23 Upgrade, DEX Launch and Tier-1 Listing Speculation Drive Interest

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Pi Network (PI) has rallied over 30% from its monthly low amid growing speculation that the token has bottomed and multiple network catalysts are imminent. Analyst Dr. Altcoin highlighted the upcoming v23 protocol upgrade — aimed at improving speed, reliability and developer tools — plus the planned Pi DEX, automated market-maker features, native ecosystem tokens and potential tier-1 exchange listings as key drivers that could boost liquidity and on-chain activity. The network is also expanding partnerships and investments (including CiDi Games and OpenMind) and pursuing real-world asset (RWA) tokenization as a route to broader adoption. Technical indicators show a possible bullish flag on the daily chart with resistance near $0.2050 and support at $0.1556; a sustained break above $0.2055 could target $0.25 while a fall below $0.1555 would weaken the outlook. Primary keywords: Pi Network, v23 upgrade, Pi DEX, tier-1 listing, RWA. Secondary/semantic keywords used: on-chain activity, automated market maker, liquidity event, bullish flag, technical resistance. Traders should monitor confirmation of exchange listings, v23 release details, DEX launch timelines and the $0.1556–$0.2055 price band for short-term trade decisions.
Bullish
Pi Networkv23 upgradeDEX launchTier-1 listingRWA tokenization

Coinbase says states are ’gaslighting’ over prediction markets, argues CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction

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Coinbase’s head of litigation, Ryan VanGrack, has escalated legal challenges against multiple U.S. states after Coinbase launched exchange-traded prediction markets with Kalshi. Coinbase filed lawsuits in Connecticut, Illinois, Michigan and Nevada following state cease-and-desist letters and public warnings that characterized certain event contracts as illegal sports gambling. VanGrack says states are misrepresenting federal law—“gaslighting”—and argues the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has exclusive authority under the Commodity Exchange Act to regulate event contracts and swaps. He pointed to CFTC enforcement actions (including insider-trading reminders around event contracts) as evidence the agency actively polices the space. Coinbase distinguishes exchange-traded event contracts on a designated contract market from sportsbook wagers, noting CFTC-regulated markets match buyers and sellers on an exchange rather than operators setting odds. VanGrack warned that subjecting national derivatives markets to 50 different state regimes would fragment oversight, harm market stability and undermine investor confidence. Coinbase acknowledges states retain consumer-protection and fraud authority but says federal preemption should prevent states from banning or reclassifying exchange-traded event contracts. Key entities: Coinbase, Kalshi, CFTC; key issue: federal vs. state regulatory authority over prediction markets and event contracts.
Neutral
CoinbasePrediction marketsCFTCRegulatory disputeKalshi

Negative BTC Funding Rates Raise Short-Squeeze Risk as Shorts Cluster Above Price

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Perpetual funding rates across major exchanges have turned negative, signalling dominant short positioning where shorts pay longs to hold BTC exposure (Binance -0.005%, OKX -0.007%, Bybit -0.011%). Persistent negative daily funding and a strongly negative seven-day average indicate crowded short exposure; liquidation heat maps show dense clusters of leveraged shorts above the market, many opened near $92,000. Those concentrated liquidations create material short-squeeze risk if BTC rallies — upside gamma would amplify moves. On-chain flows temper that optimism: Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) and USDT market-cap flows weakened (USDT 30-day flows flipped from +$1.4B to -$2.87B), signalling risk-off liquidity conditions that reduce odds of a sustained rally. CryptoQuant and on-chain analysts also report a rise in retail trading frequency versus the one-year average, and tracked net inflows from mid-term "Octopus" wallets into Binance (about 1,700 BTC recently; a larger 5,000 BTC inflow on Feb 2 preceded a pullback). Price action: BTC tested $70,000 on Feb 26, trading in a roughly $66,600–$68,600 range and about 24% down over 30 days. Key takeaways for traders: negative funding rates and clustered shorts increase short-squeeze and volatility risk (favouring event-driven spikes); deteriorating stablecoin liquidity and exchange inflows point to constrained buying power and potential downside pressure; rising retail activity can amplify both directions. Traders should monitor funding rates, liquidation heat maps, stablecoin flows (SSR, USDT market-cap change), and whale/exchange inflows for signs that either a squeeze or a more sustained move is likely.
Neutral
BitcoinFunding RatesShort SqueezeStablecoin FlowsDerivatives

XRP Spot Volume Surges 212% as Bitcoin ETFs See $506M Inflow; Dogecoin Tops $0.10

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XRP spot purchase volumes spiked 212% on Singapore exchange Bitrue between Feb. 23–24, with buy-side activity outpacing sells by better than 2:1. The exchange tied the surge to ongoing institutional accumulation following the launch of XRP ETFs; since mid-November those ETFs have drawn roughly $1.1 billion in net assets with positive weekly inflows most weeks. Separately, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a $506.5 million single-day net inflow on Feb. 25, led by BlackRock (≈58% of the day’s inflow), signalling renewed institutional demand amid Bitcoin’s rally toward ~$69,150. In the meme-coin space, Dogecoin jumped about 7–8% in 24 hours to an intraday high near $0.1057, reclaiming the $0.10 level after a low near $0.09335; analysts attribute the move to capital rotation and a short squeeze. Key market indicators: XRP volume +212% (Bitrue); Bitcoin ETF inflow +$506.51M (single day); Dogecoin price peak ≈$0.1057 (+~8%). Traders should note concentrated institutional flows into XRP and BTC ETFs and increased meme-coin volatility that could produce short-term trading opportunities but may also raise liquidity and sentiment-driven risk.
Bullish
XRPBitcoin ETFDogecoinInstitutional FlowsMarket Volume

Solana shows strong on-chain activity and ETF inflows — is SOL undervalued?

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Solana (SOL) remains about 72% below its all-time high but shows persistent on-chain activity and modest spot-ETF inflows that suggest resilience versus price weakness. Earlier reports noted small, steady ETF inflows (weekly inflows fell from >$100m at launch to ~$20–25m since Dec 2025) and minimal cumulative outflows (~$11.3m over two weeks) during a recent drawdown. Updated on-chain data expands that picture: Solana processed roughly $108bn in DEX volume over the past 30 days (vs. Ethereum’s ~$63.7bn), with January volumes hitting $117bn. In the last 24 hours Solana generated ~$3.1m in app revenue (vs. ETH $2.95m), recorded 2.17m active addresses (vs. ETH 682k) and posted ~$722k in chain fees (vs. ETH $356k). Real-world asset (RWA) exposure on Solana reached $1.71bn, up 45% in 30 days. Technicals show key support zones between $51–$80 (including a 0.75 Fibonacci around $60–$70) and resistance near $120; a dense realized cost-basis exists in the current price band with the next concentration at $20–$30. Traders should monitor ETF flows, DEX volume trends and daily closes around the $51–$80 support band and $120 resistance. The news points to a valuation gap: strong network activity and steady ETF positioning contrast with bearish price structure. Short-term trading risk remains elevated; longer-term upside depends on whether on-chain demand converts into sustained buy-side pressure. This is not investment advice.
Neutral
SolanaSOLDEX volumeSpot ETF inflowsOn-chain metrics

SpaceX Preparing Confidential IPO Filing, Targets $1.75T+ Valuation

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SpaceX is preparing a confidential draft registration with the U.S. SEC and could file as early as March, aiming to support a possible June IPO. Insiders say the company targets a valuation above $1.75 trillion and could raise tens of billions, citing roughly $15–16 billion in 2025 revenue and about $8 billion in profit that underpin recent private-transaction valuations. Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are reported to be engaged for senior roles. Core strengths driving investor interest include Falcon 9 launch dominance, long-term U.S. government and NASA contracts, and rapid growth of the Starlink satellite broadband business. SpaceX has also integrated AI and cloud strategies — including the xAI acquisition and a Microsoft partnership pairing Starlink with cloud programs — and is preparing a new Starship test at Starbase. The confidential filing route lets SpaceX refine disclosures before a public listing. For crypto traders, the most relevant points are Starlink’s expanding role in global connectivity and partnerships that could increase demand for decentralized or blockchain-based telecom and cloud services, possible secondary-market activity around SpaceX-related private tokens or equity, and broader investor appetite for aerospace, satellite broadband and AI-linked assets that may shift capital flows across technology and crypto sectors.
Neutral
SpaceX IPOStarlinkStarshipxAI & Microsoft partnershipAerospace valuations

Solana Founder Says Network Is More Decentralized Than Ethereum

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Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko argued on social media that Solana is more decentralized than Ethereum and may even have surpassed Bitcoin in decentralization. Yakovenko said the network’s distributed nature is misunderstood by critics and pointed to accessible node options — including laptop-run nodes and light clients — as evidence that permissionless full-node operation enables broad participation. He also rejected the idea that decentralization depends solely on token distribution, stating that a correctly constructed proof-of-stake network can be sufficiently decentralized regardless of stake concentration. The comments come amid ongoing public debate over Solana’s reliability following past outages and high hardware requirements for some node types. Yakovenko framed Solana’s model as secure for users running their own nodes, contrasting it with permissioned or multisig custody arrangements.
Neutral
SolanaDecentralizationAnatoly YakovenkoEthereumProof-of-stake

Pump.fun (PUMP) could rally 20% if it breaks $0.00197 resistance

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Pump.fun (PUMP) is showing a bullish reversal as broader crypto markets turn green. PUMP gained over 6.5% in 24 hours and 24‑hour trading volume rose about 11.5% to $135 million, signalling stronger market participation. Technicals on the four‑hour chart show PUMP holding a key support at $0.00166 (in place since Dec 2025) and approaching a descending trendline formed on 15 Feb 2026. A confirmed four‑hour candle close above $0.00197 could trigger a roughly 20% rally toward $0.0024; failure to break would likely prompt a reversal. Momentum (ADX) sits at 21.95, below the 25 threshold, indicating limited trend strength. Derivative and on‑chain flows reinforce bullish positioning: CoinGlass data shows $4.30m in long‑leveraged positions vs $905k in shorts concentrated near $0.00172 (support) and $0.00197 (resistance), and about $1.73m of PUMP tokens withdrawn from exchanges in the last 24 hours, suggesting accumulation. An X post from a crypto analyst also flagged a bullish reversal pattern and a potential run toward $0.0033. Key trade takeaways for traders: watch for a decisive four‑hour close above $0.00197 to confirm a breakout target near $0.0024 (20% upside); manage risk around $0.00166–$0.00172 support; monitor ADX and volume for conviction and liquidation clusters at the $0.00172/$0.00197 levels.
Bullish
Pump.funPUMPtechnical analysisvolumederivatives

Alchemy Enables USDC Auto-Billing on Base for Autonomous AI Agents

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Alchemy has launched a USDC-based automated billing system on Base that lets autonomous AI agents buy compute credits and access blockchain data without manual intervention. Using Coinbase’s x402 payment standard, agents receive an HTTP 402 response when prepaid credits deplete and then automatically settle payments in USDC on Base to renew access. Initial features allow agents to query chains, check NFT ownership, view multi‑chain wallet balances, and fetch live token prices via Alchemy’s APIs. Accounts can be funded with a minimum of 1 USDC. Alchemy CEO Nikil Viswanathan said the product targets developers building autonomous DeFi agents, portfolio bots and multi-step onchain workflows; major dApps including Robinhood Crypto, Uniswap, OpenSea, Aave and 0x already run on Alchemy infrastructure. The launch follows growing momentum for onchain agent tooling — such as Coinbase’s Agentic Wallets, AI.com’s autonomous agent and recent agent-focused hackathons — and aims to enable uninterrupted machine-to-machine billing and automated protocol interactions (Aave cited as an example). For traders, the rollout could accelerate adoption of AI-driven automation in DeFi, increase API usage on Base, and modestly raise USDC onchain payment flows.
Neutral
AlchemyUSDCBaseAI agentsDeFi automation

ADA Tests Critical Support $0.2766 — Short-Term Bearish Bias Despite MACD Signal

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Cardano (ADA) trades around $0.28 and is testing a key multi-timeframe support at $0.2766–$0.2760 after moving inside a narrow $0.27–$0.30 daily range with muted volume. Price remains below the 20-day EMA, signaling short-term downtrend momentum. Technical levels: supports at $0.2766 (highest confluence), $0.2720–$0.2505 and $0.2205; resistances near $0.2827–$0.2841 (20-day EMA), $0.30–$0.3331 and a Supertrend resistance around $0.35–$0.4091 (longer bullish target cited). Momentum is mixed — RSI in the mid‑40s shows neutral-to-bearish bias while the MACD histogram has shown an emerging bullish reading that could indicate an early divergence but remains unconfirmed. ADA is highly correlated with Bitcoin (~0.85+); Bitcoin’s pullback (recent tests around $65.6k and sub‑$68k levels) raises downside pressure on ADA. Scenarios: if $0.2766–$0.2720 holds, expect rebounds toward the 20‑day EMA ($0.2827–$0.2841) and higher resistance bands (~$0.30–$0.33); a break below these supports opens targets near $0.25 and extended bearish levels around $0.1488–$0.1403. Trading guidance for crypto traders: avoid large leveraged long positions, use tight position sizing, place stop-losses below key supports (or above $0.2827–$0.2841 for longs), consider buying in tranches at confirmed strong supports and selling into resistance, and watch daily volume and a MACD crossover for confirmation. This analysis consolidates earlier and later reports and emphasizes technical risk management rather than new fundamental catalysts. Not investment advice.
Bearish
ADACardano Technical AnalysisSupport and ResistanceBTC CorrelationShort-term Bearish Risk