Blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant warns that Bitcoin has not yet experienced a full capitulation that historically signals durable market bottoms. Key on-chain metrics — realized price, MVRV, NUPL, long-term holder (LTH) behavior and monthly realized losses — show the market is under stress but not in extreme surrender. Bitcoin currently trades more than 25% above its realized price; monthly realized losses are near ~300,000 BTC versus ~1.1M BTC at the 2022 low. Using historical deviations from realized price (2018 & 2022), CryptoQuant frames a scenario where a capitulation similar to prior cycles could push BTC toward roughly $55,000 (about 24–30% below realized price). The firm emphasizes this is a scenario, not a prediction, and notes macro factors (rates, regulation, institutional flows) could change outcomes. For traders, the analysis suggests elevated downside risk and a potentially prolonged base-formation period rather than an immediate V-shaped recovery; signals to watch include spikes in monthly realized losses, MVRV/NUPL hitting historical oversold extremes, and a fall in the share of supply in profit.
The article examines price drivers and scenarios for the TRUMP memecoin on Solana from 2026–2030. It stresses that TRUMP’s value is primarily speculative, tied to political narrative cycles, community sentiment and broader crypto market trends. Key factors that will shape price include U.S. regulatory clarity (SEC/CFTC rulings and congressional action), Bitcoin-led market cycles and institutional flows, on-chain metrics (trading volume, holder distribution, liquidity depth), exchange listings and community development or utility expansion. Analysts note memecoins typically amplify macro crypto moves; concentrated ownership and shallow liquidity increase downside risk during stress. Three scenario pathways are outlined: a bull case (supportive regulation, sustained political relevance, strong bull market and active developer community) producing event-driven price spikes; a base case (moderate regulation and niche persistence) with price tracking memecoin cycles; and a bear case (restrictive regulation, narrative fade, prolonged bear market) causing severe devaluation. The article advises traders to prioritize independent research, monitor regulatory developments, on-chain liquidity and holder metrics, and treat TRUMP as a high-risk speculative asset within a diversified portfolio. Data sources cited include CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, Nansen and institutional analysts.
The XRP Ledger has introduced TokenEscrow, extending native escrow functionality beyond XRP to issued tokens such as RLUSD. TokenEscrow enables time-locked and condition-based settlements for issued assets without external smart contracts, allowing programmable lockups, staged releases and automated on‑chain settlement. The change reduces intermediary reliance while preserving XRPL’s speed, low cost and deterministic execution — features attractive to financial institutions for compliance-driven payments, collateral management and cross-border treasury operations. Native escrow for stablecoins like RLUSD strengthens enterprise use cases by providing predictable settlement timing, transparent audit trails and reduced counterparty exposure. TokenEscrow represents an infrastructure step toward tokenized markets and production-grade readiness for real-world financial workflows.
Fortune reports that internal investigators at Binance found more than $1 billion in USDT on the Tron network moved to Iran-linked entities between March 2024 and August 2025. At least five compliance investigators — including former law-enforcement officers and senior special-investigations staff — were reportedly dismissed beginning in late 2025 after filing reports through internal channels. Four additional senior compliance officials have resigned or left in the past three months. If confirmed, the transfers could violate U.S. sanctions. The revelations follow Binance’s 2023 guilty plea for AML/KYC failures, a government monitorship and Changpeng Zhao’s resignation as CEO. CZ disputed Fortune’s account, saying Binance uses multiple external AML tools and questioning anonymous sources; co‑CEO Yi He said personnel changes reflect normal talent decisions and reiterated cooperation with sanctions and investigations. Binance declined to comment on active probes. For traders: the story raises regulatory and reputational risk for Binance and increases scrutiny on USDT flows, Tron-based transfers and exchange AML controls, which could affect liquidity, stablecoin routing and compliance-driven volume restrictions.
Multicoin Capital’s investment lead Vishal Kankani publicly expressed directional support for Aave Labs’ “Aave Will Win” proposal, which would transfer 100% of Aave-branded product revenues to the DAO in exchange for operational funding. Multicoin called this a meaningful strategic shift that could strengthen a token-centric economic model and set a DeFi precedent if executed properly. However, Multicoin proposed several modifications: provide detailed financials and underwriting for the requested financing (about $25M in stablecoins plus 75,000 AAVE, valued at roughly $40–50M, representing 25–30% of the DAO treasury); disburse funds tied to launch milestones and measurable revenue targets; define “100% revenue” with a clear deduction framework, transparent product-level reporting, and independently verifiable P&Ls to avoid conflicts of interest; make variable grants contingent on realized economic value rather than mere product launches, suggesting an incremental net-revenue share model; and clarify whether Aave Labs will pursue non-Aave-branded products and independent revenue streams to prevent strategic drift. The statement aims to improve governance clarity and protect DAO economic substance while still supporting the core revenue-transfer idea.
Neutral
AaveAAVEDAO governanceDeFi fundingrevenue transfer
TON (TON/USDT) shows a fragile market structure: a dominant downtrend on higher timeframes (1D/3D/1W) defined by lower highs/lows, while short-term (1H–4H) price has bounced from ~$1.39 to ~$1.48 and sits above the EMA20 (~$1.43). Current price ~$1.46, 24h +4–6% with 24h range $1.372–$1.467. Key levels to watch: bullish break of $1.4565 (first confirmation) and decisive breakout above $1.5213 to shift to higher-high/higher-low structure; bearish break below $1.3468 confirms continuation to lower lows and opens path to $1.2427 (and a deeper target near $0.8408 on strong downside). RSI ~50, MACD mildly bullish; Supertrend remains bearish. TON is highly correlated with BTC: BTC breaking below $68,790 risks TON retesting $1.3468, while BTC > $71,248 would favour TON’s bullish breakout. Traders should wait for confirmed break-of-structure (BOS) with volume — without BOS the asset likely trades the $1.39–$1.48 range. Use tight stops against LL risk; this analysis is educational and not investment advice.
Neutral
TONtechnical analysisbreak of structureBTC correlationkey support and resistance
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $15.19 million on Feb. 13, reversing two straight days of outflows and signaling renewed investor interest in regulated BTC exposure. Fidelity’s FBTC led inflows with $11.99M, followed by Grayscale’s Mini BTC (+$6.99M), WisdomTree’s BTCW (+$3.64M) and VanEck’s HODL (+$1.95M). BlackRock’s IBIT posted a notable outflow of $9.38M, underlining issuer-level divergence as investors rotate among funds based on fees, share classes and accessibility. Earlier reporting had shown a much larger single-day ETF inflow ($561.8M) in January and noted that net flows can reverse quickly amid price pressure; BTC has recently traded below ETF creation cost estimates, which can limit immediate upside. Analysts caution single-day flows are a short-term snapshot — cumulative flows, AUM and market liquidity determine durable trends. For traders, key takeaways are: monitor daily ETF flows for signs of institutional appetite (and issuer-specific moves), watch how ETF buying affects on-exchange and on-chain liquidity, and factor ETF cost-basis dynamics versus spot price when assessing short-term pressure. Overall, consecutive inflows across multiple issuers point to broadening demand that can support liquidity and legitimacy for the spot ETF market, but price sensitivity to ETF creation costs and macro/geopolitical uncertainty may sustain volatility.
U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs reversed recent outflows with a $10.21 million net inflow on Feb. 13, 2025, signaling renewed institutional interest. Fund-level flows were mixed: Grayscale’s Mini ETH led with +$14.51M, VanEck’s ETHV +$3.00M, Fidelity’s FETH +$2.04M, while BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) saw -$9.34M. Compared with an earlier Feb. 3 report that showed a $15M collective inflow led by BlackRock’s ETHA, the Feb. 13 data indicate rotation between issuers rather than uniform new capital — capital appears to be reallocating toward Grayscale’s Mini product and other competitive structures. Analysts cite stabilizing ETH prices, progress on Ethereum’s upgrade roadmap and softer inflation data as drivers boosting demand for alternative assets. For traders, these ETF flows imply potential upward spot-market buying pressure (issuers buy ETH to back new shares) and active fund-level rotation; however, experts warn daily ETF flows remain volatile and meaningful signals require sustained trends over weeks or months. Primary SEO keywords: spot Ethereum ETF, Ethereum ETF inflows, Grayscale Mini ETH, ETH ETF flows, institutional crypto demand.
Bullish
Spot Ethereum ETFETF FlowsGrayscale Mini ETHInstitutional DemandETH Price Impact
WLFI is trading in a clear downtrend near $0.10–$0.11 with short-term oversold conditions (RSI ≈ 30). Price sits below EMA20 (~$0.12) and shows bearish signals from Supertrend, Ichimoku and MACD. Volume metrics shifted toward higher volume on down days; OBV and Chaikin Money Flow point to distribution rather than accumulation. Key technical levels: immediate resistances at $0.1069–$0.1163 and stronger resistances between $0.132–$0.143; primary support lies at $0.0961 (weekly) — a breakdown there would likely accelerate declines toward sub-$0.09. 24h volume readings were reported between ~$127M and ~$252M in the two updates, and WLFI shows high correlation with BTC (~+0.85), making Bitcoin’s key supports (near $69,949 in earlier notes) a macro trigger. Recommended trader actions: preserve capital with tight stop-losses (e.g., just below $0.0961 or 1–1.5 ATR), size positions to risk 1–2% of capital, halve stop widths for leveraged futures, consider buying only at confirmed support or shorting on resistance rejections. Short-term risk/reward favors bears — a rebound to $0.116–$0.13 offers limited upside (~5–20%) versus downside risk of ~10% or more if support fails. This is an educational technical outlook, not investment advice.
Romance scams continue to succeed because they exploit basic human emotions and social behaviours rather than technical vulnerabilities. Scammers build long, persuasive online relationships, gain victims’ trust, then ask for money citing emergencies, travel costs or investment opportunities. Typical tactics include staged urgency, fake documents, moving conversations off-platform, and gradual grooming to normalise requests. Victims span ages and socioeconomic groups; losses are large and underreported because of embarrassment and privacy. Law enforcement and platforms struggle to keep pace: reporting delays, cross-border jurisdictional gaps and limited resources hinder investigations. Prevention relies on education, stronger platform verification, quicker fraud-reporting channels and financial institutions flagging suspicious transfers. For crypto traders, romance-scam frauds matter because scammers increasingly use cryptocurrency to receive payments—benefiting from speed, pseudonymity and limited reversibility. That raises demand for services that convert fiat to crypto and increases on-chain laundering signals. Key takeaways: romance scams are social-engineering attacks that feed on trust; they drive crypto flows into peer-to-peer and mixing services; traders should monitor unusual on-chain patterns and OTC volumes and exercise heightened AML vigilance when sudden retail inflows appear linked to fraud trends.
Berachain (BERA) has declined ~18% in 24 hours to about $0.655 after a 315% prior surge, with trading volume down ~75% to $331 million. Daily technicals show BERA losing the local support at $0.706; failure to reclaim this level could lead to a further ~45% decline toward ~$0.35. A daily close above $0.777 would be needed to signal a reversal. The ADX reads 33.65, indicating a strong directional trend. On-chain metrics from DeFiLlama report declines in TVL, chain revenue and DEX volume over the past three days, reflecting weaker user activity. Derivatives data from Coinglass show mixed sentiment: $644k net outflow on spot (possible accumulation), ~ $3.71M of short-leveraged positions clustered near $0.708 (resistance), and ~$641k of long-leveraged positions near $0.64 (support). Overall, bearish positions dominate. Key takeaways for traders: watch $0.706 as the critical support — a confirmed breakdown targets $0.35; $0.777 daily close is required to flip momentum bullish; monitor volume, TVL and derivatives open interest for confirmation.
A newly created wallet transferred 2,000,000 USDC into Hyperliquid to open a 2x leveraged long position on Nvidia (NVDA) stock. The position size is reported as 21,687 xyz:NVDA tokens, approximately USD 3.97 million. The activity was observed by on-chain monitor Lookonchain roughly 11 hours after the wallet was created. No counterparty or identity information about the whale was disclosed. This move highlights growing use of tokenized stock products and stablecoin liquidity for leveraged exposure to equities via crypto-native platforms.
BlockSec Phalcon reports an exploit on a BSC-based USDC–OCA liquidity pool that resulted in roughly $422,000 worth of USDC drained. The attacker abused a flaw in OCA’s deflationary sellOCA() logic: each sell call removed an equivalent amount of OCA from the pool while swapping, artificially inflating the token price and permitting repeated profitable swaps. The exploit was executed across three transactions — the first performed the attack, and the subsequent two paid block-builder bribes (about 43 BNB and 69 BNB) to 48club-puissant-builder. The attacker’s estimated profit after costs is approximately $340,000. A separate transaction in the same block (position 52) failed, possibly due to a front-run by the attacker. BlockSec’s alert offers no investment advice. Key details for traders: exploit type (smart-contract logic/deflationary token bug), affected pair (USDC–OCA on BSC), total drain (~$422K USDC), attacker profit (~$340K after bribes), and on-chain indicators (three tx pattern with MEV/bribes).
US prosecutors in the Northern District of Ohio issued a public warning about a surge in romance scams that increasingly demand cryptocurrency payments around Valentine’s Day. Scammers cultivate relationships via dating apps, social media and text messages, use fake profiles and stolen photos, profess rapid affection, and then ask victims to send crypto for fake emergencies or bogus investment platforms. The advisory highlights recent prosecutions and recoveries: a December 2025 indictment of Frederick Kumi for an alleged romance fraud network that took over $8 million from elderly victims since 2023; an Ohio woman who lost roughly $663,000 after being steered to open accounts on Crypto.com and Coinbase and transfer funds to a fake platform; and an FBI recovery with Tether of more than $8.2 million in seized USDT. Industry data from PeckShield shows crypto scams and hacks cost users over $4 billion in 2025, with $1.37 billion from scams — a 64% year-over-year increase. Prosecutors warned of rising scam sophistication, including fake investment sites and routing through mixers or foreign exchanges to evade recovery. Recommended protections for traders and the public include reverse image searches, skepticism toward anyone who refuses to meet in person, never sending cryptocurrency, gift cards or wire transfers to online acquaintances, preserving communications and reporting incidents to the FBI’s IC3. Law enforcement noted they can sometimes freeze stolen crypto if wallets are identified before funds hit mixers or certain exchanges. Primary keywords: romance scams, cryptocurrency scams, Valentine’s Day scams; secondary keywords: US prosecutors, crypto fraud, USDT seizure, PeckShield report.
Indiana’s legislature advanced House Bill 1042, moving the state closer to allowing certain public pension systems to evaluate regulated cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (crypto ETFs). The bill does not require allocations but permits pension boards discretion to consider crypto ETFs under existing fiduciary duties and risk-management standards. HB1042 limits exposure to regulated ETF vehicles (not direct token or stablecoin purchases) and mandates feasibility studies, risk assessments, compliance reviews, and documentation showing alignment with long-term funding obligations before any capital is committed. The measure also seeks uniform state rules to prevent local restrictions on lawful crypto activity. Passed by a Senate committee with bipartisan support, the bill emphasizes oversight controls, transparency and governance measures and now proceeds to further floor debate and potential amendments. For traders, the key implications are increased institutional interest in regulated crypto products, potential higher ETF flows if adopted, and continued focus on regulatory-safe ETF wrappers rather than direct custodial crypto exposure.
Bitcoin (BTC) surged above $69,000 to about $69,482 after intensified retail buying and short-covering cleared a descending channel and reclaimed the $69K zone. The rapid move generated roughly $92–96 million in futures liquidations within four hours, with short positions accounting for ~92% of the pain. Liquidations were concentrated on Bybit (22.5%), Hyperliquid (22%) and Gate (15%).
On-chain order-flow (Hyblock) shows small wallets ($0–$10k) added ~ $613 million cumulative in February. Mid-size wallets ($10k–$100k) were net negative for the month (~-$216M) but added about $300M after BTC dipped below $60k. Whale wallets (>$100k) registered heavy outflows earlier in February — cumulative CVD fell to around -$5.8B — and have since stabilized rather than returning to net accumulation.
Technically, BTC cleared the descending channel and is holding above ~$68k; intraday 1H EMAs (50 & 100) compress below price, supporting near-term momentum. Key upside liquidity zones to watch are $71.5k and $74k. Short-term holder SOPR dropped to its lowest since November 2022, indicating many recent buyers remain underwater and market conviction is fragile.
Implications for traders: the breakout and short squeeze create immediate bullish momentum and open the possibility of a push toward $71.5k–$74k if BTC sustains above ~$68k. However, the absence of renewed whale accumulation and depressed SOPR warn of weak conviction — failure to hold higher support could prompt a quick retracement and renewed consolidation. This is short-term bullish for BTC price action but requires follow-through from large holders to confirm a durable uptrend. This summary is for informational purposes and not investment advice.
Crypto investors are shifting focus from pure price appreciation to generating predictable income from holdings. Platforms such as Varntix are marketing fixed-rate crypto income products that let users lock Bitcoin or Ethereum exposure for set terms (6–24 months) and earn stablecoin payouts (USDT/USDC) at advertised fixed annual rates — up to 24% in the press release — with weekly, monthly or quarterly distributions and early redemption options. Varntix’s offering emphasizes on-chain transparency: smart-contract automation, third-party audits, and monthly proof-of-reserves reports. The move reflects investor demand for yield during flat or down markets, when holding BTC or ETH alone produces no cash flow. The article frames this as part of market maturation: combining growth exposure with predictable income reduces reliance on timing big price moves and may keep capital deployed in crypto during volatile periods.
Litecoin (LTC) is trading around $55 after a recent 4–6% intraday recovery but remains in a broader downtrend and below key moving averages (EMA20/EMA50). Volume has weakened versus the 7-day average, though there were isolated upside volume spikes; overall On-Balance Volume remains negative. Technical levels to watch: immediate support near $54–$52 and stronger supports around $45 and $26. Resistance and breakout triggers sit at ~$55–$59, with medium-term Supertrend resistance near $66. Momentum shows near-oversold RSI (~31–36) and bullish MACD/RSI divergences, suggesting the downtrend may be exhausting. BTC correlation (~0.85) means Bitcoin’s direction (key supports ~68.8k, 65.4k, 60k) will heavily influence LTC. Trading implications for crypto traders: expect short-term consolidation in $54–$56 with scalping opportunities due to elevated ATR (~5% daily); wait for volume confirmation (e.g., breakout above $55 with volume > ~$200M or accumulation signals near $52.8) before committing to longer positions. Bear risks include renewed distribution if rallies fail on higher volume or a Bitcoin breakdown; downside targets cited include $52.8, $45.07 and a deep bearish scenario near $26.40. Risk management: use stops (suggested long stop below $54) and monitor BTC correlation and volume behavior closely. (Keywords: Litecoin, LTC, technical analysis, support and resistance, BTC correlation.)
Neutral
LitecoinTechnical AnalysisSupport and ResistanceBTC CorrelationShort-term Trading
Binance has transferred and effectively locked approximately $1 billion worth of Bitcoin—around 15,000 BTC—into cold storage to serve as a long-term reserve. The move was confirmed by on-chain transaction data showing sizable BTC transfers to addresses controlled by Binance and subsequent transfers to cold wallets. Binance described the allocation as a strategic reserve to strengthen its treasury and underwrite liabilities, reducing liquidity risk on the exchange. The action follows broader industry trends where exchanges and institutional players bolster on-chain reserves after periods of market volatility. Key figures: ~15,000 BTC (~$1 billion). Implications include reduced circulating supply of BTC held by Binance, possible positive sentiment for Bitcoin due to perceived commitment to solvency and long-term backing, and potential short-term liquidity constraints if withdrawals surge. Traders should watch exchange balances, on-chain flows, funding rates and order-book depth for potential volatility signals.
Bitcoin’s price region around $60,000 is identified as a critical “fault line” where a sustained break could prompt outsized volatility and forced selling. Deribit options positioning shows roughly $1.24 billion in open interest on $60k puts, which can prompt dealers to hedge by selling BTC or futures as price nears that strike, adding downside pressure. If price falls decisively below $60k, cascade risks increase from multiple sources: the 200-week moving average near ~$58k, liquidations of BTC-backed loans, and cascading liquidations of leveraged futures positions. The article highlights $50,000 as the next major put-interest zone and warns that the interplay of options hedging and balance-sheet pressures can accelerate declines beyond a normal correction. Key takeaways for traders: monitor $60k as a short-term structural support level, track put open interest and dealer hedging behavior on Deribit, watch on-chain indicators for loan/position liquidations, and be cautious of rapid volatility and liquidity-driven selling if $60k fails.
Kevin O’Leary, the entrepreneur and Shark Tank investor, won a $2.8 million default judgment against crypto influencer Ben “BitBoy” Armstrong in a federal court in Miami. The US District Court for the Southern District of Florida awarded $750,000 for emotional distress, $78,000 for reputational harm, and $2 million in punitive damages after Armstrong failed to appear or respond. Armstrong’s March 2025 posts falsely accused O’Leary of involvement in a 2019 fatal boating accident, disclosed O’Leary’s personal phone number, and drew roughly 156,000 views. The posts led to a social-platform suspension and reportedly forced O’Leary to raise annual security costs by about $200,000. The court found Armstrong acted with actual malice and noted a pattern of hostile communications. Armstrong asked to set aside the default judgment citing incarceration and bipolar disorder, but the court denied the request, finding he had notice and that vacating the judgment would unfairly prejudice O’Leary. Key points: defamation ruling, $2.8M award (breakdown: $750k emotional distress, $78k reputational harm, $2M punitive), false allegations tied to a 2019 boating death, ~156,000 views, increased security costs ~$200k, defendant’s nonappearance and claim of mental health issues rejected by court.
Neutral
DefamationLegal JudgmentCrypto InfluencersReputation RiskSocial Media Misconduct
Avalanche (AVAX) is trading near the critical $9 pivot after moving between about $8.8–$9.2 in recent updates. Volume profiles diverge across reports (roughly $184M–$254M daily), but both sources agree price remains under short- and mid-term moving averages (20-day EMA and weekly structure), and the broader trend is bearish. Technicals show near-oversold momentum (RSI mid-30s) with mixed signals: MACD histogram turning mildly bullish while Supertrend and weekly multi-timeframe indicators remain negative. Immediate support/pivot sits at $9.14–$9.25; a confirmed hold and breakout above $9.25 on rising volume could enable a short-term bounce toward $10–$13.7. Failure to hold $9.14 (or the $8.50–$8.25 cluster noted earlier) would likely accelerate downside to targets in the $7.55–$7.50 area and lower — some analysts project deeper falls toward $6.30–$4.54 in extended weakness. AVAX shows high correlation with Bitcoin (~0.85); BTC weakness and rising dominance are a headwind for a sustained altcoin rally. Trading implications: sellers remain in control unless AVAX reclaims $9.38–$9.87 EMAs with conviction. Short-term traders can seek a bounce with tight stops and volume confirmation; longer-term bulls need reclaim of higher resistances (around $10.16, $11.8 and retests toward $13.7+) and improvement in BTC’s trend before increasing exposure.
Bearish
AVAXTechnical AnalysisSupport and ResistanceBitcoin CorrelationShort-term Trading
South Korea’s Gangnam Police Station reported 22 BTC (≈$1.45M) missing from a USB cold wallet seized in a 2021 investigation. The physical USB device remained in police custody but auditors discovered the coins had been transferred remotely during a nationwide digital-asset custody audit on 13 February 2026. Authorities say there was no sign of physical tampering; the Gyeonggi Bukbu Provincial Police Agency opened an internal probe to determine whether the breach resulted from external hacking, internal negligence or procedural lapses. This follows a larger January incident in which the Gwangju District Prosecutors’ Office lost 320 BTC after staff accessed a phishing site and credentials were compromised. Both cases involved USB/hardware wallets and verification failures, pointing to systemic custody weaknesses — possible owner backups, key exposure when wallets were created on internet-connected machines, or poor credential handling. Regulators including the Financial Supervisory Service have proposed stricter IT-risk rules, AI monitoring and fines to tighten digital-asset custody standards. For traders: the incident highlights institutional custody risks for seized coins, potential increases in regulatory scrutiny and demand for professional custodians and multi-signature/HSM solutions. Primary keywords: South Korean police, 22 BTC, seized assets, crypto custody. Secondary keywords: USB cold wallet, hardware wallet, custody failure, multi-signature, HSM.
ZEC (ZEC/USDT) rallied roughly 20% within 24 hours but the technical structure remains sideways to bearish. Price sits below the 20-day EMA and the Supertrend is still bearish, limiting follow-through despite a short-term positive MACD histogram. Near-term resistances cluster at ~$281 (EMA20), $305 and a larger supply area above $500; supports lie at ~$264 and $233, with a break below $233 likely accelerating declines toward the $200 area. Volume spiked (24h ~ $737M) and futures open interest rose (~12%), yet OBV and on-chain conviction are weak, suggesting the move lacks strong buying commitment. ZEC shows high correlation to BTC (~0.85) — BTC weakness will undercut ZEC rallies; key Bitcoin levels to watch are roughly $68k–$71k (directional cues). Tactical trade plans: consider shorting rejections near $281 with tight stops above EMA20 and a first target near $264; only initiate longs after a decisive breakout above resistance with clear volume confirmation and targets toward $467–$534 using trailing stops. Risk is elevated (ATR ~8%); maintain strict position sizing (1–2%) and stop-loss discipline. Overall bias: medium-term bearish/sideways until price and volume confirm a breakout or a confirmed breakdown.
Bearish
ZECTechnical AnalysisBTC CorrelationSupport and ResistanceVolume & Risk
Russia’s Central Bank is reassessing its long-standing opposition to a state-backed stablecoin and plans to conduct technical and strategic studies this year, the Bank’s First Deputy Governor Vladimir Chistyukhin said. The review is driven by shifting global regulatory moves — notably the U.S. GENIUS Act requiring full dollar-backed reserves and increased EU activity on euro-based stablecoins under MiCA — and by sanctions and digital-sovereignty concerns. Russian authorities see domestically managed stablecoins as potential tools to reduce reliance on Western payment rails, support cross-border trade, and provide alternative settlement channels for sanctioned entities. The Central Bank emphasizes the need for transparent reserve management, a strong legal framework, and trust mechanisms but has not taken concrete steps beyond analysis. No timeline or technical design has been announced.
Decred (DCR) surged 11.7% after rebounding from a local low of $21 to an intraday high of $25.34, trading around $24.12 at press time. Buyers stepped in aggressively, raising buyer strength to ~62 and keeping it above 60 for two days. Market indicators show increasing accumulation: Volume MA rose to ~93k, buy volume climbed to 22.85k while sell volume fell to 18.78k, and the Accumulation/Distribution metric improved. Technical indicators turned bullish — RSI climbed from 55 to 59 and the DMI rose to ~27 — suggesting renewed upward momentum. If demand holds, DCR could flip and sustain $25 and test the previous rejection zone around $27. Conversely, a loss of momentum or profit-taking could prompt a pullback toward $20. Market cap returned to roughly $400 million amid stronger inflows. Key SEO keywords: Decred, DCR price, DCR rally, flip $25, retest $27, accumulation, RSI, buy volume.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Congress to pass the CLARITY Act this spring to reduce market uncertainty after recent Bitcoin and crypto volatility. Speaking to CNBC, Bessent said some volatility was “self-induced” by industry reactions and stressed urgency to move the stalled market-structure bill to President Trump’s desk before the spring legislative window closes. The CLARITY Act—intended to clarify SEC vs. CFTC jurisdiction, add developer protections and set market-structure rules—has split lawmakers: the Senate Banking Committee’s draft, which includes stablecoin provisions, was paused for revisions after criticism and opposition from some firms (notably Coinbase, which withdrew support over limits on stablecoin yield). A bipartisan effort is working to reconcile the Banking Committee text with the Senate Agriculture Committee’s CFTC-focused half; Patrick Witt of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets said negotiators aim to preserve key jurisdictional and market-structure provisions. Bessent warned a shift in House control after midterms could complicate passage. For traders: the push from the Treasury signals senior-level momentum for regulatory clarity—passage would likely reduce uncertainty-driven volatility in BTC and crypto markets, while delays, high-profile opposition, or a fracturing of the bipartisan deal could prolong bearish sentiment. Current price context cited BTC near $68,258 (TradingView).
Glassnode on-chain data shows 30-day simple moving average (SMA) netflows for US spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs have been predominantly negative across recent months. Both summaries report the largest outflows in Q4 2025, with outflows continuing into early 2026 and only a brief, short-lived positive netflow during January’s price recovery. Analysts link the red netflows to recent price drawdowns; Glassnode finds no clear sign of renewed institutional demand through the spot ETF channel. At reporting times BTC prices differed between pieces (about $88,000 in the earlier summary and roughly $69,200 in the later one), but both note recent weekly price moves — a ~3.5% seven-day drop in the earlier piece and a ~5% seven-day rise in the later one. Key points for traders: sustained negative 30-day SMA netflows for BTC and ETH spot ETFs (indicator of net institutional outflows), largest ETF outflows occurred in Q4 2025, only fleeting inflows in January, and no current evidence of renewed demand via spot ETFs. Monitor ETF netflows and price action for continued selling pressure or signs of renewed institutional inflows before positioning for a sustained trend reversal.
U.S. investor Andrew Barr filed a class-action suit in federal court in Washington accusing Steve Bannon, Boris Epshteyn, Bannon’s media company War Room, Let‘s Go Brandon Coin LLC and Patriot Pay LLC of defrauding thousands of investors by selling an unregistered crypto token. The token, originally named Let’s Go Brandon Coin (FJB) and later rebranded to Patriot Pay (PPY), was promoted using the defendants’ public platforms and political influence, the complaint says. The plaintiff alleges more than $58,000 in personal losses, claims defendants hid key risks and governance facts, and accuses them of violating securities and consumer protection laws. The suit states trading was halted in early 2025, the project was announced closed, and promised distributions of remaining liquidity have not occurred. The plaintiff seeks to represent thousands of retail investors nationwide to recover damages. Primary keywords: Patriot Pay, Let’s Go Brandon Coin, FJB, PPY, unregistered token, class-action, Steve Bannon, Boris Epshteyn. Secondary/semantic keywords: crypto fraud, securities law, investor losses, token suspension, liquidity distribution.