On-chain analytics firm Glassnode reports the 90-day simple moving average of Bitcoin’s Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has fallen below 1, indicating that realized losses now exceed realized profits across the network. Historically, breaches below 1 have persisted for six months or more and have coincided with deep bear phases (notably 2018 and 2022). The ratio fell from ~1.5 in early February and ~1.32 in late January to under 1 by Feb 24, 2026. Glassnode called this a transition to an “excess loss-realization regime.” CryptoQuant and other analysts note whale metrics (Unspent Profitability Ratios) now mirror levels seen around May–June 2022, a period that preceded significant downside before the later market bottom. Context: realized profits had collapsed from over $1B (Q4 2025) to $183.8M by December 2025, briefly allowing BTC to rally above $96,000 in January. As of the report, BTC traded near $63,200, down ~3.6% in 24 hours and ~29% over the past month, roughly 50% below its October 2025 all-time high. Macro headwinds — including U.S. tariff proposals — are cited as drivers rather than structural on-chain failures. Some analysts remain long-term constructive, calling current volatility a maturation phase, while technical warnings (a potential three-day “death cross”) suggest possible further declines. Key metrics: 90-day SMA Realized Profit/Loss Ratio < 1; realized profits 7-day avg fell from >$1B to $183.8M in Dec 2025; BTC price ~ $63,200 at time of writing. Primary keywords: Bitcoin, realized losses, Glassnode, Realized Profit/Loss Ratio, bear market. Secondary keywords: on-chain analytics, whale activity, Unspent Profitability Ratio, death cross, macro headwinds.
Hedera-based Hashgraph Group has launched TrackTrace, a supply-chain data platform designed to help companies comply with the EU’s Digital Product Passport (DPP) requirements under the Ecodesign for Sustainable Products Regulation (ESPR). TrackTrace records verifiable audit trails for product provenance, emissions, durability and repairability, integrates IDTrust identity, uses agentic AI to automate compliance workflows, and partners with PwC for DPP implementations. The ESPR came into force on July 18, 2024; battery passport rules take effect February 18, 2027, with textiles, clothing and iron/steel added from July 2027. Hedera positions itself as an energy-efficient, enterprise-grade distributed ledger governed by major firms including Dell, Google and IBM — a selling point for corporate adoption. Updated market context: HBAR spot price traded around $0.096–$0.097 with 24h volume near $71.9M; technical indicators show a short-term downtrend (RSI ~43–47, EMA20 ≈ $0.0975). Key technical levels cited are supports at $0.0919 and $0.0886 and resistances at $0.0940, $0.1039 and $0.1042. Takeaway for traders: TrackTrace adoption could increase enterprise demand for Hedera services and HBAR over the long term, supporting a constructive medium-to-long-term narrative for HBAR. In the short term, on-chain news alone is unlikely to reverse existing technical weakness; traders should watch adoption announcements and whether on-chain usage or treasury flows translate into measurable HBAR demand. Not investment advice.
Former U.S. budget director David Stockman publicly called Bitcoin a "rug pull" after BTC fell roughly 48% from about $125,000 to the low $60,000s over five months. Stockman argued the sharp correction undermines Bitcoin’s "store of value" narrative and reflects speculative behavior driven by post-2008 liquidity cycles. On-chain analyst Willy Woo countered that large-cap equities like Nvidia and Apple have experienced similar drawdowns (60–90%) yet remained long-term holdings, implying volatility alone does not disprove Bitcoin’s thesis. Investor Lawrence Lepard described Bitcoin as still in an adoption phase and forecast potential outperformance versus gold over the next two years. Key figures: David Stockman, Willy Woo, Lawrence Lepard. Key metric: ~48% BTC decline (from ~$125k to ~$65k). Primary keywords: Bitcoin, BTC, rug pull, store of value, drawdown, volatility. Secondary/semantic keywords included for SEO: on-chain analyst, large-cap tech drawdown, adoption phase, gold comparison, liquidity cycles. This debate may influence trader sentiment: negative headlines from a prominent critic can increase short-term selling pressure, while analyst defenses may support buy-the-dip strategies among longer-term holders.
Bearish
BitcoinBTC price droprug pull debateon-chain analysisstore of value
XRP is trading at $1.35, down 28% year-to-date, and futures Open Interest (OI) has fallen to $2.29 billion amid a sustained downtrend. Crypto commentator Chad Steingraber and CryptoQuant/Coinglass data highlight a consistent historical correlation: major XRP rallies (Mar–Apr 2021, Nov 2024–Jan 2025, Jun–Jul 2025) coincided with sharp increases in OI — including all-time highs at $7.76B and $10.94B during the 2024–2025 rallies. Rising price and rising OI typically reinforce each other because new longs require matching shorts and reported OI often increases in dollar terms as price rises, even without new contracts. Analysts warn OI is best used as a trend-confirmation tool rather than a standalone predictor; rapid OI spikes can indicate crowded leveraged positions and increased liquidation risk. Traders are advised to watch OI movements alongside price action and leverage metrics to assess the likelihood of a sustained XRP recovery.
Stablecoin reserves on exchanges have declined sharply, slipping back to 2024 levels amid a prolonged crypto market downturn. According to on-chain analytics cited in the report, total stablecoin exchange reserves fell from $75 billion to $64 billion overall. Binance saw an 18.6% drop in reserves — from $50.9 billion to $41.4 billion — with more than $10 billion flowing out over several months. Exchange stablecoin inflows have also fallen, from 192k to 66k over the past three weeks, indicating reduced fresh liquidity and heightened selling pressure. Market-flow indicators (TradingView Market Flow Strength) show sustained negative capital flow (around -20), and average RSI (CoinGlass AVG RSI) sits near 36, approaching oversold territory. The report concludes that low stablecoin liquidity constrains buying power, increases the likelihood of prolonged weakness across crypto markets, and limits the market’s ability to mount sustained rallies until liquidity recovers.
EUR/JPY climbed to 168.50, its strongest level since November 2024, as the Japanese yen weakened amid rising skepticism that the Bank of Japan will deliver meaningful monetary tightening in 2025. Technical indicators show bullish momentum: the pair broke key resistance at 167.80, trading volumes rose ~18% month-on-month, RSI is about 68, and the 50-day MA crossed above the 200-day MA (golden cross). Fundamentals driving the move include policy divergence — a relatively hawkish ECB (policy rate ~3.25%, inflation 2.4%) versus a cautious BoJ (policy rate ~0.25%, core CPI 2.1%, GDP growth 0.4% q/q) — widening yield differentials and stronger Eurozone data (beat PMI readings). Institutional net longs have increased (CFTC data at highest since Sept 2024). Key risk factors for traders: unexpected BoJ tightening, weak Eurozone data, shifts in global risk sentiment, and technical resistance near 169.50. Short-term outlook: continued upside on policy divergence and technical momentum, with volatility risk around macro releases and possible verbal or actual FX intervention by Japanese authorities. Medium-to-long-term outlook: analysts project continued Euro strength into mid-2025 (Bloomberg median ~172 by June 2025; Reuters year-end ~169.5), but trajectories depend on future central bank actions and economic surprises. Traders should monitor BoJ communications, Eurozone data, JGB/EU yield spreads and use disciplined risk management (stop-losses, position sizing).
Bananatech, a payments infrastructure provider, has expanded its crypto card issuing and processing capabilities to support fintech firms and Web3 payment programs. The company now offers card issuance, processing, and integration services aimed at enabling fiat and crypto spend via branded debit/credit cards and payment rails. Bananatech’s platform targets fintechs, crypto wallets and Web3 projects seeking to launch card programs and streamline on/off ramps between crypto and traditional payments. The announcement highlights support for both custodial and non-custodial flows, compliance and KYC integrations, and partnerships with card networks and payment processors to enable global acceptance. No specific financial terms, client names or launch dates were disclosed. The move seeks to capitalize on rising merchant and consumer demand for seamless crypto-to-fiat payments and could accelerate product rollouts for firms requiring card rails and managed issuance.
TD Securities warns that upcoming U.S. consumer and business confidence readings combined with scheduled Federal Reserve speeches will be the primary drivers of USD volatility and direction through 2025. Key confidence indicators include the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs. Recent quarterly readings were mixed (Consumer Confidence fell to 102.5; Consumer Sentiment 78.8; ISM Manufacturing rose to 50.3; ISM Services 53.4), suggesting divergent signals between demand-side softness and manufacturing resilience. Fed communication—especially comments on inflation (Core PCE, CPI), labor market (unemployment, wage growth) and growth metrics—will shape rate expectations. TD Securities notes market reactions typically follow data releases, then Fed remarks for context, prompting adjustments in positioning and potential rapid price moves. Traders are advised to use scenario-based plans (hawkish = dollar rally; dovish = dollar weakness; mixed = range-bound), tighten risk management ahead of catalysts, and monitor cross-currency relationships (EUR/USD, USD/JPY) and global policy divergence. The analysis highlights implications for emerging markets with dollar-denominated debt and trade impacts from dollar moves. The outlook is that combined confidence data and Fed commentary will create trading opportunities and elevated short-term volatility while longer-term currency trends depend on sustained economic and policy signals.
El Salvador’s National Bitcoin Office has launched a redesigned public education curriculum named “Bitcoin Diploma 2.0,” with the first print run of textbooks completed and implementation planned across the public school system in 2026. The upgrade replaces the earlier “What Is Money?” program and uses animations and real-world case studies to teach Bitcoin and basic financial concepts. Stacy Herbert, director of the National Bitcoin Office, said the materials aim to strengthen young Salvadorans’ understanding of the nature of money. The office has opened a new teaching site in Panchimalco and plans further expansion in Apopa. The rollout is part of ongoing state efforts to integrate Bitcoin education into national institutions.
Russian authorities have opened a criminal investigation into Telegram co‑founder and CEO Pavel Durov, accusing the messaging platform of facilitating terrorist and extremist activity by failing to remove flagged content. The Federal Security Service (FSB) and state media say Telegram did not delete about 155,000 channels, chats and bots, including more than 104,000 alleged misinformation channels, 10,598 promoting extremism, 4,168 justifying extremist acts and 3,771 linked to drugs. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed the probe is based on FSB materials. Russian regulator Roskomnadzor previously tightened restrictions on Telegram and increased throttling for non‑compliance; if Telegram is formally designated an “extremist” organisation, payments for Telegram Premium and platform advertising in Russia could be criminalised. Durov has denied wrongdoing, framed the action as pressure to drive users toward a state‑backed messenger (MAX), and pointed to other legal troubles, including a separate inquiry in France. For crypto markets the impact is indirect but meaningful: Telegram hosts large crypto communities and features such as TON and TON Pay, so heightened regulatory pressure, partial or full blockades in Russia, or a formal extremist designation could reduce user access and engagement, disrupt token launches and community coordination on Telegram, and increase counterparty and liquidity risk for projects that rely on the platform. Traders should monitor potential service restrictions, changes to TON ecosystem activity, and any escalation (charges, extremist designation or payment bans) that could materially affect on‑chain volumes and token sentiment.
UNCX Network is a DeFi tooling suite that provides liquidity locks, token vesting schedules, and launch/presale infrastructure to improve trust and operational control for token projects. Evolving from UniCrypt, UNCX deploys smart contracts across multiple chains; projects choose a tool, set parameters (lock duration, vesting cliffs, release intervals) and funds become governed by on-chain rules. Key benefits: visible, enforceable schedules that reduce rug-pull and immediate team-dump risks. Key limitations: misconfiguration risk (wrong recipients, cliffs, durations), smart-contract risk, and fees that can be material for small projects. The review lists sample vesting fees (e.g., 0.05 ETH + 0.1% of vested tokens on Ethereum/Base; 0.2 BNB + 0.1% on BSC; 0.5 SOL + 0.1% on Solana) and stresses multi-chain coverage as valuable for modern launches. Recommendations for safer use include verifying contract addresses and chains, double-checking recipient lists and amounts, testing with small amounts, and keeping written records of parameters. Verdict: UNCX is a practical trust-and-enforcement layer for token distribution and launch workflows when teams prioritise correct configuration and fee planning.
Societe Generale warns that USD/JPY is likely to push higher as persistent policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan keeps sustained downward pressure on the Japanese yen. Technicals show USD/JPY testing higher resistance with shallower pullbacks, and a decisive break above 152.00 could accelerate gains. Primary drivers include a wide interest-rate differential—higher US Treasury yields versus low-yielding JGBs—Japan’s structural economic headwinds (aging population, deflationary forces), and current global risk sentiment favoring carry trades. Implications: exporters may benefit from a weaker yen while import-driven inflation and higher consumer costs present domestic risks. Traders should watch BoJ/Fed communications, the 152.00/150.00 levels, and moving averages (notably the 200-day) for breakout or reversal signals. Short-term: momentum favors USD strength; long-term: reversal would require meaningful narrowing of the policy gap or major risk-off shocks. Keywords: USD/JPY, Japanese yen, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, interest rate differential, forex trading.
USD/INR remains firm around 83.20–83.40 after sequential reports: recent Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) buying of roughly $2.1bn last week and earlier-quarter FII purchases, while the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reportedly intervened with an estimated $3–4bn in the spot market and used forward operations to manage future obligations. Structural dollar demand — a roughly $22.4bn trade deficit, corporate dollar needs for debt servicing and dividend repatriation, strong oil import bills, and evolving capital-flow composition — has offset typical rupee appreciation from portfolio inflows. The RBI’s approach combines spot/forward transactions, verbal guidance and reserve accumulation (reserves ~ $652bn) under a managed-float framework aimed at smoothing volatility rather than targeting a specific rate. Technically the pair is range-bound with converging moving averages, low implied volatility and steady volumes, suggesting balanced momentum. For crypto traders, implications include continued range trading in INR-pegged or INR-exposed crypto pairs and derivatives, potential hedging demand from corporates and entities with INR liabilities, and sensitivity of local crypto liquidity to RBI communications, Fed policy shifts, oil prices and FII flow updates. Monitor FII flows, corporate dollar demand, RBI intervention data and options positioning for short-term directional cues; absent a dominant catalyst (sharp Fed move, sudden capital outflows, or major RBI policy change), expect the rupee — and INR-linked crypto flows — to stay range-bound.
Trader Surf flagged early signs that Dogecoin (DOGE) may be starting to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) after a subtle weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) uptick on the DOGE/BTC chart. Despite both assets posting near-term losses (BTC down ~4.85% to $63,219; DOGE down ~5.61% intraday before recovering to $0.09091), Surf highlighted a rising RSI amid price compression — a technical setup that can precede reduced selling pressure and potential trend reversal. The trader emphasized watching the weekly close for confirmation; a sustained weekly RSI break above a descending resistance line could weaken DOGE’s long-term downtrend versus BTC and attract rotation into meme coins. Analysts warn Bitcoin’s stability is critical: a deeper BTC dip could erase DOGE gains as capital flees higher-risk assets. Key facts: weekly RSI marginally higher on DOGE/BTC, DOGE trading around $0.0909 at press time, BTC near $63.2k, and traders are monitoring weekly candle closes for confirmation. Primary keywords: Dogecoin, DOGE/BTC, Bitcoin, RSI, breakout.
Brazil’s Foreign Trade Council has exempted import tariffs on high-efficiency SHA‑256 Bitcoin mining hardware (≥200 TH/s and <20 J/TH) through January 31, 2028 (Resolução GECEX 861). The decision removes customs duty—though other taxes remain—lowering upfront costs for professional mining operators who meet the technical criteria. Days after the waiver, French state-owned energy company Engie said it is evaluating using surplus generation from its 895 MW Assu Sol solar plant in northeastern Brazil for Bitcoin mining, aiming to monetize curtailed renewable output. Brazil faces significant curtailment, especially in the northeast: wind projects may lose ~32 TWh between Oct 2021–Sep 2025 (roughly 6 billion reais / ~$1.2bn). Mining can act as flexible demand to consume otherwise-wasted electricity, improving plant revenue. Profitability hinges on device efficiency, BTC price and local electricity rates; example device (200 TH/s, <20 J/TH) yields about $6.81/day while consuming 96 kWh, breaking even near $0.071/kWh (370 BRL/MWh). Barriers include high capital costs, banking/financing constraints, possible future reductions in curtailment if transmission is upgraded, and uncertainty whether the tariff waiver will be extended after 2028. Policy is targeted—not a nationwide mining strategy—and primarily benefits operators with access to advanced ASICs and project-level power arrangements. Traders should watch hardware supply, Engie and other energy producers’ pilot outcomes, local electricity pricing, and any extension or broadening of the tariff exemption—factors that could affect institutional mining capacity and BTC sell pressure.
Blockchain analytics firm Unfolded reports a $209 billion net sell-off from altcoin portfolios since January, excluding Ethereum (ETH). The figure represents aggregate net outflows across tracked wallets and exchanges, indicating sustained selling pressure in non-ETH altcoins. Analysts attribute the movement to portfolio rebalancing, increased liquidity preference, institutional risk management, tax-loss harvesting, and macroeconomic headwinds such as rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty. Development activity on many altcoin networks remains robust despite price weakness, suggesting a divergence between on-chain progress and market valuation. Traders should note a likely rotation toward higher-liquidity or more established assets (including ETH) and potential increased volatility in smaller-cap altcoins. The report signals greater market maturity as traditional portfolio principles influence crypto allocation decisions, but it remains unclear whether the outflow is a temporary adjustment or a structural shift.
Bitcoin plunged below the $63,000 support level amid a wave of panic selling by short-term holders, signaling a potential capitulation phase for the market. On-chain data (Glassnode) shows short-term holders—addresses holding BTC <155 days—leading sales, with SOPR for these holders below 1 and NUPL indicating deep fear. Technical indicators such as RSI approached multi-year lows and the Mayer Multiple fell, suggesting BTC is deeply oversold. Derivatives markets show negative funding rates and large liquidations, while exchange reserves present mixed signals: some accumulation by large wallets amid retail outflows. The selling pressure extended across major altcoins—ETH, BNB and SOL—each posting double-digit weekly losses (approx. ETH -18%, BNB -15%, SOL -22%). Analysts note historical precedents (2018 bear market, March 2020) where capitulation preceded consolidation and eventual recovery, but macro factors (rates, geopolitics) complicate timing. Key trading takeaways: elevated liquidation risk, potential for short squeezes if price rebounds (funding negative), oversold technicals may spark relief rallies, and monitoring exchange inflows, SOPR, RSI and funding rates is critical to spot stabilization or bottom formation.
Australian Federal Police’s Australian Cybercrime Squad has charged a 37-year-old man over an alleged cryptocurrency investment scam that defrauded victims of about A$5.3 million (roughly US$3.5 million). Authorities say the suspect ran a fraudulent investment scheme promising crypto returns, using online platforms and false accounts to solicit funds from multiple victims. Police executed search warrants, seized electronic devices and financial records, and are pursuing asset recovery. Charges include deception and fraud-related offenses; further legal proceedings are expected. The investigation highlights continued law-enforcement focus on crypto fraud and the risks posed by unregulated investment schemes.
The Smarter Web Company (LSE: SWC) has obtained a $30 million strategic credit facility from Coinbase Credit, using its held bitcoin as collateral. Interest will accrue only on amounts drawn, the facility has no fixed maturity date, and is intended to let the company deploy funds into bitcoin immediately after equity raises to reduce settlement timing risk in volatile markets. The arrangement supports SWC’s bitcoin-centric treasury strategy by enabling faster capital deployment and lowering exposure to execution risk during market swings. The company emphasized the facility is secured by its bitcoin holdings. This is a financing, not an equity investment, and terms aim to preserve flexibility while leveraging cryptocurrency collateral.
Bitcoin (BTC) closed the week below the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key post-halving confluence level, after three weeks of elevated sell-side volume and weak buy demand. Analyst Rekt Capital warned the weekly close beneath the 200-week EMA risks turning that level into new resistance, potentially triggering a retest of the underside and increasing the probability of further downside — a pattern seen after similar weekly closes in 2018 and 2022. BTC is already down more than 52% from its October peak. Analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the three-day chart where the 50- and 200-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) may form a death cross by late February; historically, such 3-day SMA crossovers preceded additional 45%–52% drawdowns in prior cycles. Traders should watch the 200-week EMA as a structural pivot and the approaching 3-day 50/200 SMA crossover for signals of a potential final leg down. Key keywords: Bitcoin, BTC price, 200-week EMA, 3-day death cross, SMA, sell volume, bear market.
Running and maintaining a Binance Smart Chain (BSC) archive node has become costly and operationally complex in 2026. Archive nodes (especially with Geth or Erigon/Reth clients) demand enterprise-grade hardware (5–10+ TB NVMe, 16–32 cores, 64–128 GB RAM), long sync times (days), and significant engineering effort. First-year self-hosted costs commonly reach $10K–$30K; cloud deployments can be $20K–$50K annually. Ongoing expenses include electricity, bandwidth (1–2 TB/month), maintenance, security, and dedicated ops staff, with additional redundancy and RPC-serving needs inflating costs further. Reliability, DDoS risk, and opportunity cost are added concerns. Paid RPC providers solve uptime but introduce recurring fees and rate limits. The author recommends offline datasets—one-time purchasable, decoded Parquet/duckDB-ready BSC archives—as a cost-efficient alternative for historical analysis, backtesting, and analytics. Delta Zero Labs offers such datasets (7.77B events across 19 categories) priced $5K–$20K depending on pack size. For hybrid needs, combine public RPCs for live data with offline archives for historical queries. Primary keywords: BSC node, archive node, offline dataset, Erigon, Reth, RPC; semantic keywords: node costs, archive access, backtesting, Parquet, DuckDB.
The Board of Peace, a group formed in January 2026 that includes figures such as Marco Rubio, Tony Blair and Ajay Banga, is exploring a stablecoin and digital payment system to aid Gaza’s postwar economy. The plan accompanies pledges of roughly $17 billion in reconstruction funding (around $10 billion from the United States and $7 billion from other member states) and aims to give residents a way to buy food and supplies when cash and banking infrastructure are disrupted. Liran Tancman is advising the project pro bono while the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and a new Palestinian government partner on implementation. The initiative remains early-stage: technical and operational challenges include damaged ATMs, weak electricity and internet, and coordination with Gulf digital-currency firms for technical support. Twenty-six countries, reportedly including Israel and Saudi Arabia, back the board; some Western European states have withheld support citing protocol concerns. The proposal also mentions using funds for medical systems and online education as part of a broader digitised recovery effort. For traders, the story signals increased institutional interest in stablecoins for humanitarian and reconstruction use cases and highlights cross-border cooperation between governments and private-sector crypto firms.
Bitcoin traded around $64,000 after sweeping Monday’s low and briefly touching $63,500, entering the $63k–$64k range. Despite the jump, many professional traders remain sidelined: they want a confirmed liquidity sweep below recent lows, heavier short positioning and a favourable spot–perpetual spread before adding new longs. Current funding and positioning metrics do not show heavy short exposure, and liquidity sits just below the low, so traders prefer to wait for a “quality low” supported by imbalances. Volume and derivatives data are being watched closely; market participants say the broader bullish plan is intact but timing and confirmation — not price alone — will dictate fresh long entries.
The Ethereum Foundation has begun a phased program to stake up to 70,000 ETH from its treasury to generate yield for protocol research, client development and community grants. Staking started with an initial 2,016 ETH deposit using Attestant’s open-source, non-custodial tooling (Dirk and Vouch) to reduce single points of failure and limit counterparty risk. The setup combines hosted infrastructure and self-managed hardware, uses multiple clients and distributes operations across countries. On-chain data shows the foundation still holds roughly 172,650 ETH available to deploy plus about 10,000 WETH. The move follows the Foundation’s 2024 treasury policy that endorses staking to support network security and produce yield rather than relying on asset sales. Current composite staking yield is about 2.808%. For traders, the action modestly reduces liquid ETH supply, signals institutional confidence in Ethereum’s PoS security model, and is likely to be phased and policy-driven to avoid sudden liquidity shocks. Overall, expect a measured positive sentiment effect on ETH, while immediate price impact should be limited given the staged approach and relatively small initial deposit.
Binance Coin (BNB) is trading below $600 amid falling stablecoin reserves on Binance, which have dropped to their lowest levels in several months, according to CryptoQuant data. Declining stablecoin balances typically signal reduced dry powder for buying and can indicate de-risking by traders, weakening short-term liquidity and price support. Concurrently, Bitcoin (BTC) balances on Binance have risen to their highest since late 2024, a shift often interpreted as potential selling pressure or imminent trading activity. Technicals show BNB is oversold but lacks sufficient buying momentum; key levels to watch are support at $573.49 and $543.03, with resistance at $597.41, $619.48 and $642.11. Analysts say a decisive move above $597 is needed to regain bullish momentum, while persistent tight stablecoin liquidity could cap upside and favour range-bound or downward moves in the near term. The situation increases the risk of larger price swings if liquidity is insufficient to absorb big orders.
Terraform Labs’ wind-down administrator has filed a lawsuit alleging trading firm Jane Street used non-public information from Terraform insiders to profit before the May 2022 TerraUSD collapse. The complaint claims Jane Street withdrew large amounts of UST shortly after internal moves, accelerating the stablecoin’s collapse and losses for creditors; Jane Street denies the allegations. The suit has refocused attention on Terra Classic (LUNC), which trades near $0.00003509 with a circulating supply of about 5.47 trillion. LUNC has shown short-term technical resilience, trading in a tight 24‑hour range ($0.0000343–$0.00003516) and remaining inside a flag formation that recently saw a slight break but not a sharp decline. Analysts note a possible short-term upside target around $0.00003925. Trading volume is modest (~$8.9m in 24h). Longer-term analyst projections for 2026 are wide, from a low near $0.0000242 to a high target near $0.000510. Key levels to watch: support around $0.000024 and resistance near $0.000510. The legal case adds uncertainty to market sentiment for LUNC and related assets and could influence volatility depending on developments.
Neutral
Terra ClassicLUNCTerraform LabsJane StreetLegal Risk
Bitcoin fell about 4% in 24 hours to an intraday low near $62,700 as short-term holders resumed selling, pushing BTC below $63,000. Short-Term Holder SOPR dropped below 1 to 0.95, signaling renewed loss realization among short-term holders after recent macro headlines. Glassnode data show the 90-day SMA of realized profit/loss ratio has fallen below 1, confirming a transition into an excess loss-realization (capitulation) regime. Seven-day EMA of short-term holder net realized losses cooled from a peak of $1.24 billion/day on Feb. 6 to roughly $500 million/day, indicating reduced intensity but ongoing pressure. Bitcoin’s weekly RSI reached about 25.7 — described as “most oversold” — levels previously seen before major bottoms, suggesting short-term weakness but a possible long-term recovery. Market indicators such as the fear & greed index and declining bullish sentiment point to a stressed market that may be forming a base. This situation presents heightened volatility and downside risk in the near term, while historically similar capitulation events have preceded extended recoveries.
CoinCasino is a crypto-friendly online casino and sportsbook updated for 2026. The platform supports 20+ cryptocurrencies (including BTC, ETH, DOGE, LTC, USDT) and selected fiat currencies, offering fast crypto deposits and typically near-instant withdrawals. New users can use promo code PAPER50FS to claim a tiered welcome package that awards free spins and match value depending on deposit size (examples: $10–$99.99 = 20–50 free spins; $100–$999.99 = larger spin packages; $1,000+ = maximum bonus). CoinCasino hosts thousands of games — slots (NetEnt, Microgaming, Red Tiger, etc.), table games, live dealer titles — plus a full sportsbook and esports markets with live betting and cash-out options. Key operational notes: minimum deposits often near $10, wagering requirements can be high (example: 60x for deposit bonuses, 35x for free spin winnings), and game contribution to playthrough varies by type. Player feedback highlights fast payments and large game libraries but notes occasional slow KYC and longer withdrawal times for large payouts. Traders and players should check current T&Cs, coin-specific limits, and regional legality before depositing. Primary keywords: CoinCasino, promo code PAPER50FS, crypto casino, welcome bonus, fast withdrawals.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) has formed a death cross on higher timeframes, with the 200-period moving average crossing above the 50-period MA on the 2‑hour chart — a progression of earlier bearish signals on lower timeframes. The post‑cross correction pushed SHIB down to test a key demand zone at $0.0000060; current price action around $0.0000059–$0.0000060 shows short‑term resilience but remains below major moving averages. Immediate upside targets (relief levels) are $0.0000066, $0.0000072 and $0.0000078 if buyers defend $0.0000060. A decisive break below $0.0000060 would expose supports at $0.0000057 and $0.0000050, where prior buying occurred. Traders should note the death cross is a lagging indicator that often confirms existing trends; successive crosses from lower to higher timeframes increase bearish conviction and raise the probability of further downside. Monitor volume, intraday momentum, and upcoming macro catalysts that affect risk appetite before adjusting positions — the pattern favors short-term bearish positioning, while any upside is likely a relief rally rather than a confirmed reversal.
Bearish
Shiba InuSHIBdeath crosssupport and resistancetechnical analysis