Latest Crypto News | Bitcoin, Ethereum and Altcoin Updates

CC is consolidating around $0.16 (price $0.1673 on Feb 22, 2026). Short-term momentum is mildly bearish: RSI near 48–53 (neutral), MACD shows a negative histogram, and price sits around or slightly below the 20-period EMA. Volume is below the one-week average (24h ≈ $6.87M), indicating weak participation and limited conviction behind recent moves. Key technical levels: immediate resistance near $0.1633–$0.1697 (EMA20 / pivot), with broader resistances at $0.1806 and $0.1958; supports at $0.1540 (Fib 0.618 / POC), $0.1468–$0.1470 (EMA200 / channel lower band), $0.1351, and a deep bear target at $0.0880. Multi-timeframe trend remains bullish on higher timeframes so the medium-term bias is still up, but upside is gated by multiple resistance layers and requires rising volume and MACD histogram narrowing to confirm. Correlation with Bitcoin is high (~0.85); BTC near $67k means BTC weakness would increase downside risk for CC. Tactical plans for traders: consider a long after a confirmed break and close above $0.1633–$0.17 (stop-loss $0.1540; target $0.2331) or consider short exposure if price breaks and closes below $0.1540 (stop-loss $0.1633; target $0.0880). Volatility is elevated (ATR14 ≈ 5% daily), so use tight position sizing (1–2% of capital) and strict stop-losses. Overall expectation: continued consolidation with a breakout direction dependent on higher volume and improving MACD — neutral-to-cautiously-bearish near term, bullish if key resistance levels are taken with conviction.

XRP and Stellar (XLM) communities on X (formerly Twitter) are speculating that Elon Musk’s rebranding of Twitter to X and xAI branding contain visual parallels to the XRP and XLM logos. Supporters point to similarities such as XRP’s curved “X” resembling Musk’s bold X mark and Stellar’s circular slash echoing xAI’s orbital motif. The article notes there is no public evidence—no filings, press releases, or partnerships—linking Ripple or Stellar Development Foundation with Musk’s companies. It stresses that shared geometric design elements can arise independently and that interpretation based on logo resemblance is symbolic, not contractual. Traders are advised to treat such visual comparisons as unverified speculation and base investment decisions on confirmed announcements and fundamentals rather than branding overlaps. Primary keywords: XRP, XLM, Elon Musk. Secondary keywords: X rebrand, xAI, Ripple, Stellar, logo similarities.

As market sentiment shifts, three altcoins — SUI, Fetch.ai (FET) and ONDO — are highlighted as potential leaders in the next crypto cycle. SUI is noted for its high-speed, low-cost architecture and developer focus, positioning it as a candidate for rapid adoption if an altseason unfolds. Fetch.ai (FET) ties directly to AI and machine-to-machine automation use cases (supply chains, transport), giving it real-world utility that could drive demand. ONDO targets decentralized financial products aimed at retail investors, with a proposition of flexible, secure saving and investment services. The article frames these tokens as having solid fundamentals, active developer or community support, and plausible product-market fit — factors traders should monitor for breakout potential during a market recovery. No price targets or new partnerships are cited; the piece is cautionary and ends with a standard investment disclaimer.

Quantum computing advances have revived a debate over roughly 6.98 million BTC (about $440 billion at current prices) that could be exposed if future quantum machines break Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve cryptography. Approximately 1 million BTC attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto are among the vulnerable outputs, many stemming from early pay-to-public-key (P2PK) transactions or address reuse that permanently exposed public keys on-chain. The Bitcoin community is split: one camp argues protocol neutrality and immutability mean coins should not be frozen — letting “math decide” ownership — while another proposes proactive defenses such as soft forks to burn or require migration of at-risk outputs to quantum-resistant addresses. Prominent voices cited include Ki Young Ju (CryptoQuant), Paolo Ardoino (Tether), Jameson Lopp, Nima Beni, and others. Technical timelines are contested: some researchers warn recent findings could shorten the timeframe for breaking RSA-2048 and related systems to a few years if proven and scaled, while engineers and developers stress cryptographic upgrades can mitigate the threat. For traders, the story raises long-term protocol risk considerations: a credible acceleration in quantum capability could increase volatility, spur demand for quantum-resistant solutions and migration services, and prompt governance debates that affect perceived network immutability. Short-term price impact is likely limited unless labs announce demonstrable quantum breakthroughs or major developers propose contentious consensus changes.

Centralized exchanges’ (CEX) stablecoin reserves dropped 14% over the past three months, falling from $75 billion to $64.5 billion, according to monitoring data from Alicharts reported by PANews. The decline reflects reduced on-exchange holdings of major stablecoins (noted broadly as USDT/USDC-style assets) and may indicate lower trading liquidity or flows out to DeFi, custody, or off-exchange storage. The report provides market information only and is not investment advice. Key data points: 14% decrease, $75B → $64.5B, three-month period, source Alicharts/PANews. Relevant keywords: stablecoin reserves, CEX liquidity, USDT, USDC, on-chain flows, exchange reserves.

A mysterious offshore investor has taken a $436 million position in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (spot BTC ETF), according to recent filings. The purchase, executed through an offshore entity, represents a significant allocation to one of the largest spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds since their launch. While the buyer’s identity remains undisclosed, the size of the stake highlights sustained institutional interest in regulated BTC exposure. Key details: the transaction involves BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF, totals roughly $436 million, and was routed via an offshore vehicle. Market observers note that large, opaque inflows can boost spot demand for BTC and for ETF share liquidity, but also raise questions about concentration risk and transparency. Traders should watch intraday ETF flows, changes in Bitcoin’s spot price, ETF premium/discount movements, and institutional custody announcements for signs of follow-through.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) ended February 2026 with a $3.65 billion market capitalization and a circulating supply of 589 trillion tokens, highlighting that market-cap math now matters more than the token’s nominal price. Trading near $0.0000062, SHIB’s decimal-targeting retail narrative (‘zero-killing’) is losing traction as the large supply creates a tokenomics ceiling: a move to $0.01 would imply an unrealistic $5.8 trillion market cap. Shibarium and other ecosystem initiatives have failed to attract institutional capital or significant total value locked (TVL). Burning mechanisms remain negligible (about 172 million tokens per cycle) relative to hundreds of trillions in circulation. Analysts suggest that without a major supply contraction or a transformative utility event, SHIB looks like a saturated large-cap meme token rather than a high-upside speculative bet. Key data points: market cap ~$3.65B, supply 589T, price ~ $0.0000062, burn ~172M per cycle. Primary keywords: Shiba Inu, SHIB market cap, tokenomics, supply, Shibarium.

President Donald Trump raised the global tariff rate to 15%, reviving trade tensions and legal uncertainty after a recent Supreme Court ruling had appeared to limit earlier emergency trade measures. The administration’s move—applying the 15% levy widely, including to China, across a 150-day window—reintroduced macro risk that weighed on risk assets and sent major cryptocurrencies lower. Bitcoin fell to about $67,526 (down ~1.4% in 24 hours and ~2.1% for the week). Ether dropped 1.8% to $1,951 (down ~2.5% weekly). XRP fell 4.4% on the day and ~8.4% over seven days to $1.39. Solana declined 3.8% to $83.25. Dogecoin lost nearly 5% on the day and over 11% for the week. Cardano and BNB also slipped. European hesitation on related trade agreements added to uncertainty. The story underscores that, until tariff policy stabilizes, crypto markets are likely to track broader risk sentiment rather than crypto-specific fundamentals.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 8, marking a 23-day streak of "Extreme Fear" — the longest continuous period since the 2022 Terra‑LUNA crash. The reading signals deep investor anxiety and heightened volatility, with historical links between prolonged fear and forced liquidations or sharp corrections. Market drivers cited include higher interest rates, banking shocks, regulatory pressure and recent headline liquidations. On‑chain data suggests reduced accumulation from large holders and institutions, not just retail panic, indicating a structural shift toward risk‑off behavior. Bitcoin is described as stalled while smaller altcoins have taken larger losses as capital moves to safety. Some analysts view extreme fear as a disciplined buying opportunity for top assets like BTC and ETH, but uncertainty remains over whether the current streak will precede a rebound or deeper slump. Traders should monitor sentiment indicators (Fear & Greed Index), on‑chain accumulation metrics and macro signals (rates, banking stability, regulation) to time positions amid elevated volatility.

Analyst Vetle Lunde of K33 says Bitcoin’s current market structure resembles the late‑2022 bear phase: lower speculative activity, falling open positions and reduced leverage in futures markets. The Fear & Greed Index has slid into the “extreme fear” territory, a condition that historically coincides with the unwinding of weak hands and diminished volatility. Lunde expects Bitcoin to trade in a broad consolidation range around $60,000–$75,000 in the near term, creating accumulation opportunities for long‑term holders while frustrating short‑term traders. The recent deleveraging is viewed as a structural reset that can set the stage for future recoveries, but Lunde cautions investors that a quick rally is unlikely and that a prolonged sideways phase is the more probable path.

XRP recorded a roughly $1.93 billion weekly spike in realized losses — the largest single‑week rise since 2022 — amid a ~4% price decline. Realized losses measure coins sold below their purchase price and indicate actual capitulation by holders. The reports show this surge reflects intense short‑term selling and panic liquidation but also suggests weak hands may be exiting. Historical precedent noted: the previous comparable realized‑loss print occurred 39 months earlier and was followed by a 114% rally over the next eight months, though analysts caution such spikes do not guarantee immediate rebounds. Traders should watch on‑chain realized profit/loss metrics, exchange flows, trading volume, accumulation patterns and spot demand for confirmation that selling pressure is easing. Key implications for traders: elevated short‑term volatility, potential relief rallies if buyers absorb supply, and the need for follow‑through in spot demand to turn the signal bullish. Macroeconomic uncertainty, regulatory shifts and broader crypto volatility mean the realized‑loss spike raises probability of washed‑out weak holders but is neutral until confirmed by declining sell pressure and renewed accumulation.

WLFI remains in a clear downtrend marked by lower highs and lower lows (LH/LL). Current price near $0.12 is consolidating; key support sits at $0.1042 and $0.0961. A confirmed bearish Break of Structure (BOS) below $0.1042 would accelerate downside toward a $0.0569 target. On the upside, a bullish BOS requires a close above $0.1434, which would invalidate the LH sequence and open a target near $0.1705. Short-term indicators are mixed: price trades below EMA20, Supertrend is bearish, RSI is neutral (~44–49), and MACD histogram shows some positive divergence suggesting a possible corrective rally. Multi-timeframe resistance clusters (1D/3D/1W) make upward moves challenging. WLFI is highly correlated with Bitcoin; continued BTC weakness (key levels $67,039 / $64,350 / $60,000) could push WLFI lower, while BTC strength above $68k–$70k may enable relief rallies. Traders should watch BOS/CHoCH at $0.1042 and $0.1434, use nearby swing points for stop-loss placement, and manage risk—especially on leveraged futures positions.

Bitcoin World Disrupt 2026 will take place at Moscone West in San Francisco from October 13–15, 2026. Organizers expect more than 10,000 attendees, 300+ startup exhibitors, 200+ sessions and 250+ speakers across multi‑sector tech tracks. The event features the Startup Battlefield 200 pitch competition with a $100,000 equity‑free prize and confirmed speakers including Matt Mullenweg, Mary Barra and Vinod Khosla. Super Early Bird registration closes February 27, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. PT, offering up to $680 off individual Founder and Investor passes and up to 30% off community/team passes; tickets move through Early Bird, Standard and On‑Site tiers with typical 15–25% price increases per phase. Networking tools include AI‑curated matchmaking, investor office hours, roundtables and startup showcases; organizers highlight security measures (encrypted badges, cybersecurity teams) and sustainability practices. A related Founder Summit is scheduled for June 9 in Boston with its own early‑pricing deadline of March 13. For crypto traders: note the registration deadline to lock lower rates, the concentrated investor and founder presence that can accelerate deal flow and token project visibility, and the Startup Battlefield as an early signal of trending startups and sectors relevant to trading decisions.

Crypto analyst Dark Defender identifies a long-term cup-and-handle completed on XRP’s chart and signals a potential major bullish breakout if the neckline holds. The setup formed after multi-year accumulation following the 2017 rise, with the handle developing post-2021 peak. A key resistance (yellow) has been cleared and XRP has found support on an orange trendline, creating a base for further gains. Primary support levels cited: $0.56, $0.80, $1.20 and $1.43; recent price action tested near $1.20 but remains above $0.80. Dark Defender calculates Fibonacci extension targets from the cup depth at 261.8% = $5.85, 361.8% = $18.22, 423.6% = $36.76, and an extended 461.8% = $56.73. Earlier commentary noted a neckline around ~$1.90–$2.10 and listed nearby supports at $1.88 and $2.10; at the time XRP was trading near $2.10 just above the neckline. Traders should watch confirmation above the neckline and sustained support holds for a validated breakout. This is technical analysis, not investment advice.

HBAR (HBAR/USDT) trades around $0.10 with mixed technical signals and low intraday volatility. Latest tick: ~$0.1009, 24h volume ~$67M, 24h range $0.09925–$0.10353. Indicators are ambiguous — short-term trend shows price near or slightly below EMA20 while the MACD histogram is mildly positive and RSI is neutral (~47–52 across reports), suggesting a counter-trend bounce rather than a confirmed reversal. Key short-term resistances to confirm bullish momentum are $0.1017–$0.1052; a decisive daily close above these levels with meaningful volume (suggested +50% or more) and RSI >50 would open higher targets at $0.1256 and $0.1402. Critical support sits at $0.0961 (or $0.0993 in earlier notes); a clear close below $0.0961/$0.0993 would strengthen bearish momentum, exposing targets near $0.0907, $0.0864 and a deeper downside toward $0.0486–$0.0382. HBAR remains highly correlated with Bitcoin — BTC holding around $67,535 supports HBAR stability, while BTC weakness toward $64,437 increases HBAR downside risk. Trading guidance: remain technical-focused, wait for confirmed daily/weekly closes and volume to avoid false breakouts; treat current move as a counter-trend rally until medium-term EMAs (50/200) are reclaimed. Analysis provided by COINOTAG analysts James Mitchell and Devrim Cacal. Not financial advice.

FOMO (fear of missing out) is driving investors into hot sectors — from gold and crypto to AI stocks — often at the expense of fundamentals. Seeking Alpha analysts warn that chasing hype can inflate bubbles and produce volatile, poor outcomes. They recommend focusing on value and fundamentals, avoiding emotional decisions, and looking for under-the-radar opportunities. Analysts cited non-hype names they favor as alternatives, including Amazon (AMZN), Uber (UBER), Brookfield Asset Management (BAM), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), LyondellBasell (LYB) and Dow (DOW). Key takeaways for traders: avoid momentum-chasing driven solely by social buzz, use fundamentals and risk management to size positions, consider diversified or value-oriented picks outside headline sectors, and treat speculative crypto and AI trades as time-bound, high-volatility plays. Primary keywords: FOMO, crypto, AI stocks, gold, investing. Secondary/semantic keywords: fundamentals, value stocks, momentum trading, risk management, speculative trades.

Solana (SOL) and TRON (TRX) are gaining renewed institutional attention and network-driven momentum as they target a $100 billion market capitalization. Solana, supported by rising on-chain activity, technical upgrades and low fees, sits near a $49 billion market cap with price around $86 after a minor pullback. Analysts say further protocol robustness and growing decentralized application usage could help SOL double its market value if sell-side pressure eases. TRON’s ecosystem benefits from dominant TRC-20 USDT transfers, rising TVL and record transaction volumes. Recent treasury buybacks (over 177,000 TRX) have helped TRX hold support near $0.27; a clear break above $0.30 resistance could trigger a fresh rally, with some price targets cited near $0.516. Increased staking, regulatory clarity and TRON’s liquidity advantages are cited as additional bullish factors. Both networks could reshape sector dynamics if they sustain institutional flows and breach key resistance levels, but the article cautions that crypto markets remain volatile and investors should do their own research.

Tokenized U.S. Treasuries have exceeded $10 billion, marking a major shift from pilot projects to production deployments across major financial institutions. The broader tokenized real‑world asset market is now around $25 billion (excluding stablecoins). Key moves include JPMorgan Asset Management launching a tokenized money market fund (My OnChain Net Yield, MONY) and Kinexys announcing JPM Coin issuance on Canton; DTCC enabling tokenization of DTC‑custodied Treasuries on the Canton Network; Société Générale issuing a digital bond purchased by DRW; and Citi expanding token services and euro transactions. Capital markets infrastructure providers are building supporting rails — NYSE announced an on‑chain settlement platform, LSEG launched LSEG DiSH for programmable settlement, BNY is developing on‑chain client deposit entries, and Lloyds completed the UK’s first gilt purchase using tokenized deposits. Industry observers and FXC Intelligence now forecast tokenized Treasuries could reach $100 billion by end‑2026 as pilots move to production, faster settlements and 24/7 liquidity become operational, and institutional adoption accelerates. For traders, the development implies growing institutional on‑chain liquidity, potential new venues for yield and stable collateral, and increased integration between traditional markets and crypto infrastructure.

Wall Street analysts warn that Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report may fail to boost its share price even if results beat expectations. Nvidia has been a major driver of recent market highs, but its stock has traded sideways for months amid growing skepticism about the sustainability of AI-led growth. Investors expect the company to report better-than-expected results and to raise guidance for coming quarters, yet pervasive AI-related concerns could mute any rally. A disappointing reaction could also amplify volatility across AI-linked equities and the broader market. The report notes the potential for significant market swings if Nvidia’s results do not alleviate investor anxiety around AI momentum. (Main keyword: Nvidia earnings; secondary keywords: AI skepticism, stock volatility, market impact)

U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai (note: article names ’Grier’—specified as U.S. Trade Representative) said on CBS that existing bilateral trade agreements—such as those with the EU and South Korea—remain valid following the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling. She distinguished those agreements from President Trump’s announced plan for a 15% global tariff, stressing that Washington will continue to support and uphold its negotiated deals. Tai (reported as ’Grier’ in the source) said the U.S. will use other trade tools, including investigations into trading practices, to protect U.S. interests. She has spoken with EU officials and plans to brief other major trade partners to reassure them about the status of agreements. The remarks aim to calm international partners and markets amid uncertainty over U.S. tariff policy.

ProShares launched the GENIUS Money Market ETF (IQMM), a money-market ETF structured to meet the GENIUS Act’s stablecoin reserve rules, and it recorded roughly $17 billion in first-day trading volume. The large debut prompted speculation that a major stablecoin issuer such as Circle (USDC) had moved reserves into the fund. Public records and balance data do not support a large external transfer from Circle; Circle’s BlackRock-managed USDC reserve fund rose only modestly in the period around the launch. Analysts and fund trackers instead point to internal reallocations inside ProShares as the primary driver — Morningstar flagged roughly $6 billion moved from ProShares’ leveraged fund QTTT into IQMM on launch day, and other flows appear to be transfers among ProShares funds for cash-management. IQMM is purpose-built to hold cash and cash equivalents permitted under the GENIUS Act (cash, short-dated Treasuries and money-market funds), making it a regulatory-compliant liquidity vehicle attractive to stablecoin issuers, banks and institutional cash managers. Separately, the SEC reduced the capital "haircut" on payment stablecoins to 2% (from effectively 100% for capital calculation), a constructive regulatory change that increases the usable capital value of stablecoins like USDC and could expand trading inventory, lending capacity and institutional adoption. Key takeaways for traders: 1) very large opening flows may reflect asset-manager housekeeping rather than organic wholesale migration of stablecoin reserves; 2) IQMM creates a new, GENIUS-compliant on‑ramp for stablecoin reserve management that could attract large allocations over time if issuers or banks shift reserves to ETFs; and 3) the SEC haircut reduction is bullish for stablecoin utility and may incrementally support USDC liquidity and market use. Primary keywords: GENIUS Money Market ETF, IQMM, ProShares, stablecoin reserves, Circle, USDC. Secondary keywords: GENIUS Act, money-market ETF, BlackRock, QTTT, liquidity, regulatory-compliant reserves.

Matt Corallo, Bitcoin Core contributor and Chaincode Labs researcher, says most crypto wallets already use derivation schemes that are largely quantum-safe and that Bitcoin could deploy a soft fork requiring proof of seed-phrase ownership to mitigate future quantum threats. Corallo notes organizations such as Chaincode Labs and Blockstream Research are central to mapping a post-quantum roadmap for Bitcoin. Developers are forming consensus around approaches — including hash-based and multi-scheme signatures — though post-quantum primitives remain young and require further validation. Corallo contrasts Bitcoin’s cautious, conservative data-driven upgrade path with the Ethereum Foundation’s more proactive, dedicated effort on quantum threat response. He warns that while a full transition may take years (estimates like seven years are cited), the community can gradually adopt post-quantum addresses and disable insecure spend paths via market-favored forks. Key trading-relevant points: Bitcoin (BTC) faces a real long-term cryptographic risk from quantum computing, but near-term technical urgency is limited; wallets’ existing quantum-resistant derivation reduces immediate vulnerability; any proposed soft fork or fork competition could create governance and supply dynamics that affect market sentiment; and public perception of quantum risk may move markets before technology does.

US President Donald Trump announced an immediate increase of a previously signaled global tariff from 10% to 15%, citing trade imbalances and invoking a statute that allows temporary tariffs up to 15% for up to 150 days in certain deficit scenarios. The move follows a recent US Supreme Court decision that narrowed the executive branch’s authority to impose broad import levies, reducing legal uncertainty around the precise scope and duration of emergency tariffs. Markets initially showed a brief wobble; equities saw volatility, but crypto markets largely shrugged it off. Bitcoin traded around $68,000 and Ether showed minimal change, while most altcoins moved less than 1% and volumes quickly steadied — suggesting traders treated the announcement as a headline event rather than a sustained shock. Analysts flagged potential macro risks if tariffs are passed through to consumers (higher inflation) or if companies absorb costs (margin pressure), but also noted that legal limits and the 150-day cap lower the immediate tail risk. Traders should monitor any White House attempts to extend the temporary tariff window, broaden the list of affected countries, or follow-up trade measures — any of which could raise macro volatility and weigh on risk assets. For now, crypto market impact is neutral: short-term price blips are possible, but no clear directional pressure on BTC/ETH has emerged.

Litecoin (LTC) remains in a clear downtrend after consecutive weakness across two updates. Price action moved from the high-$50s to around $53, with both reports noting heavy selling, confirmed volume decline, and high correlation with Bitcoin (≈0.85). Key technical levels: immediate resistance near the EMA20 (~$56) and Supertrend (mid-$60s); critical support at $52.42 (earlier analysis cited $55). Momentum indicators are bearish to neutral—RSI near or below oversold depending on the update (≈24–37), MACD negative or showing a small bullish histogram but price still below EMA20/50/200, Supertrend and Parabolic SAR remain bearish, and ADX indicates medium-to-strong trend strength (≈25–35). Volume-based on-chain measures (OBV/Chaikin/CMF) point to distribution and selling pressure; price sits below point-of-control in the volume profile. Scenarios: a confirmed hold of $52.42 with increased volume could spark a short-term rebound toward $56 and potentially $69–70; a break below $52.42 puts targets significantly lower (previous targets as low as $27–31 and a more severe bearish target near $30.69). Tactical guidance for traders: favour short positions on rejections near $54–$61 with tight stops (example stop ~$56.50) and only consider long positions after a clear, volume-backed close above EMA20/defined resistance levels. Risk skews to the downside given BTC exposure and distribution signals; prefer scalps and short-term trades with strict position sizing and stops. Not investment advice.

Nakamoto Inc.’s token NAKA collapsed 99.32% over 280 days, erasing about $23.64 billion of market value after the company accumulated 5,398 BTC near record highs. The Bitcoin purchase—positioned as a long-term treasury strategy at roughly $118,000 per BTC—now shows approximately $270 million in unrealized losses as Bitcoin corrected. On-chain data and exchange flows point to sustained selling pressure, large-holder position reductions, and declining trading volumes as prices fell. Social-media sentiment and fear indicators spiked during the drop. The firm has not disclosed a change of treasury strategy; token recovery prospects are tied closely to Bitcoin’s price action and broader market liquidity. For traders: NAKA’s collapse highlights concentrated treasury risk, potential liquidity traps in low-volume phases, and strong correlation to Bitcoin moves—oversold technical signals may present short-term mean-reversion opportunities, while long-term recovery depends on renewed BTC strength and improved investor confidence.

AVAX is trading near $9 and sits at a critical support zone around $8.66–$8.88 after recent weakness. Short-term indicators show a downtrend: price is below the 20-day EMA (~$9.4), RSI ~37 (near-oversold), and Supertrend remains bearish. There are limited bullish signs — a positive MACD histogram and moderate 24h volume (~$170–184M) — that could fuel a bounce if key levels hold. Two primary scenarios guide traders: bullish if $8.66 holds and AVAX breaks above the 20-day EMA with rising volume, targeting roughly $10.66 then ~$11.70; bearish if $8.66 is breached on volume, opening a decline toward ~$5.29 and lower multi-timeframe supports. Decision triggers include daily/4H closes, RSI crossing above 50, MACD histogram expansion, and volume spikes. AVAX remains highly correlated with Bitcoin, so BTC weakness below the noted supports (~$67.5k–68.8k depending on the write-up) would likely add selling pressure, while BTC strength above resistance levels would support AVAX recovery. Traders should use tight stop-losses, conservative position sizing, and confirm moves with volume and multi-timeframe closes. This analysis is informational and not investment advice.

Four AI models (ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Perplexity) were asked when Ripple’s XRP might resume a sustained bull run after steep volatility since late 2024. XRP rose from $0.60 pre-2024 US election to a 2018 high of $3.40 in Jan 2025, hit $3.65 in July 2025, then fell over 60% to below $1.40 by Feb 2026. The AIs agreed XRP is searching for a bottom; some expect bottoming by spring 2026 (April) with recovery and base-building into summer. Reclaiming the 50-day EMA (~$1.80) or clearing $2–$2.40 were cited as technical signals that the bear phase is ending. Most AIs said a full bull phase is unlikely before Q3–Q4 2026. Longer-term targets ranged widely: several models suggested aggressive scenarios could push XRP to $8 by end-2026, and Perplexity mentioned $8–$13 for a consolidation breakout. Key short-term indicators noted: negative funding rates, diminished panic selling, and recent buying at $1.11 support. Risks highlighted include the absence of new major catalysts (SEC settlement and spot ETF approvals are already priced in) and potential for further downside before a confirmed bottom. Primary keywords: XRP, Ripple, bull run, bottom, 50-day EMA, price targets. Secondary/semantic keywords: spot ETF, SEC, funding rates, base building, institutional adoption.

US officials told Axios that American negotiators are prepared to hold a new round of talks with Iran in Geneva on Friday if Iran submits a detailed nuclear agreement proposal within the next 48 hours. A senior US official characterized the outreach as possibly the last diplomatic window offered to Tehran before President Trump pursues major US–Israel joint military action, which could target Iran’s top leadership. The Trump administration is reportedly awaiting Iran’s proposal; no details on the proposal’s contents or Iran’s response timeline were provided. The report frames the potential meeting as a time-sensitive diplomatic move amid heightened tensions.

The crypto market shed roughly $730 billion in 100 days, a shift analysts say reflects an institutional-driven withdrawal rather than a routine correction. Bitcoin market cap fell by about $350 billion — from $1.69T to $1.34T — with BTC trading near $68,060 (CoinCodex). Bitcoin’s dominance rose mainly because capital fled altcoins faster, not due to large inflows into BTC. The top 20 altcoins dropped ~15%, while mid- and small-cap tokens plunged 20%+ as liquidity thinned and bid–ask spreads widened. Small-cap liquidity contracted from $390 billion to $267 billion, signalling heavy deleveraging, margin calls and retail liquidations. Analysts note a structural change: institutional forced liquidations and risk-off positioning are now primary drivers, increasing crypto’s correlation with traditional markets. Contrastingly, some institutions (JPMorgan cited) favour XRP for institutional use cases, suggesting selective buying amid broader weakness. For traders: expect higher volatility, reduced liquidity in smaller caps, and potential safe-haven flows into large-cap and institutionally supported assets. Primary keywords: crypto market, Bitcoin, altcoins, liquidity, institutional liquidations.