Latest Crypto News | Bitcoin, Ethereum and Altcoin Updates

LiveBitcoinNews highlights ten crypto projects to watch in 2026 and promotes the APEMARS (APRZ) presale as a high-upside opportunity. APEMARS is staging a 23-phase presale; Stage 1 price is $0.00001699 with whitelist access open. The article projects a hypothetical listing price of $0.0055, implying a 32,271% return — e.g., a $2,000 Stage 1 buy would convert to roughly $647,440 at listing. The presale features weekly stage increases, token burns at stages 6, 12, 18 and 23, and whitelist perks (early pricing, notifications, community standing). The piece also briefly profiles established coins and platforms — Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Avalanche (AVAX), Litecoin (LTC), Cardano (ADA), Tron (TRX), Stellar (XLM) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — emphasizing their market roles: BTC as store of value, ETH as smart-contract leader, SOL/AVAX for high throughput, and others for payments or niche use cases. The article is a paid promotional press release and includes a disclaimer that it is not investment advice.

Fundstrat research head Tom Lee told CNBC that Ethereum’s role as financial infrastructure—driven by institutional tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) and onchain settlement—could push Ether (ETH) to $7,000–$9,000 by early 2026 and potentially $20,000 over the longer term. Lee highlighted Wall Street initiatives at firms such as Robinhood and BlackRock as catalysts for tokenization. He also expressed bullish views on Bitcoin (BTC), calling it a store of value and suggesting a move toward $200,000 next year is plausible. Data cited shows tokenized RWA market value rose to about $18.9 billion in 2025, with US Treasuries (~$8.5B) and commodities (~$3.4B) leading. Ethereum hosts the majority of tokenized RWA—over $12 billion—and around $170 billion in stablecoins, maintaining its position as the primary settlement layer. Institutional moves such as the DTCC’s plan to tokenize part of US Treasuries on the Canton Network were noted as further support for onchain adoption.

Russia’s Roscosmos has postponed the maiden flight of the Soyuz‑5 medium‑lift rocket, originally targeted for late 2024 from the Baiterek complex at Baikonur. The delay is attributed to additional testing of onboard systems and ground infrastructure; Roscosmos says a new date will be set after tests and coordination with Kazakhstan. Longstanding international sanctions (since 2014 and intensified in 2022) have constrained access to specialized components and complicated development, contributing to timeline slippages. Recent operational issues — including damage to a Baikonur pad during a late‑November crewed launch and a Soyuz MS‑28 service module fairing failure — have led to temporary suspensions and extended repair schedules (repairs now projected to finish by February 2026). Roscosmos highlights that while some Soyuz 2.1a launches from Plesetsk and Vostochny remain successful, the Soyuz‑5 programme faces supply‑chain and integration challenges. Key points for traders: geopolitical sanctions continue to affect Russian aerospace supply chains; extended timelines increase uncertainty around Russia’s presence in commercial launch markets; disruptions to Baikonur operations could affect satellite deployment schedules and international collaborations. Monitor Roscosmos and Kazakh authorities for rescheduling, technical bulletins, and any further incidents that could impact related supply chains or market sentiment.

Solana (SOL) is trading around $120 after failing to clear $150 multiple times in November, forming a bearish market structure that puts the $120 support level at risk. Whales are split: one large holder holds 20x leveraged long positions now showing an unrealized loss of $5.88 million (reducing total unrealized profits from $18M to $3M), while another whale has profited over $27.7 million from shorts and is taking profits. At the same time, Circle has minted roughly $55 billion USDC on Solana in 2025, including a recent $500 million mint, increasing on-chain liquidity. The piece argues that growing stablecoin liquidity may be fueling speculative activity rather than stabilizing SOL, as concentrated leveraged longs create vulnerability to short squeezes and liquidations. Key takeaways for traders: heightened volatility, strong whale-driven polarity (leveraged longs vs. shorting bears), and elevated risk that a bearish move will break the $120 support, potentially triggering rapid downside via liquidations.

Industry data shows crypto total value lost (TVL) to exploits in 2025 exceeded $2.53 billion, with social engineering now the dominant attack vector. Sentora attributes 55.3% (~$1.39 billion) of exploit-related losses to social engineering and human-centric attacks. Private key compromise accounted for 15% (~$0.37 billion), while infinite mint and smart-contract bugs made up the remainder. Chainalysis and other monitors estimate total crypto theft across all categories in 2025 at $2.7–$3.4 billion; DPRK-linked groups were the largest identifiable actors, tied to roughly $2.02 billion in theft including an estimated $1.4 billion Bybit breach. Analysts say improved automated auditing and formal verification have reduced large smart-contract vulnerabilities, shifting attacker focus to user-targeted and operational weaknesses. Traders should note the shift: losses are increasingly driven by social engineering, poor key management, and operational lapses rather than pure protocol code flaws.

NFT marketplaces shifted strategies through 2025 to survive a prolonged market downturn and changing user behavior. Key adaptations included: emphasizing utility NFTs tied to gaming, events and subscriptions; integrating with Layer-2 and alternative chains to cut fees (notably rollups and some EVM-compatible chains); tighter IP and fraud controls to rebuild buyer trust; promoting fractional ownership and NFT lending/fiat on-ramps to improve liquidity; and pivoting to curated drops, secondary-market royalties models and subscription services to create steady revenue. Market players experimented with token incentives, staking and marketplace-native tokens to re-engage collectors while reducing dependence on speculative floor-price growth. Several platforms cut staff and restructured costs to extend runway. The shift favoring utility, interoperability and lower gas costs resulted in selective trading volume recovery on chains with cheap, fast transactions. For crypto traders, the key takeaways are: (1) NFTs with clear utility or strong gaming/metaverse ties attract capital and show more predictable volume; (2) marketplaces and protocols that lower mint/trade costs (Layer-2s, alternative L1s) may see increased on-chain flow; (3) fractionalization and lending products create new on-ramps and synthetic exposure to NFT value; (4) tokenized marketplace plays (marketplace tokens, staking rewards) add new tradable instruments but raise tokenomics risk. Primary keywords: NFT marketplaces, Layer-2, fractional NFTs, NFT lending, marketplace tokens. Secondary/semantic keywords included: gas fees, interoperability, royalties, curated drops, utility NFTs. This evolution is likely to reshape where NFT trading volume concentrates and which projects attract capital.

Changpeng Zhao (CZ) advised investors that ideal Bitcoin (BTC) entry points occur during market fear rather than during bullish euphoria. In a Christmas message, CZ noted that those who captured the biggest gains historically bought when sentiment was negative — amid fear, uncertainty and doubt — not at all-time highs. Current sentiment indicators back this view: the CMC Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits around 27 (fear), an improvement from readings of 21 a week ago and 15 a month ago, while BTC has consolidated just below $90,000 (reported trading at $88,769). The article argues that a sustained recovery above $90,000 with strong daily closes could shift sentiment from fear to neutral, and later to optimism — by which point attractive entry opportunities may be gone. Key keywords: Bitcoin, BTC, Changpeng Zhao, CZ, market sentiment, Fear & Greed Index, accumulation, buy-the-dip.

Bitcoin is trading below its 23-week and 50-week moving averages (near $101,870 and $106,528), raising the prospect of a “death cross” that could signal further downside. Current price is around $88,690 (BTC/USDT weekly). Two technical scenarios are outlined: (1) a bullish reversal if Bitcoin reclaims and closes weekly above $101,870–$106,528, which would negate the death-cross narrative and target resistance near $107,155; (2) a bearish path if it remains below that band, with support at $80,600, then $74,111, and a critical test at the 200-week moving average near $67,026 if weekly closes break lower. Macro factors amplify risk: slowing inflows to U.S. spot BTC ETFs and cautious Fed commentary on rate cuts are reducing risk appetite and increasing volatility. Traders should watch weekly closes relative to the 23- and 50-week MAs, $80.6k and $74.1k supports, and ETF flows for short-term positioning and risk management. This article does not provide investment advice.

Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s macro strategist, warned that both gold and Bitcoin may “take a year off” in 2026 despite his long-term bullish view. Timmer — who previously expected gold to hand momentum to Bitcoin in H2 2025 — noted that gold instead outperformed through 2025, rallying roughly 70% and reaching record highs (reported near $4,550). Drivers cited include geopolitical tensions, expectations of a Federal Reserve dovish pivot, and central banks shifting reserves away from US Treasuries. By contrast, Bitcoin (BTC) underperformed in late 2025, set to record its second-worst Q4, down about 7% for the year. Timmer’s caution signals a potential near-term pause for risk assets and hard assets before they resume longer-term cycles. Key takeaways for traders: strong gold performance has recently outshone Bitcoin; macro forces (Fed stance, reserve reallocations, geopolitics) are primary drivers; expect elevated volatility and possible consolidation for BTC in 2026 as capital flows respond to central-bank moves and safe-haven demand.

The USDC Treasury (Circle) minted 250,000,000 USDC in a single on-chain transaction flagged by Whale Alert on April 10, 2025. Backed 1:1 by USD reserves, this mint increases USDC circulating supply and represents a notable liquidity event. Large-scale mints often signal institutional activity — exchanges, market makers, hedge funds or corporations preparing liquidity for trading, large asset purchases (e.g., BTC, ETH), OTC desks or DeFi deployments. On-chain transparency allows traders to monitor subsequent token flows to exchanges, DeFi protocols or custody wallets. The immediate market effect depends on deployment speed and destination: transfers to exchanges or trading desks can create near-term buying pressure on major crypto assets, while idle custody or redemptions would mute impact. Key data points: 250,000,000 USDC minted; recorded at the official USDC Treasury contract address. Historical context: prior multi-hundred-million USDC mints have coincided with institutional inflows and TVL increases but are not guarantees of instant rallies. For traders: treat the mint as a neutral on-chain indicator that becomes bullish if followed by visible exchange inflows or on-chain conversions into crypto. Track on-chain explorers and alert services for follow-through; watch for increased market depth and reduced slippage if funds are deployed as liquidity.

Ethereum is trading below $3,000 and remains capped by resistance after falling from cycle highs near $4,800. Price has compressed around ~$2,800–$3,000 for nearly a month, producing tight volatility and market indecision. On-chain indicators reinforce the cautious outlook: weekly ETH netflows on Arbitrum — a key Layer-2 proxy for smart-money and DeFi activity — are subdued and choppy, showing no clear inflow or outflow trend. Technicals remain bearish with lower highs/lows and price below major daily moving averages; the 111- and 200-day SMAs converge around $3,300–$3,600, forming a heavy supply zone. Key levels: support ~ $2,800 (break would accelerate downside); resistance cluster ~$3,200–$3,600 (reclaim and hold needed to shift momentum). Traders should watch Arbitrum cumulative netflow as an early signal: a sudden, sustained expansion could presage a decisive move. For now, muted on-chain flows and compressed price action suggest limited conviction — the market is coiling and a swift directional breakout (either direction) remains possible once volume returns.

Analysts say MicroStrategy (MSTR) is under significant dilution pressure after recent equity and debt-funded purchases of Bitcoin. CryptoQuant reports the company sold roughly $700M in stock last week and has raised over $900M year-to-date from at‑the‑market (ATM) offerings to finance BTC acquisitions. Basic shares outstanding rose about 20% year‑to‑date. The stock is down ~70% from its all‑time high, ~55% in 12 months and ~36% year‑to‑date, while Bitcoin itself is down about 3.6% this year. MicroStrategy’s market cap (~$45B) recently fell below the value of its BTC holdings (~$60B) at times, highlighting investor concerns over leverage and future dilution. The company also used convertible debt to fund a recent $1B Bitcoin purchase. Index inclusion risks add pressure: Nasdaq retained MicroStrategy in the Nasdaq‑100, but MSCI will decide in January whether to exclude digital‑asset treasury firms like MicroStrategy — a move analysts say could force sizable passive outflows (~$1.6B estimated) and broader re‑rating of similar firms. Traders should watch further ATM sales, convertible issuance, MSCI’s decision, and short‑term selling from newly issued supply as primary drivers of MSTR volatility and potential spillover effects into BTC sentiment.

Arthur Hayes, co‑founder of BitMEX, argues Bitcoin could surge to $200,000 within three months as central banks—particularly the US Federal Reserve—begin a subtle form of monetary easing. Hayes highlights the Fed’s Reserve Management Purchases (RMP), which buy Treasury bills mainly from money market funds, and contends RMP functions like quantitative easing (QE) by creating liquidity that can flow into Treasury issuance, the repo market and longer-dated bonds. He notes money market funds hold about 40% of outstanding T‑bills and says RMP’s liquidity effects will eventually support financial assets including Bitcoin. Hayes expects Bitcoin to consolidate around $80,000–$100,000 while markets recognize RMP as QE, after which BTC could first revisit prior highs (~$124,000) and then accelerate toward $200,000, potentially by March. He also suggests coordinated global easing and a weaker dollar could amplify the rally. The view rests on liquidity-driven price mechanics rather than on fundamental adoption metrics. Key names and figures: Arthur Hayes (BitMEX), Federal Reserve, Reserve Management Purchases (RMP); price targets: $124,000 and $200,000; consolidation range: $80,000–$100,000. Primary keywords: Bitcoin, BTC price, Arthur Hayes, quantitative easing, Reserve Management Purchases. Secondary/semantic keywords: liquidity, Fed easing, Treasury bills, money market funds, dollar weakness.

The global iGaming sector is entering a transformative phase in 2026 as crypto payments, Web3 primitives and AI-driven safety tools converge with traditional online gambling. Key trends include wider crypto as a default payment method (BTC, ETH, USDT, SOL, USDC), on-chain RNG and provably-fair mechanics, instant withdrawals and stronger KYC/compliance driven by evolving EU, US and LATAM regulations. The article ranks 11 leading platforms by category: Stake.com (best overall, Lightning & Solana support), BC.Game (altcoin & bonuses), Rollbit (hybrid casino + trading + NFT), Roobet (entertainment & streamer partnerships), Cloudbet (licensed high-limit), TrustDice (provably fair), Bitcasino.io (best UX/mobile), Duelbits (low house edge), Sportsbet.io (sports & eSports), Ignition Casino (US-focused poker), and MetaWin (on-chain gaming transparency). It highlights licensing, cross-chain crypto payments, UX, payout history and transparency as primary comparison factors. AI-powered behavioral models and tokenized loyalty/NFT rewards are noted as shaping engagement and safer-gambling measures. For traders, the piece emphasizes that crypto-native payment rails and provable fairness increase on-chain utility and could influence crypto transaction demand in gaming verticals, while regulatory clarity may shift market access and liquidity across jurisdictions.

Caroline Ellison, former CEO of Alameda Research, is scheduled for release from federal custody on January 21, 2026, according to U.S. Bureau of Prisons records. Ellison, 31, pleaded guilty in December 2022 to fraud and conspiracy tied to the 2022 collapse of FTX and cooperated extensively with prosecutors, including testifying against FTX founder Sam Bankman‑Fried. She was sentenced in September 2024 to 24 months’ imprisonment and ordered to forfeit about $11 billion; she began serving her sentence in November 2024. Records show Ellison was transferred in October 2025 from a Connecticut federal prison to a Residential Reentry Management (RRM) office in New York and has been in community confinement since October 16, 2025. Her release date was recently moved forward from February 20, 2026 to January 21, 2026 — officials have not publicly explained the change, though it is likely due to good‑conduct credits and reentry programs. Post‑release conditions include three years of supervised release and a consented 10‑year bar on serving as an officer or director of public companies or crypto exchanges, per SEC notices. Sam Bankman‑Fried remains serving a 25‑year sentence and is pursuing clemency. For crypto traders: the development is primarily legal and personnel‑focused and is unlikely to directly move markets. However, Ellison’s early release and continued regulatory restrictions reinforce ongoing regulatory scrutiny and reputational risk tied to FTX‑related actors, which could sustain higher compliance costs and cautious sentiment across crypto firms.

IREN Limited (IREN) emerged as the top-performing application software stock in 2025, according to a Seeking Alpha report dated Dec. 26, 2025. The information technology sector was the second-best performer year-to-date, rising about 25%, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) up roughly 26.1%. The article highlights sector-wide strength in IT and application software subsectors that contributed to IREN’s relative outperformance. Key tickers mentioned alongside sector ETFs include VGT, XLK, IYW, FTEC and IXN, and several individual tech names are referenced. The piece is a short market note aimed at ranking top performers within the IT subsectors rather than detailing IREN’s fundamentals, guidance, or financials.

Strategy CEO Phong Le says Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong despite a roughly 29% drop from October highs. Speaking on the Coin Stories podcast (Dec. 23), Le urged investors to use disciplined, quantitative, long-term approaches — highlighting metrics such as mNAV (market cap vs. BTC treasury value), a dedicated Bitcoin treasury and a US dollar reserve. Strategy holds about 671,268 BTC (~$59B at reporting) and has set aside a $1.4B USD reserve for shareholder dividends. Le pointed to growing institutional and government engagement — meetings with US banks and talks in the UAE — and described significant US government support as a bullish catalyst toward 2026. Market context: BTC hit an all-time high in early October (~$125–126k) and traded near ~$87k at the time of reporting; the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has been in “Extreme Fear.” Key takeaways for traders: monitor mNAV and treasury metrics, expect elevated near-term volatility, prefer methodical, fundamentals-focused positioning, and watch for institutional or policy developments that could materially shift sentiment.

The Bitcoin–silver price ratio (XAG/BTC) is emerging as a macro risk indicator, measuring how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one Bitcoin. A falling ratio typically signals risk-on conditions—liquidity expansion and capital rotating into higher-volatility assets such as Bitcoin—while a rising ratio denotes defensive rotation into silver amid risk-off environments. Extreme ratio readings have historically preceded mean reversion and cycle shifts rather than serving as short-term trade triggers. Drivers include macro liquidity, real yields, industrial silver demand, inflation expectations, monetary policy and institutional flows into Bitcoin. Traders should view the ratio as contextual macro information to monitor alongside real interest rates, the U.S. dollar index and Bitcoin dominance; current silver strength suggests a defensive tilt that could prolong Bitcoin consolidation even as eventual rotations back to crypto occur.

Solana (SOL) has cooled below the key $150 level and is facing repeated rejections around $150–$160, with analysts saying the network’s large market cap and wide token distribution limit near-term explosive upside. Traders are rotating capital into earlier-stage DeFi opportunities seeking asymmetric gains. Mutuum Finance (MUTM), a lending/borrowing protocol issuing mtTokens to suppliers, is in a high-demand presale: current presale price ~ $0.035, Phase 6 reported ~99% allocated, roughly 825–820M tokens sold and about 18.6k holders. The project has raised about $19.3–19.45M and allocated ~1.82B (≈45.5%) of its 4B supply to presale. Mutuum’s launch price is set at $0.06, implying potential immediate upside; some analysts model 250–350% post-launch gains, with larger longer-term upside tied to adoption, listings and borrowing activity. Security signals include a CertiK token-scan score (90/100), an ongoing Halborn review, and a $50k bug bounty; community incentives (daily contributor rewards) and a buy-and-distribute mechanism are cited as demand-supportive features. Market commentators note increased whale allocations and tightening supply ahead of later presale phases. Implications for traders: SOL appears range-bound absent major catalysts, reducing near-term upside for large caps, while MUTM represents a high-risk, high-reward prelaunch opportunity that can move significantly on relatively small inflows — but it carries elevated execution, liquidity and listing risks. This report originates from a press release; traders should perform independent due diligence.

The 2025 End‑of‑Year report distills the dominant crypto narratives that drove market behaviour this year. Key themes include macro-driven volatility, regulatory milestones worldwide, the maturation of on‑chain data analytics, and renewed institutional interest in Bitcoin and select layer‑1 networks. Significant events highlighted are tighter U.S. and EU regulatory frameworks, several high‑profile token listings and delistings, notable protocol upgrades improving scaling and gas efficiency, and a rise in real‑world‑asset tokenization pilots. On metrics, Bitcoin regained market leadership with increased ETF inflows and higher on‑chain custody metrics, while select altcoins saw episodic volume spikes tied to major upgrades and partnerships. Traders should note heightened correlation between risk assets and macro indicators (rates, CPI), increased liquidity in regulated venues, and recurring short‑term volatility around regulatory announcements and protocol hard forks. Primary keywords: crypto market, Bitcoin, regulation, layer‑1 upgrades, on‑chain data; secondary keywords: ETF inflows, tokenization, market volatility, institutional adoption. This concise overview helps traders focus on catalysts likely to affect liquidity, order flow and risk management into 2026.

Aave founder and Aave Labs CEO Stani Kulechov denied accusations that he purchased roughly $15 million of AAVE tokens to influence a contested Aave DAO governance vote over transferring Aave brand assets (domain, social accounts, GitHub, naming rights) into DAO control. Kulechov said the tokens were not used to vote and that the buy reflected personal conviction. The dispute followed community concern that fees from a CoW Swap integration were routed to a wallet controlled by Aave Labs. The proposal — reportedly submitted by Aave Labs and attributed to former CTO Ernesto Boado, who says it was pushed to Snapshot without his consent — was rejected by voters (≈55% “nay”, ≈41% abstain, ~3.5% “yes”). Criticism centered on rushed process, concentrated voting power (top three wallets >58%, largest >27%) and prior token sales by Kulechov cited by critics. Kulechov acknowledged Aave Labs has not clearly disclosed its economic alignment with AAVE holders and pledged clearer disclosures. Traders should monitor AAVE liquidity, on-chain movements of large wallets, Snapshot/governance developments and market sentiment, since founder token purchases, governance disputes and concentrated voting can increase volatility and affect token demand and fee flows.

Crypto analyst BullRunners reviewed XRP amid holiday liquidity-driven market weakness, noting Bitcoin slid below $87,000 and ETF outflows accelerated. He said XRP lost key support near $1.90 and trades around $1.85–$1.86 with active short-term selling, but warned against panic. BullRunners disputed rapid-collapse narratives to $1.10 in the near term, identifying intermediate support zones at $1.51–$1.52 and moving-average support around $1.54–$1.55. Technically, XRP remains inside a multi-month descending wedge that began after July’s peak; price dips below support in Oct–Nov recovered back into the wedge, so a confirmed breakdown has not occurred. He flagged the late-Q1/early-Q2 2026 convergence of wedge resistance and support as a pivotal inflection. BullRunners also highlighted continued XRP ETF inflows as a positive divergence from heavy Bitcoin ETF outflows, calling the phase late-cycle deleveraging rather than structural failure. Overall, he leans bullish if the wedge resolves upward, while traders should watch $1.51–$1.55 support, moving-average crossovers, and ETF flow trends.

A whale moved 3,000,000 TRUMP tokens (~$14.88M) into Binance after roughly 50 days of accumulation, realizing an estimated $7.8M loss versus a prior withdrawal valued at about $22.68M, according to on-chain trackers (Lookonchain/Onchain Lens). The deposit signals capitulation and increased short-term sell-side supply, but the market absorbed much of the selling: spot price held above $4.80 and traded around a $5 pivot. TRUMP briefly broke a descending channel but failed to sustain gains above the $5.20–$5.25 resistance and has since reverted toward the $5 level. Technical indicators show neutral-to-weak momentum (RSI ≈ 46). On-chain and market metrics — including a positive 90-day CVD (CryptoQuant) and a CoinGlass 4-hour long/short ratio near 1.32 — suggest buyers have been absorbing supply without strong bullish follow-through. Liquidity clusters and liquidation heatmaps concentrate around $5.10–$5.20, making that band a likely test point and potential stop-run zone. Traders should monitor exchange inflows, spot CVD, liquidity bands, and price reaction at $5 support and $5.20 resistance for short-term volatility and possible additional selling pressure.

USX, a Solana-native dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by Solstice Finance, experienced an extreme secondary-market depeg on Dec 26, 2025 after severe liquidity evaporation on DEXs (Orca, Raydium). On isolated trades reported by PeckShield, USX briefly fell to $0.10 amid extremely thin order books; aggregated DEX data showed many trades clustered around $0.80 before Solstice and market makers injected liquidity. Primary-market reserves remained overcollateralized and 1:1 redemptions through permissioned institutional channels were operational throughout. After liquidity support, USX recovered to roughly $0.94 and later near $0.995; CoinGecko logged an intraday low of $0.8285 and a high of $1.01. Solstice plans third-party attestation of collateral and is working with partners to deepen secondary-market liquidity. Market context: USX’s market cap is in the hundreds of millions (≈$284M reported) within a stablecoin sector valued at hundreds of billions, underscoring systemic liquidity risks. Key takeaways for traders: (1) secondary-market liquidity shortfalls can produce extreme, short-lived price dislocations even when on‑chain collateral is intact; (2) issuer and market‑maker interventions can restore peg quickly but do not remove reputational and contagion risk; (3) expect elevated intraday volatility for USX and potential spillovers to Solana-linked assets and other algorithmic or thinly collateralized stablecoins while attestation and liquidity measures are pending. Monitor DEX depth, on‑chain reserve attestations, redemption status, and market‑maker activity for trading and risk decisions.

Cardano (ADA) has weakened after breaking short-term support levels, trading around $0.35 and consolidating just above $0.347–$0.35. Price sits below key short-term moving averages (7/21/30-day SMAs) and on the 4-hour chart is under downward-sloping averages; momentum indicators (MACD negative, RSI mid-30s) point to bearish pressure and possible oversold conditions. Recent stop-loss cascades accelerated the sell-off after the pivot broke. Immediate downside risk targets the 2025 low near $0.32 and, if bearish momentum persists, a deeper move toward $0.30. To regain upside momentum, buyers need to reclaim moving averages and resistances — near-term resistance includes the 23.6% Fibonacci at ~$0.45. Doji candlesticks have limited directional conviction recently. This is market analysis, not investment advice.

Market analysts flagged a sharp Bitcoin (BTC) sell-off and suspect institutional activity tied to ETFs and BlackRock. Analyst NoLimit observed large BTC transfers from BlackRock’s IBIT ETF into Coinbase Prime at U.S. market open — a pattern often associated with imminent selling or liquidity management. Technical analyst OxNobler and others reported rapid, large-volume sales across major platforms: Binance (~10,155 BTC), Coinbase (~10,113 BTC), Wintermute (~5,354 BTC), BlackRock (~4,945 BTC) and Kraken (~4,630 BTC) — totalling more than $2.5 billion of BTC moved within roughly 30 minutes. Bull Theory noted a $2,300 intraday BTC drop that liquidated about $66 million in long positions in 45 minutes and contributed to roughly $60 billion wiped from the crypto market. At the time of reporting BTC traded near $87,340, roughly 30% below October all-time highs. Analysts attribute the move to ETF-related redemptions or inventory management, low-liquidity timing, and risk reduction ahead of derivatives events, raising renewed manipulation concerns. Key takeaways for traders: monitor ETF flows (notably IBIT), watch exchange wallet movements and liquidity windows around market opens, tighten risk controls for high-leverage positions, and expect elevated volatility while institutional rebalancing and derivatives events occur.

Bitcoin showed robust onchain market structure through 2024–2025, yet shifting macroeconomic conditions capped further price gains in 2025. BTC rallied from ~$42,000 to above $100,000 in 2024, driven by strong stablecoin inflows ($38–$45B/month on average), sustained exchange outflows, and rising institutional/spot-ETF demand. The 365-day MVRV rose from 1.8 to ~2.2 in 2024, indicating structural strength without overheating. However, unlike prior bull cycles, US real yields stayed positive (roughly 1.6–2.1% in 2025) and the Fed shrank its balance sheet from $7.6T to $6.5T (2024–2025), increasing the opportunity cost of non-yielding assets. In 2025 stablecoin inflows fell about 50% from late-2024 peaks and exchange netflows became mixed, while MVRV stabilized between 1.8–2.2. Statistical analysis showed onchain flows explained under 6% of MVRV variation in 2024–2025, implying valuations were increasingly driven by macro variables. For traders: onchain metrics remain useful to assess market structure and downside protection, but major upside likely requires easing macro conditions (falling real yields or expanded liquidity). Monitor real yields, Fed balance sheet trends, stablecoin inflows, and exchange netflows for triggers to resume broad price discovery. This is not investment advice.

Polygon (POL) has seen substantial on-chain growth even as price sits near $0.10. Nansen data shows Polygon was the second-fastest-growing chain over the past 30 days: transactions jumped ~90% to 172 million and active addresses rose ~30% to 14.2 million — levels ahead of Arbitrum, Aptos and Ethereum. Stripe-related integrations and merchant activity are significant drivers; Polygon reported $70M+ lifetime Stripe payments and is becoming a core chain for Stripe stablecoin flows. DeFi activity is robust: DEXes on Polygon processed over $210M in 24-hour volume and about $5.72B in the last 30 days. Technically, POL fell from a November high of $0.766 to around $0.10 and has formed a head-and-shoulders (bearish) pattern while trading below the 50- and 200-day moving averages. Offsetting this, on-chain strength accompanies a falling wedge and bullish divergence on momentum oscillators (PPO, RSI), suggesting a possible rebound toward $0.1520; a decisive break above that level would confirm a bullish breakout. Key takeaways for traders: on-chain usage and merchant integrations indicate growing fundamental demand, but price remains technically weak — watch $0.1520 for confirmation of trend reversal and manage risk given prior large drawdown.

Market analyst Lark Davis argues the crypto bull run expected in 2025 was delayed and that 2026 is a more probable inflection point. Davis cites weak 2025 macro signals — notably a prolonged contraction in US manufacturing (ISM PMI at 48.2 in November, nine months of contraction, new orders in the mid-47s, employment near 44) — which kept sentiment pessimistic despite an AI-driven tech boom. He highlights large AI-related capital expenditure as a structural catalyst for 2026: US data-center spending exceeded $400 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach ~$600 billion in 2026 and >$700 billion by 2027, with over 2,000 new global data centers expected by 2030 and roughly $7 trillion in infrastructure spending over five years. Improved liquidity is anticipated as the Federal Reserve ends quantitative tightening and resumes balance-sheet operations around $40 billion monthly, while analysts forecast ~14% S&P 500 earnings growth in 2026. Davis concludes that manufacturing recovery, heavy AI infrastructure investment, and easier monetary policy could jointly create a stronger, bullish setup in 2026. Key names and figures: Lark Davis; ISM manufacturing PMI 48.2; US data-center spend $400B (2025) → ~$600B (2026); Fed balance-sheet ops ~$40B/month; S&P 500 earnings growth ~14% (2026 forecast).