The Tenth Circuit refused Custodia Bank’s request for a full-court rehearing in its five-year fight to obtain a Federal Reserve master account, effectively ending its challenge to the Fed’s discretion over granting master accounts. In a 7–3 decision the court declined to overturn prior rulings that the Fed can deny master accounts to state-chartered banks; a dissent warned denial can be crippling for a bank. Custodia first applied in October 2020 under the Monetary Control Act, arguing the statute requires access, but courts have repeatedly upheld Fed discretion. The ruling comes after the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in March approved a limited, institutional-only master account for Kraken’s Wyoming banking arm — a narrower “skinny” access that allows phased USD transfers and Fedwire connectivity without full banking privileges. The Fed is reportedly exploring a broader framework for scaled or “skinny” master accounts for nontraditional financial firms, but that work remains early-stage. For crypto traders: this confirms regulators retain gatekeeping power over direct Fed access, reducing the near-term likelihood that many crypto banks will gain full master accounts and direct Fed settlement. Expect continued regulatory differentiation — some crypto firms may secure limited, institution-only access (like Kraken), while others (like Custodia) may fail in court. Monitor further Fed guidance on “skinny” master accounts and any new approvals, as such developments could materially change settlement risk, on/off‑ramp speed, and institutional USD flows for crypto platforms.
Neutral
Federal Reservemaster accountCustodia BankKrakenFedwire
The crypto industry and its lobbying groups have spent roughly $271 million to influence the 2026 US midterm elections, and political spending is still growing. A notable example: a MAGA-backed crypto PAC spent $7 million on attack ads in the Illinois Senate primary targeting Democratic lieutenant governor Juliana Stratton, who had not previously taken a public stance on crypto. Pro-crypto group Stand With Crypto labeled Stratton “strongly anti-crypto,” while her opponent, Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, is rated “strongly pro-crypto” for supporting stablecoin and crypto market bills such as the Genius Act and Clarity Act. The 2026 midterms will contest all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Industry leaders, including Blockchain Association CEO Summer Mersinger, argue the 2024 elections showed crypto holders constitute tens of millions of voters and are an emerging political force. The report underscores growing political mobilisation by crypto interests ahead of major legislative fights over stablecoins and market regulation.
On-chain analytics from Santiment show Bitcoin addresses holding 100+ BTC have reached a new all-time high of 20,031. Santiment’s Supply Distribution data also shows expansion at both extremes since mid-2024: the 100+ BTC cohort and retail-sized 0–1 BTC wallets have grown, while the mid-tier 1–100 BTC cohort fell to about 954,000 addresses. Retail wallets (0–1 BTC) total roughly 57.6 million. At the time of reporting BTC traded near $72,400, up about 2.5% over seven days. Traders should note that a rising count of large-holder addresses often signals renewed institutional or high-net-worth accumulation, which can reduce immediately liquid supply and lower short-term exchange sell pressure. However, greater concentration of supply among whales increases market-moving risk if large holders decide to liquidate. Relevant on-chain metrics to monitor: exchange balances, large transfers, clustering/whale-flow analysis and short-term flow into/out of custodial wallets. Key metrics: 100+ BTC addresses = 20,031; 1–100 BTC addresses ≈ 954,000; 0–1 BTC addresses ≈ 57.6 million; BTC ≈ $72.4k.
Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (RCBC) executive Ryan Tongson said at the Asian Banking & Finance and Insurance Asia Summit 2026 that blockchain use in Philippine banks remains focused on wholesale functions (liquidity management and cross-border wholesale payments), and that only three to four major banks currently provide services to crypto exchanges. Tongson expects consumer-level adoption — including stablecoins as a retail funding and payment method — to become mainstream as regulations and compliance mature. RCBC is preparing to use stablecoins for 24/7 cross-border transfers and is expanding its remittance arm to more than 80 partner corridors across 25 countries within five years. The bank has prior blockchain initiatives dating to 2018 (Japanese bank partnerships) and 2019 (IBM/World Wire stablecoin plans), and in 2025 participated in plans for a multi-bank peso stablecoin (PHPX) on Hedera. The article notes two Philippine banks holding Virtual Asset Service Provider licenses and offering crypto features: GoTyme Bank (in-app crypto buy/sell) and UnionBank (crypto wallet rollout). Key implications: limited banking partners create an on-ramp bottleneck for exchanges and stablecoin-driven remittance rails are a strategic priority for RCBC.
Bitcoin is exhibiting a recurring ‘shock-and-recovery’ response to recent Iran-related geopolitical tensions that closely mirrors its behavior during the Feb–Mar 2022 Russia–Ukraine escalation but with materially higher volatility. Market indicators (CoinMarketCap, TradingView) show RSI dip below 30 during initial sell-offs, sharp rebounds, and extended volatile sideways trading. Key metrics vs. the 2022 period: average daily range 12.7% vs. 8.2% (≈55% higher), Bollinger band width up 68% vs. 45%, VIX correlation 0.81 vs. 0.72, and faster recovery (6 days vs. 9 days). On-chain and flow data from Chainalysis reveal heavier exchange inflows (180% spike), 40% less movement to cold storage, and much larger derivatives activity (futures OI +220%, weekly options volume +300%), signaling a short-term, derivatives-driven market structure. Technical indicators (MACD flip, Fibonacci 0.618 support, improved Sharpe Ratio) point to rapid price discovery and potential institutional interest despite elevated risk. Market structure changes since 2022 — higher institutional participation, regulatory frameworks (e.g., EU MiCA), deeper derivatives and ETF access — amplify short-term swings but may improve long-term efficiency. For traders: expect larger intraday ranges, increased correlation with broader risk indices, and dominant derivatives flows; strategies should emphasize active risk management, volatility strategies (options, hedging), and shorter holding horizons. This is not trading advice.
Former UK prime minister Boris Johnson criticized Bitcoin after recounting a church acquaintance’s losses from a crypto investment pitch, calling cryptocurrencies “basically a Ponzi scheme” and questioning Bitcoin’s intrinsic value and lack of an issuer. Johnson described the investor losing about £20,000 after repeated fees and argued Bitcoin depends on collective belief rather than intrinsic backing. MicroStrategy executive Michael Saylor rebutted Johnson on X, saying Bitcoin is not a Ponzi scheme because it has no central operator, issuer, promoter, or guaranteed returns — instead it is an open, decentralized monetary network driven by code and market demand. Saylor’s response underscores his long-standing corporate advocacy for Bitcoin; MicroStrategy holds billions of dollars in BTC on its balance sheet. The exchange between Johnson and Saylor revives broader debates about monetary trust, the role of decentralization versus state-backed currencies, and fraud risks in crypto that may affect investor confidence.
Former President Donald Trump announced that U.S. Central Command executed orders to strike Iranian military targets on Kharg Island in the Persian Gulf. The precision operation reportedly focused on anti-aircraft missile bases and integrated air defenses while deliberately avoiding damage to oil export infrastructure. Kharg Island handles a significant share of Iran’s crude exports and sits near vital shipping lanes through the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts say the mission required advanced stealth, electronic warfare and satellite intelligence. Immediate implications include potential short-term oil-market volatility (insurance and risk premiums may rise) and heightened regional security tensions. Tehran’s likely responses range from asymmetric attacks, proxy actions and cyber operations to diplomatic protests. Legal and diplomatic fallout may prompt emergency sessions at the UN Security Council and reassessments of Gulf security arrangements. Key facts: target — Iranian air defenses on Kharg Island; economic note — island processes a large share of Iran’s oil exports; tactical tools — stealth aircraft, precision munitions, electronic/satellite intelligence; market effect — possible oil-price volatility and higher shipping insurance. Traders should watch oil futures, energy-linked tokens, DXY moves, regional risk premiums and newsflow on retaliatory incidents.
Bearish
IranKharg IslandMiddle East SecurityOil MarketsUS Military
XRPL daily activity has spiked to over 2.7 million successful payments and nearly 27,000 AMM pools supporting 16,000+ tokens, while XRP’s price trades at $1.37 (down 26% YTD and 62% below its late‑2025 peak). Significant growth is driven by Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin and tokenized real‑world assets (RWA) that use XRP briefly as a bridge currency. Key metrics: XRPL processing 20–26 TPS, $461 million in tokenized asset value (up 35% in 30 days), $1.19 billion stablecoin transfer volume, and $47.54 million TVL on XRPL. Despite rising on‑chain activity, XRP’s market cap (~$84 billion) is not matched by DeFi liquidity (daily DEX volume $4–8 million; 12 million XRP in AMMs) — suggesting activity is transient rather than creating lasting token scarcity. The RWA and institutional‑style flows (30‑day RWA transfer volume $149 million, stablecoin market cap $339 million, 35,800 holders) underpin a longer‑term tokenization bull case, but near‑term price action remains tied to macro factors and ETF/speculative positioning. Traders should note the divergence between network usage and token demand: on‑chain metrics support tokenization narratives, yet limited TVL and low sustained locking of XRP point to muted immediate price pressure. Technical/support context: a $1.27–$1.30 support zone has held; a relief bounce to $1.60+ is plausible if macro/military tensions ease. Primary keywords: XRPL, XRP, tokenization, RLUSD, stablecoin, AMM, RWA.
Avalanche (AVAX) has launched trading on Solana, a strategic move designed to tap Solana’s deep stablecoin liquidity and active user base. Solana’s stablecoin supply recently reached a record $17.1 billion, increasing potential liquidity for AVAX trading and on-chain activity. Concurrently, Grayscale began trading an Avalanche Staking ETF (ticker: GAVA) with a 0% fee, highlighting Avalanche’s fundamentals — over 10.5 billion transactions since 2020 and >4,500 TPS capacity. AVAX demonstrated strong on-chain metrics in 2025, including a record 197 million transactions in Q4, and earlier momentum in real-world assets (RWA) briefly surpassed $1 billion before falling to about $500 million after the October market downturn. The Solana listing plus Grayscale’s ETF are positioned to expand AVAX’s reach to institutional investors by combining improved liquidity, ETF accessibility, and resilient network fundamentals. Traders should watch liquidity flows on Solana, GAVA ETF inflows, short-term price reaction to listing news, and any shifts in on-chain activity as indicators of whether institutional adoption accelerates.
WIF closed the week under pressure, trading around $0.17–$0.18 and ending near $0.17 with a 2.34% weekly loss. Key technicals show a dominant downtrend: price sits below EMA20/50/200, weekly Supertrend signals sell, and MACD exhibits a negative histogram. The critical support level is $0.1609 (score 82/100); a break would accelerate downside toward $0.0674. Short-term RSI is oversold (daily ~33), suggesting a possible bounce if $0.1609 holds. Immediate resistances are $0.19 (EMA20) and $0.23 (trend line); upside target on a confirmed reversal is $0.2924. WIF is highly correlated with Bitcoin (beta >1.5); BTC weakness around $69k–$70k increases cascade risk for alts. Recommended trader actions: wait for confluence before entering longs (RSI >50, MACD flip, weekly close above $0.1609), use tight risk management (2–3% position sizing for accumulation scenarios), or consider shorts with defined stops if $0.1609 breaks. Analysis authored by David Kim and Devrim Cacal. Not investment advice.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) has shown renewed short-term strength after recording four consecutive bullish daily candlesticks and a roughly 13% gain over recent trading sessions. The token approached and has begun trading above a critical resistance trendline near $0.0000059 (psychologically referenced as $0.000006), a level that acted as support until SHIB broke below it on Feb. 27 and subsequently served as resistance. Analyst Crypto Tony notes the breakout from this resistance and from a descending channel that formed after SHIB fell from $0.00001 on Jan. 5. Current price sits near $0.000006045, and traders are watching for sustained trading above $0.0000059 to confirm a short-term shift toward bullish conditions. The article stresses that continued validation above the breakout level is necessary to confirm the recovery; the wider crypto market’s slight stabilization has aided SHIB’s rebound. This is an informational piece and not financial advice.
Investigative reports say individuals with possible access to Argentina’s February inflation figures placed concentrated bets on Polymarket before the official INDEC release. INDEC reported February inflation at 2.9% (market forecast 2.7%); Polymarket saw $27,885 wagered on that exact outcome, with several small accounts suddenly concentrating funds on the 2.9% result within 48 hours before publication. The contract (whether inflation would exceed 2.7%) settled at $1 for “Yes,” producing immediate gains for pre-release buyers. The case raises insider trading concerns for decentralized prediction markets, highlighting regulatory gaps due to pseudonymous crypto transactions, borderless smart-contract platforms, and limited surveillance. Analysts note the incident could erode confidence in Argentina’s data credibility, modestly widen sovereign spreads and increase peso volatility. Regulators and platforms face pressure to improve monitoring, reporting and cross-border enforcement to deter leaks tied to economically sensitive data. Key facts: alleged pre-release betting, $27,885 volume, 2.9% reported inflation, concentrated activity by atypical accounts, and renewed scrutiny on prediction market regulation.
A U.S. federal court in the Southern District of New York dismissed consolidated Anti‑Terrorism Act claims against Binance, ruling plaintiffs failed to show the exchange knowingly assisted, conspired with, or materially supported terrorist organizations. The suit involved hundreds of plaintiffs alleging Binance-enabled flows tied to multiple attacks. The 62-page decision found plaintiffs did not establish required legal elements but gave 60 days to file an amended complaint after a recent appellate precedent was cited. Binance stressed its investments in compliance, sanctions screening and cooperation with authorities. While the ruling removes a major near-term legal overhang and may ease negative sentiment for Binance and the broader crypto market, other regulatory probes, ongoing civil suits and past enforcement (including Binance’s 2023 guilty plea, $4.3bn penalty and compliance monitors) mean persistent regulatory and reputational risk. Traders should view this as a reduced immediate tail risk for BNB/BNB‑related markets and Binance-listed liquidity, but continued scrutiny could reintroduce volatility if new claims or enforcement actions emerge.
LIT surged ~12% to $1.19 with a 55% rise in spot volume after rebounding from the $1.00 support, forming a short-term recovery inside a longer-term descending channel. Price reached the channel midline around $1.20, a critical resistance; a sustained break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while rejection would keep the downtrend intact. Technical indicators show early bullish signs: Stochastic RSI climbed to 68.10 and Parabolic SAR flipped below price near $0.986. Derivatives activity expanded—Open Interest rose ~7.4% to ~$167.5M—indicating traders are adding exposure rather than closing positions. Binance top-trader positioning is heavily long (≈72.4% long vs 27.6% short; long/short ≈2.62), amplifying upside bias but also creating liquidation risk on sharp pullbacks. For traders: expect elevated volatility as LIT tests the midline/resistance—momentum trades could work on breakout confirmation above $1.20, while risk-management (tight stops or reduced leverage) is advised given concentrated long positioning and rising OI. This is informational and not investment advice.
Michael Saylor, chairman of Strategy, said large institutional Bitcoin purchases often have a time lag before affecting market prices and urged investors not to expect immediate reactions. The comments followed Strategy’s disclosure that it bought 17,994 BTC (~$1.28 billion) at an average price of $70,946 per coin — its 102nd purchase and the 11th straight week of accumulation. At the time of reporting Bitcoin traded near $71,993. Strategy shows roughly $3.35 billion in unrealized losses versus aggregate acquisition cost, while the firm’s market cap (~$47 billion) is below the estimated value of its Bitcoin treasury (~$52.65 billion). Saylor reiterated a long-term bullish outlook — estimating modest annual growth would meet corporate needs and projecting a possible ~30% average annual BTC growth over 20 years. Analysts noted rising Coinbase premium and argued that holding support above $70,000 could open a path toward ~$76,000, a level near Strategy’s average entry price. The article frames the purchases as continued institutional accumulation and reminds traders that demand from large buys may not translate to immediate price spikes.
Bitcoin trades around $70,400 after a 0.7% gain as daily market volume remains elevated (~$41.4B), supporting a $1.4T market cap. XRP is consolidating near $1.38 with a modest 1.2% decline and $2.08B 24-hour volume, maintaining an $84.5B market cap. Liquidity is shifting toward major altcoins, and traders are watching presales for early entry opportunities. APEMARS (APRZ) is highlighted: its Stage 11 “Speed Spike” presale price is $0.000107, with >1,390 holders, ~$297K raised and 12.4B+ tokens sold. The project claims a projected 5,040% ROI potential for earliest participants and uses staged price increases plus periodic token burns to create urgency and scarcity. The presale’s countdown can end a stage early if allocations sell out. The article is a sponsored press release and not investment advice.
Kraken and NinjaTrader Live have launched The Crypto Closeout, a free weekly one-hour live trading show for crypto traders airing Sundays at 7 p.m. ET. Hosted by active traders Dylan (@TraderMayne) and Rick (@PonziTrader), the program offers real-time market coverage, technical setups, macro outlooks, and interviews with prominent traders, strategists, policy figures and Kraken experts. Episodes run live on NinjaTrader Live x Kraken with trades shown through NinjaTrader and Kraken tools. The show aims to give traders technical levels, macro context and a watchlist before the Monday open. The announcement stresses no paywall or subscription, emphasizes real-time trading (not marketing content), and notes U.S. futures services on Kraken are provided by NinjaTrader Clearing (NTC) along with risk disclosures for derivatives and digital-asset trading.
Bitcoin’s price remains above $70,000 as traders and on‑chain analytics identify clearer liquidation clusters across major exchanges. Alphractal’s X post shows most newly opened positions are longs, indicating a bullish tilt; long liquidations cluster near ~$61,000 while short liquidations concentrate near ~$75,000. On‑chain metric RVT (Realized Value to Transactions) and its 28‑day moving average suggest capital is being stored on the BTC network faster than it’s being transacted, a pattern historically associated with accumulation phases. At publication BTC traded around $71,500 with a ~3% 24‑hour bounce and trading volume up ~7%. Key takeaways for traders: liquidation levels are mapped more clearly, long positioning dominates current flows, watch $61k (max pain for longs) and $75k (short concentration) for large stop/trigger risk, and rising RVT implies reduced on‑chain activity despite increased stored capital—consistent with accumulation or consolidation ahead of directional moves.
A federal judge dismissed Department of Justice subpoenas seeking testimony and documents from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell related to the 2023 banking-sector stress and the Fed’s emergency response. The court found the subpoenas overly broad and intrusive, invoking protections for the Fed’s deliberative process and applying the apex doctrine that shields senior officials from deposition unless less intrusive means are exhausted. The DOJ probe had examined communications and policy decisions during the collapse of mid-sized banks with crypto exposure, such as Silvergate and Signature. Markets reacted positively: Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed reduced volatility and modest gains in the 24 hours after the ruling, while equity indexes ticked higher and the dollar eased. Legal experts say the decision sets a precedent limiting investigative reach into independent agencies and raises the evidentiary bar for future requests targeting top regulators (including SEC or CFTC leaders). For traders, the ruling lowers near-term regulatory uncertainty around Fed leadership and policy deliberations—supporting calmer market conditions and improved predictability for crypto firms seeking banking clarity—while longer-term regulatory scrutiny of crypto-related banking relationships may continue through other channels.
Bullish
Federal ReserveDOJ InvestigationCentral Bank IndependenceCryptocurrency MarketRegulatory Precedent
Large Bitcoin wallets (whales) have resumed accumulation, pushing the number of wallets holding at least 100 BTC to nearly 20,000—the highest on record. On-chain data compiled by CryptoRank (and Santiment) show renewed buying after whales sold into prior price gains, with accumulation accelerating following Bitcoin’s rebound from about $65,900. Exchange reserves have fallen to roughly 2,742,794 BTC per Arab Chain’s analysis, signaling continued withdrawals to private custody and reduced sell-side liquidity. Meanwhile, the number of on-chain Bitcoin users reached a record 571 million, growing by over 10 million users per quarter. The April 2024 halving lowered miner rewards to 3.125 BTC per block, tightening new supply as demand expands. Institutional demand—highlighted by ongoing ETF purchases from managers like BlackRock and Fidelity—alongside whale accumulation, shrinking exchange balances and rapid user growth, has underpinned recent price strength, with BTC trading near $72,500 at the time of reporting. These fundamentals point to sustained accumulation pressure and potential further upside, while reduced exchange liquidity lowers immediate selling pressure.
EUR/USD closed a pivotal week near the 1.1400 psychological level after decisively settling below the 200‑day moving average (200‑DMA), signaling a medium‑term bearish bias. Technical indicators—RSI dipping into oversold territory with a minor bounce, MACD below its signal line, and higher trading volumes during the decline—support the negative outlook. Immediate resistance is now 1.1400 and the 200‑DMA; primary support sits at 1.1300 with secondary support near the yearly low around 1.1200. A weekly close back above 1.1500 would be required to invalidate the bearish structure. Fundamental drivers include US inflation surprising to the upside, widening interest‑rate divergence favoring the US Dollar, weaker Eurozone data (notably Germany), and renewed geopolitical/energy concerns in Europe. Market positioning shows leveraged funds increasing net short euro exposure, asset managers cutting longs, and higher put demand in options markets. Analysts warn a break below 1.1300 could accelerate declines toward 1.1000, while some note short‑term oversold conditions that could allow a technical rebound to ~1.1500. Traders should watch upcoming US Non‑Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation prints as potential catalysts. The consensus is cautiously bearish unless fundamental conditions materially change.
Bearish
EURUSDForex Technical Analysis200‑day Moving AverageInterest Rate DivergenceMacro Data
Spot gold (XAU/USD) headed for a weekly loss after the US Dollar Index (DXY) surged decisively above the psychological 100.00 level. Strong US economic data—robust retail sales and persistent services-sector inflation—recalibrated Fed rate-expectation markets, reducing expectations for near-term rate cuts and supporting the dollar. Safe-haven flows, comparative weakness in other major economies, and technical buying after the DXY breakout amplified dollar strength. The dollar’s rally pressured gold by making dollar-priced bullion costlier for holders of other currencies and triggering algorithmic and institutional selling in futures and ETFs. Broader implications include headwinds for commodity prices (oil, copper, agricultural goods) and potential negative currency-translation effects for multinational equity earnings. Historical episodes of sustained DXY >100 have coincided with Fed tightening and short-term gold weakness, though central-bank purchases and physical demand from India and China can provide support. Traders should watch upcoming US economic releases, Fed commentary, real US interest rates, and central-bank buying flows for near-term direction.
Crypto analyst ChainHub outlined a multi-scenario Bitcoin (BTC) plan as price action enters a critical phase. He said failure to break out within a week would imply BTC isn’t ready to reverse. Key demand zones for a meaningful reversal are $53,000–$58,000 and $44,000–$46,000; earlier resistance at $76,000–$80,000 failed to hold. ChainHub expects possible reversal points below $30,000 if demand zones break, but still considers BTC technically bullish while noting breakout prospects are weak without demand. He has begun dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into short positions to hedge spot holdings and plans to close all spot positions by early April, moving net short into late March. He flags April 14–15 as a potential bottom window and expects the current bullish phase to last until late June, targeting $93,000 as a best-case rebound. ChainHub also warned altcoins may lag due to weak BTC momentum and some may fall to zero before the next meaningful rally. Traders should watch the named demand zones, key dates (mid-April), and the shift from spot to net-short positioning for clues on market direction.
U.S. Rep. French Hill, chair of the House Financial Services Committee, said the CLARITY Act could address unresolved issues left by the GENIUS Act regarding stablecoin regulation. Speaking to Fox Business, Hill noted the House previously passed the CLARITY Act with bipartisan support (including 78 Democratic votes) and stressed lawmakers’ goal of consistent rules for bank and nonbank stablecoin issuers. He reiterated a bipartisan agreement that stablecoins should not pay yield and suggested some questions—such as rewards or incentives tied to stablecoin transactions—might be best handled through regulatory rulemaking by Treasury rather than additional legislation. Major banks have argued for equal regulatory standards, warning that lighter rules for crypto firms could create competitive imbalances. Hill emphasized parity between bank and nonbank issuers as a policy objective. Key names: Rep. French Hill, GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, Treasury, major banks. Main keywords: CLARITY Act, GENIUS Act, stablecoin regulation.
Neutral
stablecoin regulationCLARITY ActGENIUS ActUS Congressbank vs nonbank parity
Macro strategist Luke Gromen said substantial, aggressive monetary stimulus — which he called “nuclear printing” — would likely be required to push Bitcoin back into a sustained bull market. Gromen argues that only a significant increase in liquidity and potentially renewed quantitative easing would recreate the macro backdrop that powered previous Bitcoin rallies. He noted that without such powerful central-bank action, risk assets including Bitcoin may struggle to gain strong, lasting upward momentum. The comments emphasise the link between central-bank monetary policy, liquidity conditions, and crypto price cycles, suggesting traders should watch policy signals, real yields, and liquidity measures closely for clues about Bitcoin’s next major trend.
SUN (SUN/USDT) remains in a short-term downtrend, trading in a low-volume, narrow range near $0.016. Technical indicators across both updates are bearish: short-term EMAs and Supertrend signal downside, EMA50/100 slope downward, and EMA200 sits well above current price (~$0.025). Momentum is weak but mixed — earlier notes flagged RSI near oversold (around 30) with potential bullish divergence, while the later update shows RSI recovered to ~41. MACD is neutral/flat across updates, pending a decisive crossover. Key intraday range: $0.01705–$0.01575; reported 24h volume moved from ~$4.9M to ~$8.35M between reports. Important support levels: $0.0156–$0.0157 (high-probability), $0.0154–$0.0150, with a deeper bearish target near $0.0130–$0.0131 on a breakdown. Short-term resistance cluster lies at $0.0162–$0.0176; bullish re-acceleration target is ~$0.0186–$0.0192 but requires higher volume, RSI >40 confirmation and a MACD bullish crossover. SUN shows high correlation with Bitcoin (~0.8–0.85); continued BTC weakness will likely add downside pressure. Trader guidance: prioritize capital protection — avoid aggressive longs until price closes above major resistances with volume confirmation; place stops just below strong supports (e.g., below $0.0156–$0.0159 with a small buffer), consider ATR-adjusted or trailing stops, and limit per-trade risk (suggested ~1% of capital). Watch for RSI oversold rebounds, MACD crossover, and rising volume as conviction signals for recovery trades.
Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital and former White House communications director, reiterated a long-term bullish view on Bitcoin (BTC), saying BTC could match gold’s roughly $35 trillion market capitalization within 10–15 years. Speaking on the PBD Podcast, Scaramucci cited Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply and growing utility as a financial network as drivers that could push BTC toward a theoretical price above $1.5 million per coin at parity with gold. He disclosed Bitcoin is the largest allocation in his portfolio and that he increased holdings during the recent dip. The articles note recent BTC price volatility — a peak near $126,080 in October 2025, a low near $60,000, and trading around $73,480 at publication — and list BTC market cap at about $1.47 trillion and total crypto market cap near $2.57 trillion. The coverage also references similar bullish commentary from Michael Saylor and significant institutional accumulation by Strategy (recently buying 17,994 BTC; Strategy’s holdings cited at 738,731 BTC), plus a mention of other bullish forecasts such as Tim Draper’s multi-year price target. For traders: the news reinforces continued institutional demand and prominent long-term bullish narratives for BTC, highlights large-scale accumulation that can support price floors, but contrasts with recent steep volatility that creates short-term trading risk.
Alibaba’s AI model (reported as “KIMI”/DeepSeek) produced bullish price forecasts for major cryptocurrencies through late 2026. Key predictions include XRP rising to $8, Bitcoin reaching up to $250,000 (the article also mentions hypothetical longer-term $1M scenarios) and Ethereum climbing toward a new all-time-high area (~$5,041). The analysis cites XRP’s role in Ripple’s XRPL roadmap, on-chain utility and potential inflows from U.S. XRP ETFs; Bitcoin’s status as ‘digital gold’, macro demand and geopolitical catalysts; and Ethereum’s smart-contract dominance, TVL and institutional adoption pending clearer regulation (e.g., the CLARITY Act). The article links Alibaba’s AI optimism to potential regulatory alignment between the SEC and CFTC and broader U.S. crypto legislation, which could unlock institutional flows. It also briefly highlights a speculative meme token presale (Maxi Doge, MAXI) raising $4.7M with high APY staking offers. Traders should treat AI price outputs as speculative signals rather than investment advice: watch for regulation (CLARITY Act), ETF flows, on-chain metrics, RSI/bullish chart patterns for XRP, and macro/geopolitical news that historically drive BTC volatility. Primary keywords: Alibaba AI, price prediction, XRP, Bitcoin, Ethereum, crypto regulation, ETFs.
Law enforcement led by the U.S. Department of Justice and Europol dismantled SocksEscort, a roughly 15-year-old international proxy network used to mask attackers’ IP traffic and facilitate fraud, account takeovers and cryptocurrency theft. Coordinated raids across eight countries (including France, Germany and the Netherlands) seized 23 servers, 34 domains and about $3.5 million in cryptocurrency. Investigators linked the network to AVRecon malware and say it controlled roughly 369,000 compromised devices (computers, routers and IoT) and had about 124,000 registered users. Europol estimates the service generated around $5.8 million in illicit revenue over its lifespan. Authorities also recovered core server infrastructure and user databases, granting access to historical traffic logs that could identify and lead to prosecutions of thousands of users. For crypto traders, the takedown removes a key anonymization layer used in laundering and theft, increases the likelihood that wallets tied to SocksEscort activity will be traced and frozen, and may prompt exchanges and regulators to tighten onboarding and traffic verification. Primary implications: disrupted laundering routes, potential spikes in flagged addresses, and elevated compliance scrutiny—factors traders should monitor to manage counterparty and custodial risk.