Reports in The Wall Street Journal say Aryam Investment 1 — linked to UAE royal Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan — agreed to buy a roughly $500 million, 49% stake in World Liberty Financial (WLFI), with a first tranche of $250 million reportedly wired Jan. 16, 2025. About $187 million allegedly went to Trump-linked entities and $31 million to WLFI founders. If completed, Aryam would become WLFI’s largest external shareholder. The transaction reportedly occurred four days before President Trump’s inauguration; Trump has said he was unaware of the deal. The Sheikh chairs Group 42 and serves as UAE national security adviser, prompting concerns about foreign influence and governance. WLFI previously saw DT Marks DEFI LLC (Trump-family entity) reduce its stake from 75% in Dec. 2024 to 40% by June 2025 amid speculation of large cash proceeds. WLFI has not confirmed the report. The news has prompted political scrutiny — including calls from Senator Elizabeth Warren to pause review of WLFI’s bank-charter application — and may lead to heightened regulatory oversight of WLFI and related crypto projects. For crypto traders: monitor possible regulatory actions, reputational risk to WLFI-linked tokens or services, and any liquidity events tied to disclosed ownership changes that could affect market access or counterparty risk.
Neutral
World Liberty FinancialUAE investmentSheikh TahnoonTrump familycrypto regulation
Hyperliquid (HYPE) jumped roughly 40% in the past week, including a 21% 24‑hour rise to a 10‑week high near $38 (Feb 3). The latest reports show whale accumulation drove the rally: on‑chain data indicate wallets holding $1M–$5M of HYPE increased positions, while mid‑sized holders ($50k–$500k) also bought in. Momentum accelerated after HyperCore (the L1 behind Hyperliquid) signalled support for HIP 4 to expand into prediction markets, enabling fully collateralized outcome contracts. Network upgrades (HIP 3), rising trading volumes—especially in commodities products—and increased fee revenue have supported a buyback‑and‑burn mechanism that reportedly uses ~97% of net fees to reduce circulating supply. Technicals on the daily chart confirm bullish signals: a 20‑day SMA crossing above the 50‑day SMA, bullish MACD and Supertrend, and recent overbought readings that warrant caution. Analysts cited a near‑term resistance/target at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (~$51); a drop below the 23.6% retracement (~$29.6) would invalidate the bullish thesis. Traders should weigh strong social and on‑chain flows and supply compression against overbought conditions and wider market fragility. Disclosure: not investment advice.
Tether has integrated USDT and tokenized gold XAUT into Opera’s MiniPay self-custodial wallet, expanding access to dollar-pegged stablecoins and gold-backed holdings for mobile-first users in emerging markets. MiniPay runs on the Celo blockchain and uses phone-number activation to target Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia. Opera reports 12.6 million activated wallets across 60 countries, with over 7 million phone-verified USDT wallets and 50% user growth in Q4 2025. In December 2025 MiniPay processed tens of millions of USDT transfers and millions of peer payments, reflecting strong mobile demand for USD-denominated transfers and remittances. Following the announcement, Opera shares jumped intraday and closed notably higher on Feb. 2. Tether’s CEO framed the move as improving reliable access to stable value, while Opera executives highlighted MiniPay’s role in bringing on-chain dollars to underserved users. The integration may increase on-chain USDT circulation and retail demand for XAUT in the targeted regions, supporting remittance flows and dollar-denominated savings despite broader stablecoin market cap softness and mixed exchange flows since late 2023.
Barclays warns that since 1930 every Federal Reserve chair transition has been followed by an average six-month S&P 500 drawdown of roughly 16%. Jerome Powell is set to leave in May 2026 and Kevin Warsh, a candidate viewed as hawkish who has criticized QE and urged aggressive balance-sheet reduction (QT), is expected to succeed him. Barclays and commentators say the main market risk is uncertainty around policy style change rather than a single rate move; a Warsh-led Fed could tighten liquidity materially by shrinking the monetary base, strengthening the dollar and pressuring dollar-denominated risk assets. The note highlights heightened vulnerability because equities and crypto assets are at multi-year highs and heavily levered positions could trigger cascade liquidations. Near-term impacts could include compressed risk appetite, higher real rates that weigh on gold and Bitcoin, and volatility spikes across meme coins and unprofitable growth stocks. Over the longer term, persistent QT and ‘higher for longer’ rates would reduce asset price premia, but a systemic shock could still boost safe-haven demand for assets like BTC and gold depending on the severity and policy response.
Bearish
Federal ReserveLiquidity RiskMarket VolatilityKevin WarshMacro impact on crypto
Nomura Holdings disclosed a ¥10.6 billion (about $68 million) loss in its wholesale division tied to its crypto unit, Laser Digital. CFO Hiroyuki Moriuchi said the losses resulted from digital-asset market movements in October and November that punished sizable long positions held by the unit. Laser Digital — launched two years ago and active in market making, fund management and venture investing — was profitable in Q2 but suffered a Q3 write-down after the rapid ‘10/10’ market crash. Nomura says its long-term commitment to digital assets is unchanged but it will reduce position sizes and tighten risk controls to limit short-term earnings volatility. The disclosure was made during a Q&A where analysts questioned how a previously profitable unit swung to a steep loss. Key figures: ¥10.6 billion loss (~$68M); timing: October–November volatility; unit: Laser Digital; measures: de-risking, tighter position/risk controls. Primary keywords: Nomura, Laser Digital, crypto loss. Secondary/semantic keywords: market volatility, long positions, risk controls, institutional crypto exposure.
Galaxy Digital research director Alex Thorn warns Bitcoin (BTC) may extend its recent downtrend and is likely to test the lower edge of a supply gap near $70,000 in the coming weeks, with a possible longer-term probe toward a realized price around $56,000. Thorn cites a lack of clear catalysts — diminished odds of U.S. crypto market-structure legislation and little large-buyer accumulation — as reasons downside pressure could persist. Technical indicators cited include BTC trading near $78.5–78.8K (about 39% below its all-time high), RSI near oversold (~29), Supertrend bearish, EMA20 around $85.7K, and the 200-week moving average near $58K as a historical cycle-bottom reference. Immediate supports noted: $78.47 and $76.31 (breaks could open tests of $76K then $70K). Market context: BTC recently slipped below MicroStrategy’s approximate cost basis (~$76K) and fell under $80K for the first time since April 2025; futures and spot data point to bearish pressure, while long-term holder selling has slowed — a possible sign the market is approaching a bottom region absent fresh inflows. Trading implications for short-term traders: elevated probability of further downside with key support levels to watch ($78.5K, $76K, $70K) and an eye on realized price/200-week MA for potential longer-term support. For swing/position traders: limited evidence yet of strong institutional accumulation; a meaningful upward reversal likely requires clear external catalysts or renewed institutional flows. This is not investment advice.
Bearish
BitcoinBTC pricerealized pricesupply gap200-week MA
ING, a major European bank, is reportedly opening access to crypto investments for clients, signaling increased institutional acceptance of digital assets. The move coincides with a sharp retail focus on high-volatility, utility-driven altcoins such as SUBBD. SUBBD recently closed a $1.4 million early capital raise and is positioning itself as an AI-Web3 solution for the creator economy. Built on EVM-compatible Ethereum smart contracts, SUBBD offers token-gated access, AI personal assistants, and voice-cloning tools aimed at reducing platform fees and consolidating creator workflows. Token metrics cited include a current price of $0.0574875 and an earlier presale valuation of $0.0002802; the project provides staking with a fixed 20% APY for the first year plus XP multipliers and exclusive content to encourage locking supply. The article frames this as part of a market bifurcation: legacy institutions bringing stability and retail traders pursuing high-risk, high-reward niche tokens. For traders, the key takeaways are increased institutional legitimization (potentially improving macro liquidity and price support) alongside elevated retail-driven volatility in speculative tokens like SUBBD. The piece includes a standard investment disclaimer urging due diligence.
South Korea’s leading exchange Upbit will list Moonbird (BIRB) on February 3, 2025, opening trading at 09:00 UTC across BIRB/BTC, BIRB/USDT and BIRB/KRW. Deposits begin several hours earlier. The listing follows Upbit’s standard due diligence and compliance checks, and is positioned as a validation for Moonbird’s NFTfi protocol — which enables NFTs to be used as collateral for loans and uses BIRB for governance, fee discounts, staking rewards and some collateral utility. Technical integration on Upbit includes wallet support, price indexing and smart-contract risk review. Market observers expect a classic “listing effect”: heightened volume and volatility, particularly in Korea’s retail-driven market, improving liquidity and price discovery for BIRB. Longer-term price performance will depend on fundamentals such as Moonbird’s TVL, user growth, tokenomics (emission and vesting schedules) and broader DeFi/NFT trends. Upbit’s regulatory standing and market dominance (noted high KRW market share and compliance with the FSC) often amplifies visibility for listed projects across Asia. Traders should expect short-term volatility around listing, opportunity for arbitrage and increased KRW liquidity, but evaluate team vesting, token supply mechanics and protocol adoption before sizing positions.
Global crypto spot trading volume has plunged roughly 50% over three months, exposing a critical liquidity squeeze that could raise slippage and volatility for traders. Binance’s BTC spot volume fell from about $200bn in October to ~$104bn in January (≈48% decline), with aggregate exchange data showing a broad pullback from spot markets. Contributing factors include a large forced liquidation event on October 10 and sustained stablecoin outflows (USDT, USDC) from exchange wallets, reducing on-exchange dollar-equivalent liquidity. Analysts warn macro risks — notably a potentially hawkish US Federal Reserve — could further drain risk capital, while catalysts for recovery include renewed inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, crypto-friendly legislation, or weaker U.S. jobs data prompting dovish policy. Short-term effects: thinner order books, higher slippage, and deterrence of both retail and institutional participants; market participants may shift volume to DEXs and OTC desks. Long-term: prolonged low spot volume could delay product development and impede healthy price discovery, but consolidation phases have historically preceded major inflection points. Traders should monitor on-exchange stablecoin balances, ETF flow data, and macro cues for liquidity shifts.
A PayPal study indicates growing consumer adoption of cryptocurrency for payments in the United States. The report highlights an increase in the number of users who have spent crypto to buy goods and services via PayPal’s platform and affiliated merchants. Key points include rising transaction frequency, broader merchant acceptance, and demographic trends showing higher usage among younger and tech-savvy consumers. The study also notes improvements in UX and payment rails that make crypto payments more practical, and it underscores PayPal’s role in mainstreaming digital assets for everyday commerce. While exact figures and time frames were not provided in the excerpt, the findings signal accelerating integration of crypto payments into typical retail channels, with implications for payment volumes and merchant adoption.
Spot gold rallied back above $4,900 per ounce on Feb 3, erasing the prior session’s losses and posting intraday gains exceeding 5%. The brief note cites market moves without offering investment advice. Contextual headlines on the same feed reference continued bullish views from institutions (e.g., JPMorgan raising its 2026 year-end gold target) and commentary comparing gold and bitcoin dynamics, but the core report focuses on gold’s sharp intraday recovery to $4,900/oz. Primary keywords: spot gold, gold price, $4,900/oz, intraday gain. Secondary/semantic keywords: precious metals, market rebound, bullion, trading volatility.
HYPE (Hyperliquid’s native token) jumped approximately 22% in a recent rally, pushing its market capitalization above $9.8 billion and placing it inside the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap. The move was driven by elevated trading volumes—24‑hour volume near $846 million—and renewed investor interest in Hyperliquid’s commodities and perpetual futures markets. Increased trading activity and fees on the platform have reportedly supported token demand through protocol-level buybacks and higher utility. HYPE has shown volatile weekly ranges with sharp rallies and pullbacks, standing out as a weekly outperformer amid broader market volatility where major assets like BTC and ETH experienced sideways or downward pressure. Traders and analysts will watch whether HYPE can sustain its top‑10 ranking and convert short‑term momentum into longer‑term adoption tied to Hyperliquid’s ecosystem expansion.
Hyperliquid, a leading on-chain perpetuals protocol, announced plans to expand into prediction markets. The market reacted immediately: HYPE token surged roughly 20% on the news. The move signals a strategic consolidation of liquidity between high-frequency perpetual trading and event-based wagering, enabling shared collateral pools that could let traders hedge event outcomes while maintaining leveraged positions. The article highlights a broader trend toward capital efficiency and a resurgence of active, high-conviction trading culture. It also includes promotional coverage of an unrelated meme-token project, Maxi Doge, claiming whale accumulation and presale figures; these claims appear promotional and are separate from Hyperliquid’s announcement. Key facts: Hyperliquid expanding product scope into prediction markets; HYPE price +20% after disclosure; strategy aims to unite perp liquidity and prediction markets to improve capital efficiency and hedging. Traders should watch liquidity movement, on-chain flows, and any protocol details (collateral mechanics, oracle design, settlement rules) that affect risk and leverage.
Zcash (ZEC) has fallen sharply in recent weeks and is now trading near $290 after a roughly 43% drop over the past month and about 22% in the last week. Spot and futures volumes have softened (24h spot ~ $423M, futures volume down ~20% to ~$1.14B) while open interest remains near $451M. Price action shows ZEC below the 20-day moving average, testing the daily lower Bollinger Band and printing lower highs/lows; RSI sits in the low-30s and ADX shows weak trend strength. Derivatives data points to heavier short exposure than longs, increasing risk of cascade liquidations if key supports fail. Technical levels to watch: immediate resistance at $320–$350 (mid-Bollinger/short-term averages), intraday support near $317.8, primary near $310–$290; a confirmed break below $280 could open larger declines toward $270 or lower. Recent selling follows a late-2025 rally and is compounded by governance turmoil at Electric Coin Company (core dev departures including the CEO) and ongoing regulatory scrutiny of privacy coins. Marketing and rebranding may provide temporary support, but without broader market improvement and restored governance confidence, the outlook remains weak. Traders should monitor volume, ADX, RSI and derivatives open interest, use tight risk controls, and set stops around the $310–$317 intraday band to manage liquidation risk.
On-chain data shows a wallet linked to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes transferred roughly $1.98 million to FalconX on April 9, 2025. The sequence: ~$980k in Lido DAO (LDO) moved first, then a combined $1 million deposited—$500k in Ethena (ENA) and $500k in Pendle (PENDLE)—within 12 hours. Transfers to an institutional prime broker like FalconX often precede selling, OTC execution, or portfolio rebalancing, prompting traders to watch for increased supply risk. ENA (synthetic dollar/governance) and PENDLE (yield-tokenization) are DeFi-focused tokens; the moves highlight institutional interest in synthetic assets and yield products. Analysts caution single transactions are not definitive signals; context matters—wallet history, daily volume vs transfer size, concurrent flows, and whether an OTC trade is likely. For traders: monitor exchange balances, order-book liquidity for ENA, PENDLE and LDO, short-term volatility around these tokens, and on-chain activity for confirming follow-through. Key metrics: transfer sizes (~$500k each for ENA/PENDLE, ~$980k LDO), destination FalconX (institutional custody), and the wallet’s presumed Hayes association. This event is a notable on-chain signal but requires corroborating flows and market data before using it as a trading trigger.
ChainUp and MAS‑licensed exchange 1exchange (1X) say 2026 is the turning point for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization as the sector shifts from proof‑of‑concept minting to delivering sustained market liquidity. Institutional signals—such as NYSE plans for 24/7 blockchain trading of tokenized stocks and Nasdaq’s proposal to the SEC to integrate tokenized assets—validate demand for infrastructure that supports high‑speed execution, automated compliance and on‑chain delivery‑versus‑payment (DvP) settlement. Key themes for 2026: programmable trust (embedding compliance and risk controls into smart contracts), unified post‑trade lifecycle via blockchain‑native atomic settlement, and tokenized asset mobility across chains and jurisdictions using MPC custody. Capital is concentrating in regulated hubs—Singapore, Dubai and the EU—where legal certainty supports yield‑bearing RWAs like private credit and fixed income. ChainUp and 1exchange argue that operationalizing on‑chain settlement, modular market structures and continuous secondary‑market liquidity will convert RWA tokenization from experimental pilots into scalable institutional markets.
ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, increased exposure to crypto-related equities across ARKF, ARKK and ARKW during a recent bitcoin pullback, purchasing roughly $72 million of stock. Major allocations included Robinhood (HOOD) ~ $32.7M, CoreWeave (CRWV) ~ $14.6M, Circle (CRCL) ~ $9.4M, BitMine (BMNR) ~ $6.3M, Bullish (BLSH) ~ $6.0M, Block ~ $1.9M and Coinbase ~ $1.3M. These buys follow an earlier late‑January ~$21.5M purchase of Coinbase, Circle and Bullish when bitcoin traded below $90,000. Earlier reporting noted ARK also added smaller positions (including an ARK‑21Shares Spot Bitcoin ETF holding and larger Coinbase/BitMine buys) during another dip; both accounts show a consistent buy‑the‑dip approach. Cathie Wood continues to argue bitcoin offers portfolio diversification given its historically low correlations with stocks, bonds and gold. For traders: ARK’s purchases signal institutional conviction in exchange, stablecoin issuer and infrastructure plays, and may provide near‑term support or attention/liquidity to these listed equities. However, the trades occurred amid correlated weakness (bitcoin and ether declines), underscoring market sensitivity to macro and crypto‑specific flows; therefore, short‑term volatility may persist even as institutional buying offers tactical support.
Bitcoin has rebounded to about $78,500, driven primarily by derivatives leverage rather than strong spot demand. Order book and order-block analysis reveal thinning conviction and a large liquidity gap between roughly $72,000 and the current price, meaning a sudden sell-off could cascade without structural support. Market volatility is expected to remain high. Meanwhile, institutional and “smart money” flows are shifting toward Bitcoin infrastructure and Layer 2 solutions as on-chain friction—higher fees and slower confirmations during rallies—continues to push capital into scaling projects. One highlighted project, Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), claims to combine Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) execution speed with Bitcoin L1 security, offering sub-second finality via an SVM-based L2 and a “Decentralized Canonical Bridge.” The article states $HYPER’s presale has raised over $31.2M, with large whale purchases noted and presale tokenomics including a 7-day vesting period and staking incentives. The piece is promotional in parts and contains explicit presale calls-to-action; readers should independently verify presale details. Key takeaways for traders: (1) short-term BTC price action is fragile and leverage-driven, raising downside risk if liquidity dries up; (2) rotation into Bitcoin scaling and Layer 2 plays is a growing thematic that may offer hedges or alpha if on-chain congestion persists; (3) projects in presale carry elevated counterparty and market risk despite sizable early interest.
Binance Wallet announced that Binance Alpha will list Tria (TRIA) for trading on Feb 3, 2026 at 16:00 Beijing time. Users holding at least 232 Binance Alpha points are eligible to claim a first-come, first-served airdrop of 2,500 TRIA tokens. The promotion is limited by supply and requires the minimum Alpha points to participate. The announcement links the TRIA trading debut on Binance Alpha with the airdrop incentive, aiming to drive early liquidity and user engagement around TRIA. No investment advice was provided in the notice.
BIRD (BIRB) experienced a sharp short-term price surge after reports that Upbit will list BIRB trading pairs against KRW, BTC and USDT. According to Binance Alpha data cited by PANews on Feb 3, BIRD briefly broke $0.42 before trading around $0.38, marking an intraday rise of about 74%. The report attributes the spike to the anticipated Upbit listing; no additional fundamental updates were mentioned. Traders should note that exchange listings often produce rapid, liquidity-driven moves and can attract speculative volume and short-term volatility.
Large investors continue accumulating Tether’s gold token XAUt. On Feb 3, on-chain tracker Lookonchain reported that Fasanara Capital withdrew 2,797 XAUt from Binance, worth about $13.49 million. Another wallet (0xcd3a) bought 647 XAUt three hours earlier, spending $3.1 million in USDC at an implied price of $4,790 per XAUt. Recent whale activity shows sustained demand for XAUt across multiple exchanges and wallets, with several large purchases and withdrawals reported over the past days. This uptick underlines growing on-chain flows into tokenized gold and may reflect institutional accumulation or hedging demand.
Bitcoin’s share of circulating supply in loss has risen to the mid-40% range, a 10‑month high, prompting warnings that on‑chain breadth deterioration could mark an early transition into a bear phase. CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu highlighted that a rising supply-in-loss combined with falling supply-in-profit is uncharacteristic of healthy mid-cycle corrections; historically, similar expansions have preceded extended downside and late-stage capitulation rather than quick rebounds. The indicator shows more holders underwater even though price remains above realized price, which can quietly increase sell pressure as liquidity thins. Woominkyu says downside risk remains unresolved unless the loss share stabilizes and profit share recovers. An alternative view from analyst Ali Charts compares Bitcoin’s current long consolidation to Alphabet’s historical consolidation-then-breakout pattern, suggesting the range could resolve into a renewed uptrend if key resistance breaks. Key takeaways for traders: supply-in-loss ≈ mid-40% (10‑month high); price still above realized value; breadth deterioration increases short-term downside risk; but a breakout from consolidation could produce bullish continuation. Primary keywords: Bitcoin, supply in loss, realized price. Secondary keywords: on-chain, CryptoQuant, consolidation, breakout, bear signal.
Bearish
Bitcoinsupply in losson-chain metricsrealized priceconsolidation breakout
Bitcoin fell from the $80,000 support into the $74,000 area, prompting concerns that the market may be shifting from a corrective pause into a broader bearish phase. On-chain data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable change in the Coinbase Premium Index: whereas discounts on Coinbase in early 2025 were brief and often absorbed (indicative of tactical selling into strength), recent negative premiums are deeper and more persistent. This suggests US spot demand is not stepping in to absorb sell-offs. As a result, rebounds lack confirmation from spot buy flows and price action appears increasingly driven by derivatives, leverage and short-term positioning. Technical structure also weakened: BTC is trading below the 50-week moving average (now rolling over), the 100-week MA has flipped to resistance near the mid-$80,000s, and weekly price action shows lower highs and lower lows since a mid-2025 peak above $120,000. Elevated volume on selling moves points to distribution. CryptoQuant’s Coinbase Premium readings must turn positive and hold for upside momentum to regain structural strength; until then, downside risk to longer-term demand levels remains elevated.
ING Deutschland (ING‑DiBa) has launched regulated, physically backed exchange-traded notes (ETNs) for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) on its retail Direct Depot securities platform. Issuers include established providers such as 21Shares, Bitwise and VanEck, with VanEck Europe confirming a strategic partnership on the rollout. The ETNs — including staking-enabled Solana products and crypto index ETNs — let customers gain crypto exposure within existing brokerage accounts without managing private keys or external wallets, and trade on regulated exchanges under conventional custody and reporting frameworks. From 2 February 2026 ING adopted a new fee schedule: no trading fees for orders ≥ €1,000 and a €3.90 fixed fee for orders below €1,000; associated savings-plan (savings plan) purchases are fee-free. ING says the move lowers barriers to crypto investing, reduces self-custody operational risk, and integrates crypto into traditional portfolios while warning of substantial risks: high price volatility, issuer insolvency, liquidity constraints, market manipulation and regulatory uncertainty. For traders, the launch creates a regulated, custody-lite route to BTC, ETH and SOL exposure through a major retail bank, which may broaden institutional and retail access and affect demand dynamics for the underlying assets.
Blockchain analytics firm Santiment says fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) has dominated crypto social media after Bitcoin fell about 16% over the past week. Santiment attributes the selloff mainly to retail traders “selling their bags,” and notes social sentiment is the most bearish among retail since the November 2025 crash. The recent downturn wiped roughly $440 billion from crypto market capitalization and returned prices to April 2025 lows; Bitcoin traded near $78,000 (nine-month lows) while Ether hovered around $2,300. Santiment flags that relief rallies often follow intense FUD-driven drops and calls the current bounce similar to prior short recoveries. CryptoQuant analysts pointed to an October leverage flush that destroyed liquidity and pushed BTC into a bear market, while other analysts highlighted macro signs (manufacturing PMI) and critical technical support at $74,000 for Bitcoin. BTC was down about 11% on the week at roughly $78,500. Key takeaways for traders: elevated bearish retail sentiment, large recent outflows, potential for short-term relief rallies but continued risk if BTC closes below $74K, and reduced market liquidity that can amplify moves.
Aster decentralized exchange has launched a six-day trading campaign (Feb 3–8, 2025 UTC) for USDT-margined perpetual futures tied to five precious metals — gold (XAU), silver (XAG), platinum (XPT), palladium (XPD) and copper (XCU). The promotion offers a tiered community reward pool in USDF that grows with cumulative trading volume: 100,000 USDF at $1B, 500,000 USDF at $5B, and up to 1,000,000 USDF when volume reaches $10B. Traders earn individual rewards proportional to their contributed volume and also collect points toward Aster’s Airdrop Season 6. Participation requires connecting a Web3 wallet, depositing USDT and trading the eligible perpetual contracts; no separate registration is needed. The initiative aims to broaden DeFi product offerings into real-world asset exposure, increase liquidity for niche pairs, and attract more sophisticated traders by combining commodity exposure with crypto margin trading. Key considerations for traders include understanding metal price drivers, managing leverage and funding rates, and tracking the campaign’s short six-day window. Reliable oracle pricing and multi-feed data are cited as critical for contract integrity.
On-chain analytics show an address linked to Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin sold 211 ETH (≈$492,000), bringing recent disposals from that wallet to 704 ETH (≈$1.65M). The sales, recorded in late 2024 and executed via DEXes or OTC desks to limit slippage, form a small fraction of Ethereum’s circulating supply and Vitalik’s known holdings. Market data showed no notable price drop after the transactions, reflecting deep liquidity and strong daily volumes. Analysts note such founder sales are often routine — for diversification, taxes, donations, or funding projects — and stress they do not necessarily signal waning confidence. Key on-chain metrics (active addresses, DeFi TVL, Layer-2 activity) remain healthy, and recent protocol upgrades continue to support network fundamentals. Traders should view the moves primarily as wallet-level liquidity events rather than systemic warnings; monitor exchange inflows/outflows and concentration metrics for any change in broader sentiment.
The article draws a parallel between the rise of radio in the 1930s and Bitcoin today, arguing that new networks change how attention, trust and value are coordinated. Radio synchronized mass attention, shifted advertising budgets, and helped leaders build credibility (e.g., Roosevelt’s fireside chats), but also produced speculative bubbles (RCA’s surge and crash). Crypto mirrors this pattern faster: social posts, hacks and false messages can move prices in minutes (example: Jan 2024 SEC X-account compromise). Market failures in 2022 (TerraUSD depeg, FTX, Celsius) show design flaws, leverage and misplaced trust can amplify losses. The article recommends traders focus on context over headlines: assess market regime (trend vs range), wait for confirmed closes, check participation (24h volume, liquidity), and define invalidation levels before acting. Key SEO keywords: Bitcoin, new networks, market structure, liquidity, crypto bubbles. Disclaimer: not trading advice.
HBAR (HBAR) trades around $0.09 following a modest 4–5% 24h gain but remains in a short- to medium-term downtrend. Technical setup: the highest-confidence support cluster sits at $0.0839, with near-term support around $0.0907–$0.0918 (daily EMA50). Immediate resistance is at $0.0932–$0.0935 (EMA20), while a decisive bullish trigger requires a clear break above $0.0994 (target zone $0.11–$0.1358). Momentum is mixed-to-bearish: RSI ≈ 33–34 (near-oversold), MACD and EMAs remain negative, Supertrend and weekly trend stay bearish, and ADX indicates weak trend strength. Volume has risen modestly, suggesting speculative buying but not sustained conviction. HBAR shows high correlation with Bitcoin (~0.85); Bitcoin holding key levels or breaking higher (notably resistance around $79k and supports near $78.4k / $74.6k) will likely dictate HBAR’s near-term direction. Trading scenarios: a confirmed break above $0.0994 favors a sustained rebound with targets to $0.11–$0.1358 (manage risk with stop near $0.0839); failure below $0.0839 would open downside toward $0.07 and potentially $0.0469. Trader guidance: prioritize risk management (small position sizing, 1–2% exposure, tight or trailing stops), monitor BTC price action closely, wait for confirmation above $0.0994 for conviction longs, or consider increased short exposure only after a breakdown under $0.0839. This is technical commentary, not investment advice.
Neutral
HBARtechnical analysissupport and resistanceBitcoin correlationrisk management