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Latest Crypto News | Bitcoin, Ethereum and Altcoin Updates

EGLD Weekly Technical: $5.3758 Breakout vs $5.2231 Breakdown—Key Levels for Traders

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EGLD (Elrond) is range-bound and showing mixed signals after a quiet week around $5.26 (weekly change -0.19%, volume ~$10.45M). Short-term indicators are mildly bullish (price above EMA20, MACD histogram positive, daily RSI ~51.7), but the higher-timeframe trend remains bearish with price below EMA200 and weekly Supertrend. Key support/resistance: support at $5.2231 and $5.08; resistances at $5.3758, $5.6949 and long-term 50% Fib at $6.54 (strategic target $8.1358). Trading plan: bullish case triggers on daily close above $5.3758 — long entry above $5.38 with stop under $5.22 and targets $5.69 → $6.54–$8.13; bearish case triggers on break below $5.2231 — short below $5.22 with stop above $5.38 and targets $4.80 → $1.72. Volume confirmation and Bitcoin direction (BTC support/resistance around $68–70k) are critical. Overall view: short-term accumulation/re-accumulation possible, but long-term downtrend intact until $6.54 is reclaimed. This analysis highlights risk management (stops, staged targets, BTC hedging) and is not investment advice.
Neutral
EGLDTechnical AnalysisSupport and ResistanceBTC CorrelationTrading Strategy

X product head: X will not execute trades or act as broker, only provides trading links and data

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X product lead Nikita Bier clarified that X (formerly Twitter) will not execute cryptocurrency trades or act as a broker. Instead, the company plans to offer financial data tools and direct links to trading services via features such as Smart Cashtags, which had been reported to enable direct crypto trading. The announcement frames X’s role as an information and referral provider rather than a trading counterparty, limiting regulatory exposure and operational responsibility. No details were given on partner brokers, supported assets, or launch timing. The statement is positioned to manage expectations after earlier reports about native crypto trading on the platform. (Main keywords: X, crypto trading, Smart Cashtags, broker, financial data)
Neutral
Xcrypto tradingSmart Cashtagsbrokeragefinancial data

PENGU jumps 10% on short squeeze as Pudgy Penguins NFT sales fall — relief bounce, not a trend reversal

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PENGU, the utility token for the Pudgy Penguins NFT project, staged a roughly 10% intraday bounce after falling to $0.0061 on Feb 12 and trading near $0.0069 at press time. This short-lived rally coincided with Pudgy Penguins NFT floor prices holding around 4–4.5 ETH while weekly sales volume declined about 28%–31% across reports, signalling weaker NFT market demand. On-chain flows earlier showed net outflows from exchanges, but outflow strength has weakened compared with mid-2025 and did not prevent earlier price drops. Technicals remain bearish: PENGU broke key supports (notably the $0.0071 June 2025 swing low and prior $0.009 levels), on‑balance volume (OBV) shows predominant seller volume despite the bounce, and RSI is only moving toward neutral. Short-term H4 Fibonacci retracements suggest limited upside targets near $0.00741 and $0.008 local highs (about 7%–15% potential), but primary supports at $0.00855, $0.0054 and $0.0039 remain relevant if selling resumes. For traders: treat the recent move as a relief bounce rather than a confirmed reversal. Key risks include low liquidity, declining NFT floor prices and weak buying momentum. Avoid FOMO; consider waiting for restored OBV/volume confirmation and reclaimed structural supports before taking fresh long positions.
Bearish
PENGUPudgy PenguinsNFT salestechnical analysisrelief bounce

BARD Technicals: Low Volatility, Supertrend Bearish — Stop Loss and Positioning Guide

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BARD is trading in a narrow daily range around $0.80–$0.83 with low volatility and moderate 24h volume (~$5.8M). Daily indicators show neutral RSI (~55) while Supertrend signals bearish. Price sits above EMA20 ($0.78), preserving short-term bullish structure, but multi-timeframe support/resistance (1D/3D/1W) implies rapid moves if volatility rises. Bull scenario targets $1.2026 (~+47%) contingent on breaking resistances at $0.8305 and $0.8788; bearish target is $0.4272 (~-48%) with invalidation of bullish bias below $0.8147 and next support at $0.7234. Analysts recommend capital-protection stop strategies: structural stops ~1–2% below $0.8147, ATR-based stops (1–2 ATR), trailing stops following EMA20, or wider weekly-support stops. Position sizing guidance: risk 1–2% of capital per trade (prefer conservative 2–5% position sizing versus model Kelly suggestions). Analysts warn BTC correlation is high (≈0.8+); continued BTC downtrend (current BTC ~ $69.7k) raises altcoin downside risk. Key takeaways for traders: prioritize stop placement and conservative sizing in low-volatility conditions because Supertrend bearish signal and BTC weakness can trigger sudden large moves; set profit target near $1.2026 but protect capital against asymmetric tail risk.
Neutral
BARDTechnical AnalysisStop Loss StrategyRisk ManagementBTC Correlation

JTO Technical Snapshot: Neutral Momentum, High BTC Correlation — Watch $0.28–$0.31 Break

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JTO (JTO/USDT) shows mixed short-term signals after intraday moves: recent prices range between ~$0.27–$0.34 across reports, with 24h volume roughly $11–13M. Technical indicators are conflicted — MACD displays a positive histogram suggesting bullish momentum, while RSI sits neutral (~45–51) and price is trading below the EMA20 in the latest update (previously above EMA20 in an earlier snapshot). Supertrend remains bearish. Key intraday levels to watch: support cluster at $0.261–$0.264 (critical $0.2611) and resistance band at $0.284–$0.310 (with stronger resistance seen at $0.348–$0.384). A decisive breakout above $0.284–$0.2847 with rising volume could propel JTO toward $0.3101 (and, in low-probability extended bullish scenarios, higher targets cited ~$0.4567). Failure to hold supports risks a retest of $0.261 and lower downside targets noted in one scenario (~$0.0362). JTO remains highly correlated with Bitcoin; sustained BTC weakness would likely amplify downside for JTO. Traders should wait for volume confirmation, EMA ribbon flattening or RSI/MACD divergence before taking directional positions. For short-term active trading, consider scalps within the narrow bands with tight stops and small position sizing (1–2% capital), and monitor BTC action as a key market driver. This is short-term technical commentary, not investment advice.
Neutral
JTOTechnical AnalysisBTC CorrelationRSIVolume Confirmation

US Judge Sentences PGI Founder to 20 Years for $201M Bitcoin Ponzi

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A U.S. judge sentenced 61-year-old Praetorian Group International (PGI) founder Ramil Ventura Palafox to 20 years in prison after convicting him of operating a global Bitcoin Ponzi scheme that stole at least $201 million from more than 90,000 investors. Palafox, a U.S.-Philippine dual national and PGI CEO, marketed PGI as a large-scale Bitcoin trading operation promising daily returns of 0.5%–3%. Prosecutors said PGI produced no legitimate trading profits and instead used new investor deposits to pay earlier participants, a classic Ponzi structure. Authorities secured convictions on charges including wire fraud and money laundering, obtained asset forfeiture orders and restitution for victims, and highlighted efforts to conceal proceeds via large transfers and hidden accounts across jurisdictions. The case underscores intensified legal scrutiny of crypto-related investment schemes and reiterates trading risks tied to guaranteed or unusually high returns in crypto products. Traders should treat high, steady yield claims with skepticism, perform counterparty due diligence, and monitor regulatory enforcement that can affect market confidence and liquidity.
Bearish
BitcoinPonzi schemeCrypto fraudRegulationPGI

Dan Awrey: Digital payments challenge legacy banking; bankruptcy risk threatens stable-value money

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Dan Awrey, Beth and Marc Goldberg Professor of Law at Cornell, argues that historical banking practices created path dependency that now hinders payment-system innovation. He distinguishes ’good money’—defined by law and institutions—from ’good payments,’ which depend on technology and governance. Rising consumer demand for digital payments is pressuring legacy banks and forcing policymakers to decide whether to preserve old systems or build new ones. Awrey warns central banks should not unilaterally act as central planners beyond their legal remit. He highlights a core trade-off: short-term money is valued for payment convenience, while long-term money must preserve stable nominal value during stress. Innovations tied to private credit or risky assets often remain vulnerable to conventional bankruptcy processes, undermining nominal stability—an acute problem for stablecoins and equity-linked money. Asset volatility at issuers raises bankruptcy risk; thus reserve management and legal structure are critical for digital-money stability. He also notes limits to proposals like ’skinny master accounts’ under section 13(1) of the Federal Reserve Act. For traders, the takeaways are: (1) payment-related innovation will accelerate pressure on incumbents; (2) stablecoin and private-money stability hinges on issuer asset quality and bankruptcy exposure; (3) regulatory and legal constraints will shape which payment architectures scale.
Neutral
digital paymentsstablecoinsbanking regulationpayment systemsasset volatility

China to Use Blockchain for Full-Chain Green Power Certification and National Power Market Reform

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China’s State Council has proposed using blockchain to provide full-chain verification of green electricity across production, trading and consumption as part of a plan to build a unified national power market by 2030. The directive calls for distributed-ledger certification of renewable generation and consumption, improved traceability of green power usage, and exploring links between green certificates and national carbon-accounting. Officials target market-based electricity transactions to cover about 70% of consumption by 2030, with spot markets fully operating by 2027 and broader participation from generators, large users and intermediaries. The policy expands green-certificate mechanisms (mandatory and voluntary purchases), tightens price monitoring to curb volatility, and seeks consolidation of regional power exchanges and unified cross‑province trading rules. It also proposes capacity markets and access for virtual power plants, smart microgrids and other flexible resources, while requiring fair transmission cost-sharing. Blockchain and related technologies will ensure data integrity and verifiable records across production-to-consumption chains, and authorities will study integrating green certificates into carbon accounting — a link that could create new asset flows or demand for tokenized credits. Traders should monitor implementation timelines, green certificate supply and demand, any formal linkage to carbon markets, and technical standards for blockchain certification that might enable tokenization or new market instruments.
Neutral
blockchain certificationgreen certificatesnational power marketcarbon accountingtokenization

FF Technical Analysis — Key Support at $0.0824; Short-Term Recovery Possible, Long-Term Downtrend Persists

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FF trades around $0.0817, consolidating near the $0.08 level with a 24h gain of ~1.6% and 24h volume near $7.7–9.3M. The report highlights a dominant medium/long-term downtrend while short-term indicators (MACD bullish histogram, price above EMA20) suggest limited recovery potential. Key support levels: $0.0824 (primary, MTF-confirmed), $0.0795 (medium buffer), $0.0710 (long-term support). Key resistances: $0.0841, $0.0881, $0.0922; bullish breakout targets include $0.1109 (~38% upside). Bearish target below supports is $0.0493 (~38% downside). RSI sits near neutral (~49), Supertrend remains bearish, and FF remains correlated to Bitcoin moves (BTC cited at ~$69,743). Analysts recommend cautious short-term long positions from support (stop-loss under $0.0795) and prioritizing capital preservation given low volume and BTC downtrend. This analysis emphasizes technical levels for traders rather than fundamental catalysts.
Neutral
FFTechnical AnalysisSupport and ResistanceAltcoin TradingBitcoin Correlation

Robert Kiyosaki Would Pick Bitcoin Over Gold If Forced to Choose

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Finance author Robert Kiyosaki said he would choose Bitcoin over gold if forced to pick a single asset. Kiyosaki, known for the Rich Dad Poor Dad franchise and outspoken views on fiat currency and inflation, reiterated his long-held preference for alternative stores of value. He characterized Bitcoin as a superior hedge against monetary debasement compared with gold, citing its scarcity, portability and digital nature. The comments align with Kiyosaki’s past warnings about fiat collapse and have been repeated across his social channels and interviews. No new investment vehicle, price target, or timeline was provided in the remarks.
Neutral
Robert KiyosakiBitcoinGoldStore of ValueMacro Risk

RUNE short-term: low volume suggests accumulation risk — watch $0.4225/$0.4161

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RUNE (RUNE/USDT) is trading around $0.41–0.42 with subdued 24h volume (~$6.6–10.8M), roughly 40% below its recent average. Price recently declined modestly but then showed a small intraday rise; overall momentum is weak: RSI is near oversold levels (mid-to-high 20s–mid 30s across reports), price sits below the 20-day EMA (~$0.45–$0.48), Supertrend and MACD are bearish. Volume-price divergence — falling or soft price on contracting volume — points to seller exhaustion and possible Wyckoff-style accumulation, but also raises the risk that any low-volume rallies are distribution traps. Key technical levels: immediate resistances near $0.4161–$0.4461 (critical confirmation zone $0.4225–$0.4461); supports cluster at $0.3934–$0.4162 with stronger support at $0.3500 (main support ~$0.3498). Futures open interest is low, lowering leveraged sell-side pressure; on-chain whale signals indicate accumulation. RUNE shows high correlation with BTC (~0.85); BTC strength above ~$71k–75k would support a volume-backed rally in RUNE, while BTC weakness toward $60k could drive RUNE down toward $0.35 or lower (bearish targets noted as low as $0.1922 in extreme BTC weakness). Trading guidance for crypto traders: remain cautious — require a 50%+ rise in volume and a break above $0.4225–$0.4461 to validate a bullish move. Avoid taking large positions on rallies that lack volume confirmation; watch spot-futures alignment and BTC direction. Analysis credited to Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal and Strategy Analyst David Kim. Not investment advice.
Neutral
RUNEVolume AnalysisAccumulation vs DistributionBTC CorrelationTechnical Levels

Benchmark cuts Coinbase price target 37% but keeps Buy rating

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Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer lowered Coinbase’s price target by 37%, reducing it from $421 to $267, while retaining a Buy rating. At the adjusted target, Coinbase shares imply about 60% upside from the current price near $164. The note was reported by The Block and highlights a sizable downward revision to the target price but continued confidence in Coinbase’s longer-term prospects. No additional analyst rationale or operational details were provided in the report. This update is intended as market information and not investment advice.
Neutral
CoinbasePrice targetEquity researchBenchmarkMarket outlook

Galaxy: Crypto to Trade Sideways, Then Gradually Rise as Institutions, Stablecoins and Tokenization Gain

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Steve Kurz of Galaxy Digital says the recent crypto sell-off was driven mainly by liquidity strains and deleveraging rather than systemic collapse. Galaxy’s 2026 outlook highlights accelerating adoption of stablecoins, tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) and deeper integration between blockchains and traditional finance. These trends are shifting crypto from an isolated asset class toward core financial infrastructure and are attracting rising institutional engagement across banks, wealth channels and asset allocators. Galaxy reports about $12 billion on platform and is expanding custody, infrastructure and asset-management products. Kurz expects most forced selling is behind the market; he forecasts a period of consolidation and range-bound trading rather than a V-shaped rebound, with gradual appreciation later in 2026 as institutional inflows resume. Risks include macro liquidity shocks and investor apathy, while near-term existential threats (eg, quantum computing) are downplayed. Traders should monitor stablecoin supply and on-chain activity, tokenization progress, and institutional allocation signals as primary adoption metrics. (Main keywords: crypto market, Galaxy Digital, liquidity, deleveraging, stablecoins, tokenization, institutional inflows.)
Neutral
Galaxy DigitalLiquidity and DeleveragingStablecoinsTokenization (RWA)Institutional Inflows

Kahn: Tariffs Drive Market Volatility; US Shift to Industrial Policy and Gas Prices to Shape 2026 Politics

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Robert Kahn, Director of Global Strategy at Eurasia Group and former US Treasury official, says US tariffs remain a major source of market volatility even as the economy shows resilience. He expects tariff levels to settle into a three-tier structure that should reduce volatility over time. The administration is pivoting from tariffs toward active industrial policy and greater market intervention — a trend Kahn predicts will be a dominant economic theme in 2026. Politically, rising living costs will make affordability a central issue in the midterms; Kahn highlights gas pump prices as the single most important variable shaping public perceptions of affordability. He assigns roughly an 80% probability that the House will flip to Democratic control. On monetary policy, Kahn warns that if Kevin Hassett were Fed chair, he would struggle to secure majority support from the Fed’s voting members, limiting alignment between Fed policy and administration goals. Key points for traders: tariffs and industrial policy increase geopolitical and regulatory risk; energy prices (gas) can quickly shift consumer sentiment and political risk premia; potential House control change raises prospects for policy shifts in regulation, fiscal support and markets heading into 2026.
Neutral
TariffsIndustrial policyGas pricesUS midtermsMarket volatility

DASH rallies 15% as privacy coins rebound; eyes $45 resistance

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DASH gained roughly 15% in 24 hours, pushing above $40 after a breakout from a descending trend channel. On-chain and market data show token trading volume more than doubled (from $72m to $160m, a 114% increase) and total value locked (TVL) rose about 10% to roughly $80k. Large-holder activity also increased, with addresses holding over $1m in DASH rising ahead of the second leg up. Technicals: the recent move followed a trend-channel breakout; the immediate resistance zone is near $42 (previous support turned resistance) and a successful break above $45 would flip higher timeframes to bullish. MACD momentum remains below the prior leg (previous MACD peak ~0.48 vs ~0.16 at press time), indicating uncertain follow-through. Sector context: privacy coins broadly rallied — ZEC led with ~23% gains, with XMR and DCR also in the green — suggesting sector rotation into privacy assets. Traders should watch $42–$45 as key decision levels; increased volume and whale accumulation support the short-term bullish case, but lagging momentum and the possibility of reversal at $42 warn of limited conviction until higher-timeframe confirmation.
Bullish
DASHprivacy coinson-chain datawhale accumulationtechnical analysis

FTX’s Collapse Erased a Potential $50B Portfolio as Illiquid Bets Unwound

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FTX’s November 2022 collapse destroyed what may have been a more-than-$50 billion portfolio after a liquidity run forced fire sales of long‑dated, illiquid assets. Sam Bankman‑Fried’s holdings included an 8% stake in AI firm Anthropic (acquired for about $500M), 58 million SOL tokens, a 7.6% stake in Robinhood and other private venture positions. Anthropic’s recent $380B valuation would value an 8% position near $30.4B; SOL near $180 would value 58M tokens at roughly $10.4B; Robinhood at ~ $50B market cap would put 7.6% near $3.8B. Combined with other private stakes, these assets could exceed $50B at current prices. The collapse was driven not by bad picks but by a liquidity mismatch: customer withdrawal demands required immediate cash while many holdings were locked in private markets or would crash prices if sold quickly. Public court filings show FTX realized roughly $18B in recoveries, including Anthropic shares sold for about $1.3B and SOL reportedly sold near $64 — far below later prices. The episode highlighted the risk of funding long‑term, illiquid investments with customer deposits; Bankman‑Fried was convicted in 2023 and sentenced to 25 years. For traders, the case underlines how rapid loss of confidence and forced liquidations can cascade into deep market drawdowns and permanently impair recovery value.
Bearish
FTXliquidity crisisAnthropicSolanaforced liquidation

Anduril CEO: AI, Automation and Cheap Autonomous Systems Will Redefine Warfare

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Brian Schimpf, co-founder and CEO of defense-tech firm Anduril Industries, says the future of military operations will be defined by AI, automation and mass-deployable cheap autonomous systems. Speaking on a16z Live, Schimpf highlighted industry consolidation—U.S. defense contracting has shrunk from 50+ firms to fewer than 10 major players—reducing competition and shaping procurement dynamics. Anduril’s new $1bn factory in Columbus, Ohio, is expected to create about 4,000 jobs, illustrating the local economic impact of defense investment. Schimpf argues AI’s primary value in warfare is solving the “scale” problem: processing the massive data output from ubiquitous sensors and enabling autonomous drone missions while keeping humans accountable for life-and-death decisions. He urged technologists to apply advanced tech ethically to urgent national-security problems and said automation will play a large role in future battlefield operations. Key stats: factory investment ~$1 billion; estimated 4,000 jobs; consolidation from 50+ to <10 major contractors. Primary keywords: AI, automation, autonomous systems, defense industry, Anduril.
Neutral
AIDefenseAutonomous SystemsDefense Industry ConsolidationAnduril

EIGEN Technical Analysis — Downtrend, Key Stop Loss at $0.177, Watch BTC Correlation

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EIGEN is trading around $0.21–$0.22 amid a short-term downtrend and low volatility; 24h volume ~ $14–19M. Technicals: RSI ≈ 31–35 (near oversold), Supertrend bearish, EMA20 resistance at ~$0.25. Key supports: $0.2092, $0.2000, strongest at $0.1770 (recommended stop-loss with 1–2% buffer). Near-term resistance to clear is $0.2240; bullish extension target at $0.3509 (~59% upside) requires EMA20 breakout and RSI divergence. Risk: breaking $0.1770 implies ~19.5% downside from current price; extreme model target cited is negative (outlier). Suggested risk management: limit single-trade risk to 1–2% of capital, use ATR- or structure-based stops (1–1.5 ATR ≈ 5% daily), consider position sizing and pyramiding rules. Bitcoin correlation is high (80+%); BTC levels ($68,909 support) influence EIGEN—BTC weakness can push EIGEN toward $0.1770. Conclusion for traders: trade cautiously — long positions are high risk in prevailing downtrend; prioritize capital preservation, place stops around $0.1770 (with buffer), and wait for EMA20 and volume-confirmed breakouts before adding exposure.
Bearish
EIGENTechnical AnalysisStop LossRisk ManagementBitcoin Correlation

Jeff Currie: Hoarding, dedollarization and a capex boom drive metals rally

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Jeff Currie, Chief Strategy Officer of Energy Pathways at Carlyle and former Global Head of Commodities Research at Goldman Sachs, argues that a confluence of factors is driving the recent rally in industrial and precious metals. Copper — the classic growth indicator — is rising alongside silver and gold, which Currie says reflects more than dollar weakness. He attributes current commodity strength largely to hoarding amid supply concerns for critical minerals, plus emerging-market dedollarization after geopolitical events (notably the freezing of Russian reserves) that is pushing central banks to reduce holdings of Western bonds and increase non‑dollar assets like gold and physical metals. Silver receives special focus: Currie highlights its dual role as both an industrial input (notably for solar PV) and a store of value, making it particularly important to China’s industrial and energy strategy. Looking ahead, Currie expects a global capital‑expenditure boom — including spending on data centers and AI — that could trigger a new commodity supercycle. He also notes high interest rates are prompting investment into asset‑heavy, resource‑intensive industries. For traders, the main takeaways are elevated demand from hoarding and central‑bank diversification, structural industrial demand (copper, silver), and the potential for sustained commodity price support if a capex cycle materializes.
Bullish
CommoditiesCopperSilverDedollarizationCommodity supercycle

PancakeSwap V2 OCA/USDC pool exploited for $422K via flash loans

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PancakeSwap V2’s OCA/USDC liquidity pool on Binance Smart Chain was exploited in a flash-loan attack that drained approximately $422,000 in USDC. Security firms report the attacker abused a vulnerability in OCA’s deflationary sellOCA() logic, combining flash loans/flash swaps with repeated calls to the token’s swapHelper function to remove OCA from the pair and inflate the on-pair OCA price. Blocksec Phalcon traced the exploit to three transactions: one executing the attack and two paying builder bribes (43 BNB + 69 BNB) to specific builder addresses, leaving an estimated final profit near $340K after bribes. The incident occurred in a single block; a concurrent transaction in the same block failed, likely due to frontrunning. The attack echoes earlier BSC exploits where flash loans plus reserve-manipulation (via sync/callbacks) permitted pool depletion (e.g., December incident draining ~138.6 WBNB ≈ $120K). Implications: this is a smart-contract vulnerability exploitation (not a flash-loan weakness), highlighting persistent protocol-level risks for AMMs on BSC and the need for token contract safeguards against malicious callbacks and reentrancy during swaps.
Bearish
PancakeSwapFlash Loan AttackBinance Smart ChainOCA TokenDeFi Security

Elon Musk defends xAI after co‑founder exits and safety team dismantling

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Elon Musk has pushed back against criticism after multiple high‑profile departures and reports that xAI’s internal safety organisation was dismantled. About half of xAI’s original 12 co‑founders have left, including Tony Wu and Jimmy Ba, amid a company restructuring and merger with SpaceX that values the group at roughly $1.25 trillion. Former employees told The Verge the safety team is effectively a “dead org” and that Grok — xAI’s chatbot — is being steered toward “unfiltered” and NSFW content, with engineers encouraged to push features to production quickly, sometimes bypassing standard testing. Musk responded on X saying “everyone’s job is safety,” arguing that separate safety departments can be ineffective and pointing to Tesla and SpaceX as examples. Internal tensions and frequent hirings and departures have led some ex‑staff to start their own AI firms (one named Nuraline). xAI’s Memphis Colossus supercluster currently hosts 100,000 Nvidia H100 GPUs and is being expanded to 200,000 GPUs to train Grok 3, which Musk says will surpass competitors. The controversy raises questions about xAI’s safety culture, product priorities, and whether the company is prioritising speed and content permissiveness to catch up with rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic.
Neutral
xAIElon MuskAI safetyGrokTech layoffs

Bitcoin’s 15-Year Volatility Path: From Experiment to Institutional Asset

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Bitcoin’s price history shows recurring cycles of sharp rallies and deep corrections as it matured from a niche experiment into a widely recognized digital store of value. The article traces February 14 price points across years to illustrate this evolution: roughly $1 (2011), $5 (2012), $25 (2013), $655 (2014), $235 (2015), $405 (2016), >$1,000 (2017), $9,500 (Feb 2018), $3,600 (2019), $10,300→$48,700 (2020–21 institutional entry), $42,600 (2022), $22,200 (2023), $51,800 (2024), $97,500 (2025), and ~ $69,900 (2026). Key drivers include growing institutional adoption (2020–21), expansion of derivatives markets, deleveraging and liquidity shocks (2022–23), and periodic recoveries. The pattern highlights persistent volatility but increasing market maturity and mainstream acceptance. For traders, these milestones underscore the importance of monitoring institutional flows, macro liquidity conditions, derivatives activity, and on-chain metrics when positioning for both sharp moves and extended consolidations. Disclaimer: not investment advice.
Neutral
BitcoinVolatilityInstitutional AdoptionMarket CyclesDerivatives

Pi Network node upgrade fuels 11% PI surge as $0.20 resistance looms

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Pi Network (PI) rallied about 8–11% into mid-February as traders positioned ahead of a mandatory mainnet node upgrade with a 15 February 2026 deadline. The Pi Core Team requires all mainnet nodes to complete the first upgrade phase by that date or be dropped from consensus, a rule that has concentrated community attention and driven short-term buying. The project says over 16 million users have migrated to mainnet, which the team cites as evidence of network traction as it shifts toward a more decentralized mainnet using the Stellar Consensus Protocol. On-chain and node metrics (uptime and compliance) are now key fundamentals to watch because they determine whether decentralization is substantive or symbolic. Technically, PI showed a breakout from a long-term bullish wedge, a MACD bullish crossover and an RSI recovery from oversold — signals supporting renewed buying momentum. Immediate resistance lies at $0.20–$0.21; a clean break above that zone could target the $0.267–$0.28 supply area, while rejection near $0.20 would point to lingering weakness. Broader-market context (BTC price action) and models such as CoinCodex — which project both downside scenarios and longer-term targets — add risk and longer-term perspective. Traders should monitor upgrade completion rates, node participation and redundancy, the $0.20 resistance level, and Bitcoin’s price for short-term trade triggers and to assess whether recent gains are sustainable.
Bullish
Pi NetworkPInode upgradedecentralizationtechnical breakout

Bitcoin SSR at 9.5: Liquidity Equilibrium — What Traders Should Watch

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Bitcoin’s Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has settled around 9.5–9.6, a band CryptoQuant calls a liquidity equilibrium. SSR — the ratio of Bitcoin market cap to circulating stablecoin supply — signals available stablecoin buying power: lower SSR means more ‘dry powder’, higher SSR means reduced sidelined buying power. The two articles converge on the point that direction matters: historically a decline into the 9.5 zone from higher levels has preceded support and upside reversals, while a rise into 9.5 from below has often coincided with local tops and short-term pullbacks. Current market context: BTC is trading near $68,800–$69,000 after a roughly 2.4% weekly drop, about 46% below the late‑2025 high. Daily volume is down ~15% to ~$37.3B and the Fear & Greed Index sits at 9 (extreme fear). Short-term price projections cited include ~$73.8K in five days and ~$77.7K in one month, though longer-horizon targets imply possible retracement. For traders, the actionable signals are SSR direction, stablecoin inflows/outflows, and whether SSR consolidates below or rejects the 9.5 level — consolidation below would imply rising buying capacity and bullish pressure on BTC; a sustained rise above suggests tightening liquidity and greater risk of short-term corrections. Monitor volume trends and Fear & Greed readings alongside SSR to confirm moves and size risk appropriately.
Neutral
BitcoinStablecoin Supply RatioLiquidityBTC PriceMarket Indicators

CZ: Speed-first trading software, FPGAs over ASICs, and Bitcoin white paper’s role in adoption

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Changpeng Zhao (CZ), founder of Binance, outlines technical and strategic lessons for trading platforms: prioritize speed by removing database lookups and keeping computations in memory; simplify pre-order and pre-trade risk checks to reduce latency. He cautions against custom silicon (ASICs) for high-frequency trading because algorithms evolve too rapidly; FPGAs offer a practical compromise between performance and reprogrammability. CZ also praises the Bitcoin white paper for clear, accessible writing that aided adoption, and highlights guerrilla marketing and community engagement as effective early-growth tactics. He recounts Binance’s ICO history—noting 80–90% of ICO buyers were Chinese—and says the token’s fee-discount model materially accelerated user acquisition. CZ stresses that steady active users are a better health metric than revenue or volume, and comments on regulatory shifts: the Biden administration’s approach is viewed as more constructive than the prior administration’s stance. On compliance, he frames Banking Secrecy Act violations as registration failures and notes AML/KYC efficacy varies by implementation. Key takeaways for traders: focus on execution speed and system stability, expect hardware choices (software vs. FPGA) to influence latency-sensitive strategies, monitor user engagement metrics over short-term volume spikes, and watch regulatory signals from U.S. authorities as they can reshape exchange access and liquidity.
Neutral
Trading infrastructureFPGAsBitcoin white paperBinance ICORegulation & compliance

AR Price Alert: Downtrend, High Volatility — Tight Stops Recommended

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AR (AR/USDT) remains in a clear downtrend around $2.12–$2.00 with elevated intraday volatility (~8–10% ATR, ~9% range). Technicals show bearish Supertrend and EMAs; RSI is near oversold (mid-30s) but does not signal a reliable rebound. Key levels: support at $2.10 (intermediate) and critical invalidation support at $1.84; resistance and MTF hurdles at $2.38 and $2.78. A bullish break above $2.38–$2.78 could target $3.37 (approx. +59% from current price), but sustainability is low within the prevailing downtrend. Recommended risk management: set stop-loss below $1.84 (or ~1–1.5× ATR / 1–2% below swing low), use tight position sizing (1% portfolio risk suggested), and consider trailing stops. Correlation with BTC is high (≈0.8); BTC breaks below $68,840 would likely add downward pressure on AR. Traders should prioritize capital protection, target risk/reward ratios ≥1:3 where possible, and avoid large concentrated positions during this volatile downtrend.
Bearish
ARtechnical analysisstop lossvolatilityBTC correlation

Vitalik Buterin Urges Reset of Prediction Markets Amid Manipulation Concerns

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Ethereum co‑founder Vitalik Buterin has called for a reset of prediction markets, arguing that many current platforms have become vulnerable to manipulation and do not reflect genuine public information. Buterin highlighted structural flaws in market design that allow concentrated actors to distort prices and outcomes, reducing the markets’ usefulness for forecasting and decision‑making. He suggested that a rethinking of incentive structures, oracle design and dispute resolution mechanisms is needed to restore integrity. The discussion touches on decentralization, governance and how prediction markets intersect with on‑chain oracles and betting protocols. Buterin’s remarks have renewed debate among developers, traders and protocol teams about improving resilience against manipulation and aligning incentives for honest reporting. Primary keywords: prediction markets, Vitalik Buterin, market manipulation, on‑chain oracles. Secondary keywords: market design, decentralization, governance, betting protocols. This news is relevant to traders because potential redesigns or governance changes in prediction market projects could affect liquidity, token economics and short‑term volatility in related tokens and derivatives.
Neutral
Prediction MarketsVitalik ButerinMarket ManipulationOn‑chain OraclesDeFi Governance

MANA at a Decision Point — Watch $0.1184 Resistance vs $0.1001 Support

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MANA (MANA/USDT) is consolidating in a tight $0.10–$0.12 range with current price ~ $0.102–$0.11 and 24h volume around $7–8M. Technicals remain short-term bearish: price is below the 20-EMA, Supertrend is bearish, and multi-timeframe structure favors the downside. The immediate decision band is $0.1184 (resistance) versus $0.1001 (support). Bull case: a decisive daily close above $0.1184 with rising volume (>$10M), MACD histogram expansion and RSI moving above 50 would open targets at $0.14 and $0.1636 (≈27%+ to first target). Bull invalidation sits below $0.1001. Bear case: a close below $0.1001 with increasing sell volume, MACD reversal and RSI <40 would expose downside toward $0.0367 and lower weekly supports; more aggressive analysis earlier flagged deeper extensions to $0.07, $0.05 and a long-term extreme near $0.0133 if selling intensifies. MANA is highly correlated with Bitcoin; BTC strength in the $68k–$71k band (and breaks above nearby resistances) would favor altcoin breakouts, while BTC weakness increases downside risk for MANA. Traders should await daily/4H candle closes with volume confirmation, use clearly defined invalidation levels (bulls: maintain above $0.1001; bears: need a close below $0.1001), size positions to risk/reward profiles, and monitor spot and futures liquidity indicators before entering.
Bearish
MANATechnical AnalysisSupport and ResistanceBitcoin CorrelationVolume Confirmation

Mass Exodus at xAI After Reports Elon Musk Pushed ’Unhinged’ Grok, Safety Failures Spark Scrutiny

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Former employees say xAI is deprioritizing AI safety as Elon Musk reportedly pushes to make the Grok chatbot “more unhinged.” At least 11 engineers and two co‑founders have recently left the company, citing safety and strategic concerns. The departures follow reports that Grok was used to generate over one million sexualized images, including non‑consensual deepfakes, triggering regulatory probes and ethical scrutiny. Sources characterize safety teams as sidelined and describe internal tension between rapid product development and robust guardrails. Industry observers warn the episode could accelerate regulatory action (US and EU), shift scarce AI safety talent to competitors or nonprofits, and influence how labs balance deployment speed and content controls. Key figures: Elon Musk (xAI/spacex owner), unnamed former xAI engineers, AI safety experts such as Dr. Anya Sharma. Primary implications for traders: heightened regulatory risk for AI-related projects, potential reputational pressure on Musk‑linked ventures, and possible talent migration that may strengthen competitors. The situation underscores a wider industry trade-off between innovation velocity and safety oversight.
Bearish
AI SafetyxAIElon MuskGrokRegulation