Bitcoin (BTC) is forming a potential bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. The setup has three troughs: a left shoulder near $60,000 (early June), a head around $57,700 (late June/early July), and a right shoulder from roughly $62,500.
Technicians define a neckline near $66,800. A decisive break and hold above this level would confirm the pattern and imply a rally target near $76,000, calculated by adding the pattern’s depth to the breakout point.
However, the pattern is not confirmed yet, and technical analysis can be subjective. The article highlights a key downside check: the 50-day simple moving average near $63,321. A clear breakdown below the 50-day average would suggest the bullish structure is weakening rather than progressing toward a breakout.
On the macro/regulatory side, uncertainty around the timing and odds of the proposed “Clarity Act” passing this year is flagged as a fading catalyst. That reduces confidence in near-term regulatory tailwinds, increasing traders’ need to watch for renewed weakness even as the chart signals a possible upside setup.
Key levels for BTC traders: resistance/trigger at ~$66,800 and risk management around ~$63,321 (50-day SMA).
Neutral
Bitcoininverse head and shoulderstechnical analysis50-day SMAClarity Act
The White House says it will remove what it considers unnecessary Bitcoin and broader crypto regulations. The move follows a May 2026 executive order asking federal agencies to review rules that could obstruct digital asset activity.
Traders should note the policy direction: it aligns with a wider effort to integrate crypto into the U.S. financial framework, including references to a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. It also comes while Congress works on clearer crypto market-structure and stablecoin rules.
Market positioning in the article suggests optimism could rise if regulators act quickly. Prediction-market pricing referenced in the report shows the current odds of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by end-2026 remain low, but the White House signal may shift probabilities for later dates.
What to watch next: (1) how fast federal agencies identify and drop/adjust the targeted regulations, and (2) legislative updates on market structure and stablecoins, which typically drive near-term sentiment and volatility for Bitcoin.
Keyword focus: Bitcoin regulation changes are expected to be a sentiment catalyst rather than an immediate, guaranteed price trigger. Overall, the headline points to a more supportive compliance environment for crypto, but traders should still monitor execution risk.
Bullish
Bitcoin regulationsUS White House policyCrypto market structureStablecoin rulesPrediction markets
The US Senate leadership has delayed the CLARITY Act floor vote until September, pushing the timeline for federal crypto market structure rules beyond the August recess. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said the bill would be “queued” for when lawmakers return, reversing earlier expectations from Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott.
Democrats are withholding procedural support, citing unresolved disputes in areas including ethics and conflicts-of-interest rules for officials holding crypto assets, plus gaps around enforcement, consumer protection, illicit finance controls, and market integrity. Negotiations also cover tougher potential divestiture requirements for officials, still being discussed with the White House.
The CLARITY Act is not dead: it cleared key steps with the House passing H.R. 3633 in July 2025 and the Senate Banking Committee advancing the merged bill 15–9 in May 2026. The proposal would set federal digital-asset market structure, split oversight between the SEC and CFTC, and address stablecoin rewards, AML controls, DeFi, and tokenized securities.
For traders, the delay reduces near-term regulatory certainty. Expect elevated headline-driven volatility around US crypto regulation expectations, with short-term positioning hinging on whether negotiators can secure enough bipartisan votes for post-recess procedural progress, including the 60-vote cloture threshold.
Neutral
US crypto regulationCLARITY ActSenate voteSEC vs CFTCStablecoin rules
Chainalysis reports a sharp rise in crypto wrench attacks in 2026, involving kidnappings, home invasions and hostage-style thefts. So far this year, criminals have stolen more than $30M in successful crypto wrench attacks. If the pace continues, 2026 could surpass 2025’s ~$58M peak. Including failed attempts and recoveries, totals were about $316M (2024), $180M (2025), and ~$107M through mid-2026.
Despite more incidents, attacker success is falling. Only ~26% of documented violent theft attempts (through late June 2026) resulted in payments, down from 49% in 2025 and 67% in 2024.
France is the key hotspot. Chainalysis cites 19 publicly known incidents in 2025 and 30 more through mid-2026. French Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez said authorities recorded 70+ violent crypto incidents by late June. The report links the surge to alleged breaches and leaks involving wealthy holders, including a French tax-related data leak and a Waltio breach affecting ~50,000 users.
Tactics are evolving: home invasions rose from 14% (2025) to 37% (through mid-2026), while kidnappings remain common (~52%). Family or acquaintances are increasingly targeted (25%–30% in early 2026). In France, reports suggest 40%+ of cases target someone connected to the victim. Chainalysis also notes attacker “maturity” in on-chain flows: lower-tier groups often cash out via centralized exchanges, while more advanced actors use DeFi tools, DEX/bridges and mixing-like obfuscation before funds may intersect broader illicit laundering ecosystems.
For traders, this is more of a compliance-and-custody risk signal than direct spot-demand news. It may increase scrutiny, raise insurer/custody friction, and create short-term volatility around the most affected jurisdictions—especially for users transferring funds to/from France.
Neutral
crypto securitywrench attacksFrance crime crackdownDeFi mixingkidnapping and home invasion
MARA’s Bitcoin stash fell 34% in H1, ending Q2 at 35,577 BTC, according to an SEC filing. That compares with 53,822 BTC at the end of 2025. The reduction came from lower owned Bitcoin plus a decline in Bitcoin receivables (BTC loaned to counterparties or pledged as collateral).
MARA’s total digital asset holdings were valued at over $2 billion at quarter-end, down from about $4.7 billion six months earlier, reflecting both reduced positions and changes in Bitcoin prices.
The firm’s treasury strategy shifted in 2026 after selling 20,880 BTC for roughly $1.5 billion in Q1. Most of the proceeds were used to repurchase about $1 billion of convertible debt, aiming to strengthen the balance sheet and reduce leverage. This ended MARA’s prior full-HODL approach and allows the company to monetize Bitcoin strategically for liquidity, debt reduction, and other corporate needs.
Alongside the Bitcoin changes, MARA is diversifying into AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, including an acquisition of Exaion and plans to acquire Long Ridge Energy & Power.
Even after these moves, MARA remains one of the largest publicly traded corporate BTC holders.
Ondo Finance is facing a Delaware Court of Chancery dispute over corporate control after founder Nathan Allman died in May. His mother, Kathleen Allman, is seeking to remove CEO Ian De Bode and confirm her authority during the estate transition.
The filings say no directors remained at Allman’s death. Kathleen Allman argues that once she was appointed personal representative in Hawaii, she gained control of Nathan’s voting shares, allowing her to rebuild the board. On July 24, Kathleen Allman and Tahnee Towill voted to remove De Bode from officer, employee, and consultant roles and installed Kathleen as chair, CEO, secretary, and treasurer. De Bode denies the claims as “meritless” and says key stakeholders, including lead investors and the Ondo Foundation, support current management.
No court ruling had been published as of Aug. 7. However, Ondo’s website and leadership materials reportedly still list De Bode as CEO, highlighting ongoing governance uncertainty for ONDO-linked corporate actions. The later reporting also notes there is no verified evidence that the dispute disrupted Ondo’s tokenized products or changed the legal status of the ONDO governance token.
For crypto traders, the near-term focus is regulatory/legal headline risk around ONDO governance and any related corporate decisions that could affect market sentiment, even if operations appear to continue.
Neutral
ONDO GovernanceDelaware CourtCEO Ouster DisputeTokenized SecuritiesCorporate Control
Myanmar’s military-backed parliament has passed the Anti-Online Scam Bill to crack down on cyber scam rings and “internet fraud factories.” The law targets individuals and groups organizing fraudulent schemes, including operations tied to cryptocurrencies.
Compared with the previous maximum prison term of 10 years, the Anti-Online Scam Bill raises penalties dramatically: convicted offenders can face lifetime imprisonment. If a victim dies, Myanmar may also impose capital punishment. The bill can apply even when the abuse includes “violence, torture, unlawful arrest and detention, or cruel treatment” used to force victims to commit online scams.
The change follows evidence from recent years that lighter sentences only displaced and dispersed scam networks rather than dismantling them, according to the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). Reporting also cited the scale of the problem, including estimates that about 100,000 people were recruited into scam centers linked to Chinese fraud and gambling operators after Myanmar’s 2021 coup.
It is the first major piece of legislation passed under civilian President Min Aung Hlaing, after lawmakers reconciled differences between earlier versions passed by Myanmar’s two parliamentary chambers. The article did not confirm whether the Anti-Online Scam Bill has received presidential assent.
Bloomberg reported a proposed “CLARITY” ethics addendum for US President Donald Trump that could help him politically and financially as Congress works on the crypto market-structure bill. The addendum is not yet public and reportedly would require Trump to divest from crypto-related businesses, addressing Democratic concerns about conflicts of interest. At the same time, it would reportedly allow Trump to defer capital gains taxes on those divestitures, potentially saving “millions” in taxes.
The plan is designed to unblock passage of the CLARITY market-structure legislation, but Democrats may challenge whether financial interests are truly curtailed if tax deferral remains in place. Trump’s 2025 annual financial disclosure (released in June) shows large crypto-related earnings, including about $635M from memecoin licensing “royalties” tied to Official Trump (TRUMP) and about $588M from World Liberty Financial “token sales” proceeds. The disclosure also references World Liberty-linked ownership stakes and a stablecoin venture equity sale.
Cointelegraph sought comment from the White House and received no immediate response. If the CLARITY ethics deal gains traction, it could increase expectations that US crypto regulation moves forward, but the tax-deferral angle may reintroduce political risk and headline volatility.
Neutral
CLARITY ActUS regulationTrump crypto ethicstax deferralmarket structure bill
Vessel traffic through the **Strait of Hormuz** has fallen this week amid **Iran-Oman** diplomatic talks, Reuters reported. The talks focus on safe passage and whether commercial navigation will face new **transit fees** through this key oil and LNG chokepoint.
The change comes during the broader **2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis**, triggered earlier in the year by military operations against Iran. Because the **Strait of Hormuz** is central to global energy flows, any fees or route disruptions can quickly affect shipping costs and regional risk.
Crypto traders watching macro-driven sentiment may also note that related **prediction markets** are pricing the outcome. In the market “**US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?**”, the current probability of the US imposing such fees is **1.7% YES**. The relatively low figure suggests traders think **Iran is more likely** to move first.
The term structure signals timing risk later in the year. The “**US charges**” scenario for **December 31, 2026** is priced at **8.5% YES**, implying markets expect increased odds if negotiations fail or geopolitical positions change.
Key watchpoints are any agreement from Iran and Oman on **transit fee management** and safe shipping routes. Additional US-Iran or regional developments could further shift pricing in the prediction markets.
Neutral
Strait of HormuzIran-Oman talksGeopolitical riskPrediction marketsOil & LNG shipping
Upbit will list Block Street (BSB) and open spot trading on KRW, BTC and USDT markets on Aug. 7, 2026 (3:00 p.m. KST). The exchange will initially support BSB deposits and withdrawals via the Ethereum network only, using contract 0xdb6ba5d510f114f9b2ea08bea7d30e32eee33411.
To manage early volatility, Upbit will apply staged trading controls after the listing start. Buy orders are blocked for about five minutes. During the same period, sell orders priced more than 10% below the previous day’s closing price are restricted. For roughly two hours after trading begins, only limit orders will be allowed. Upbit also warned the launch time could shift if sufficient liquidity is not secured, and users must avoid transferring BSB through unsupported networks to prevent delayed or lengthy return processes.
Block Street positions BSB as its utility and governance token, tied to staking and ecosystem incentives. Its documentation states total supply is 1 billion BSB, with 207.75 million tokens (20.775%) expected to circulate around the token generation event. The project also previously announced an $11.5 million strategic funding round (Oct 2025).
For traders, the key near-term catalyst is BSB’s controlled opening at 15:00 KST, where order restrictions may dampen immediate price discovery. Liquidity and correct ERC-20 contract usage (ETH) remain the main execution risks.
US markets closed lower ahead of the Non-Farm Employment Report, with traders taking profits and re-pricing inflation after a sharp oil rally. The Dow fell 0.85%, S&P 500 -0.18%, and Nasdaq -0.06% on low liquidity.
Rates were the key driver: the 10-year Treasury yield rose about 6.5 bps (+1.37%), briefly probing the 4.70% level. A major factor was Google’s $25B bond sale that drew roughly $115B of orders (over 4x), adding supply pressure. The dollar firmed, while gold briefly broke above $4,300 before ending flat.
Copper surged toward historic highs, hitting around $14,369/ton (+~2%) on supply constraints tied to the Congo (DRC) copper/cobalt concentrate export ban, plus renewed pricing assumptions around AI data-center power needs and grid upgrades.
Earnings and guidance raised concerns in the tech complex: storage and some AI software names dropped hard (e.g., Western Digital -13.03%, SanDisk/other storage-linked weakness; HubSpot and Datadog both sharply down). By contrast, SpaceX jumped ~6% after a massive share unlock.
Non-Farm expectations are widely split (forecast range ~18k to 83k). A strong print could validate a September hike and pressure risk assets; a weak print in the context of high oil could spark stagflation fears—either outcome likely increases volatility.
Key economic focus: Non-Farm on Aug 7 20:30 (US), with gold positioning data also due Aug 8.
Neutral
US Non-FarmTreasury yieldsCopper supply shockTech earningsStagflation risk
Rarible has launched its NFT marketplace on Solana after months of development and testing. The platform’s first featured Solana NFT collection is Claynosaurz, an entertainment and animated-dinosaur NFT brand.
In its announcement, Rarible said it has “been working on Solana for months” and that it will onboard additional Solana projects in the coming days and weeks. The company also framed its earlier Solana release, Gacha Station, as a testing phase for user activity and product-market fit before expanding to a full marketplace.
Rarible emphasized a collection-specific experience approach, aiming to go beyond simply listing assets on a standard interface. Planned updates include more Solana collections, new marketplace features, improvements to the trading experience, editorial content, and community campaigns. The rollout does not provide a fixed integration schedule or specific transaction-volume targets, and Rarible did not detail how it plans to compete with established Solana NFT platforms.
Market context: Solana is known for relatively low transaction fees and faster settlement, which can benefit high-frequency NFT trading and lower-priced collectibles. The launch also arrives while European lawmakers review NFT rules under broader crypto regulation discussions, including the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.
For traders, the direct signal is incremental adoption of Solana NFT infrastructure. Near-term impact will likely hinge on whether Rarible attracts meaningful liquidity and standout collections on SOL.
Bitcoin price slipped below $65K after stronger-than-expected US jobless claims, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may keep rates elevated.
At press time, Bitcoin price traded around $64,384, down about 0.69% (24h). BTC failed again to close above the $64,800–$65,000 resistance zone and was pushed toward $64,000 support.
Key data: initial jobless claims came in at 199,000 for the week ending Aug. 1, below the 204,000 economist forecast. The four-week moving average eased to 198,750. Continuing claims rose to 1.801 million, suggesting some job seekers are taking longer to find work.
Fed outlook: resilient labor market signals reduce near-term chances of faster monetary easing. Higher expected rates can lift Treasury yields and strengthen the dollar, typically weighing on risk assets like Bitcoin. Traders will watch upcoming US inflation and employment releases for the next shift in rate expectations.
Levels to monitor: a daily reclaim and close above $64,800–$65,000 would confirm renewed upward momentum and potentially extend the recovery from ~$62,400. A breakdown below $64,000 could expose lower parts of the recent range. Bitcoin price remains highly sensitive to US economic releases, with market direction driven by changing rate expectations rather than confirmed policy action.
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (iShares Bitcoin Trust/IBIT and iShares Ethereum Trust/ETHA) posted a combined $3.5 billion net decrease in Q2 from capital-share creations and redemptions, reversing the $13.9 billion increase seen in Q2 2025, per SEC filings. The swing reflects ETF share flows—not spot price moves—and it directly impacted trust-level activity.
For IBIT, contributions from shares issued were $4.3B while distributions tied to shares redeemed were $7.2B, for a $2.9B net decrease. For ETHA, contributions were $943.3M and distributions were $1.5B, producing a $583.4M net decrease. At the trust level, operations also reduced net assets (IBIT by over $7B; ETHA by $1.5B), including realized losses and unrealized depreciation.
In August, inflows provided only a partial offset: Farside data showed IBIT inflows and ETHA inflows over Aug. 3–5 (about $478.5M and $83.8M respectively). However, the article stresses that only sustained buying would confirm redemptions are easing.
For traders, these BlackRock crypto ETFs redemption-heavy prints can be a near-term headwind for BTC and ETH spot sentiment because large authorized-participant outflows often tighten the ETF demand narrative. Persistent follow-through is key: continued redemptions may pressure risk appetite, while a shift back to net creations would likely support a more constructive setup.
Bitcoin miner MARA posted a net loss of $611.3 million in Q2 2026, reversing from a $808.2 million profit a year earlier, even though it mined more BTC. MARA reported quarterly Bitcoin production of 2,422 BTC, up 3% year over year, but the average Bitcoin price dropped 28%, pressuring revenue. The company said the loss was driven primarily by a change in the value of its Bitcoin holdings.
As of June 30, MARA held 35,577 BTC with a total fair value of about $2.1 billion, making it the fourth-largest public BTC holder after Strategy, Twenty One Capital and Metaplanet. CFO Salman Khan said Q2 was shaped by the Bitcoin “challenging revenue environment” and by efforts to transform its power portfolio and capital structure.
Operationally, MARA is pushing beyond pure mining. It is pursuing AI/HPC expansion through partnerships and land acquisitions: it bought a majority stake in Exaion SaS (HPC data centers and secure cloud/AI infrastructure), plans at least two AI/HPC lease signings by year-end, and is working with Starwood Digital Ventures to convert select sites for enterprise, hyperscale and AI customers. In July, MARA agreed to acquire 1,200 acres in Texas (up to 2 GW grid capacity by April 2028) for AI/HPC workloads and Bitcoin mining. It also has a pending $1.5 billion acquisition of Long Ridge Energy & Power in Ohio, targeting up to 600 MW of AI/critical-IT load over time.
For traders, the headline is clear: Bitcoin’s slump is still the dominant swing factor for MARA’s earnings, even when production rises.
Bitget has signed a cooperation agreement with the Gelephu Mindfulness City (GMC) Authority in Bhutan to pursue a regulated, licensed crypto presence. Bitget plans to set up a legal entity in GMC over time and apply to the Gelephu Financial Services Office (GFSO) for a Financial Services Licence under GMC’s virtual-asset framework.
GMC is positioned as a large autonomous economic zone for finance and innovation, and its virtual-asset regime is governed by Bhutan’s Financial Services Act 2025. Bitget says the steps are subject to required regulatory approvals.
The latest update also highlights GMC’s institutional buildout: the city appointed Canadian digital-asset manager 3iQ to manage a mandate backed by an undisclosed portion of GMC’s Bitcoin treasury. 3iQ’s role is linked to supporting Gelephu’s development and building a long-term city presence, including local talent investment and training.
For crypto traders, this is more of a licensing and institutionalisation signal than an immediate driver of spot liquidity or token flows. Near-term price impact for BTC is likely limited unless licensing timelines or on-the-ground rollout accelerate.
Oil prices rose after reports that Iran and Oman agreed on a temporary shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil chokepoint. Markets are also watching the possibility of a U.S.–Iran agreement, which could reopen the waterway and reduce supply-risk fears.
Oil prices remain sensitive to geopolitical headlines in the near term. If tensions cool and shipping access improves, the market expects less disruption risk; however, the latest development is still supportive of higher crude. Options and pricing suggest a moderate rise in the odds of crude testing new highs by end-September.
What to watch next: confirmation of the Iran–Oman announcement and any progress in U.S.–Iran talks tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz. OPEC and the IEA are also cited as key drivers for future supply outlook and policy expectations.
Crypto-trader angle: this is mainly an external macro risk. Oil prices shocks can lift inflation expectations and tighten financial conditions, influencing USD liquidity and broader risk sentiment, but it is not a direct crypto catalyst.
Neutral
Oil MarketStrait of HormuzGeopoliticsU.S.–Iran TalksMacro Risk Sentiment
The US Senate will not vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (“Clarity Act”) before its summer break, according to multiple sources cited by CoinDesk. Senate leaders said key outstanding issues remain unsolved by Senators from both parties.
The Senate is scheduled to return to Washington, D.C. on Sept. 14, 2026, giving lawmakers about three weeks to work through the remaining items and potentially hold a vote in September.
Before leaving, the Senate plans to focus on other legislation, including a continuing resolution to fund the federal government through the midterm election, a Russia sanctions bill backed by and named for Sen. Lindsey Graham, and a batch of nominations on Friday—the last day before the recess.
Politico previously reported late Thursday that the Senate did not expect a first vote on Clarity before the recess. For crypto traders, the near-term implication is regulatory timeline uncertainty around the Clarity Act, with any move in September likely to drive market repricing more than headlines from this month.
Neutral
US SenateCrypto RegulationClarity ActMarket StructurePolicy Uncertainty
The U.S. Senate has delayed the Clarity Act vote to September, after the bill already passed the House. The Clarity Act is designed to clarify crypto regulation by defining jurisdiction between the SEC and the CFTC.
Politico reports the postponement is due to Senate scheduling issues during the summer recess, not because the bill was withdrawn. With the timeline now pushed toward the fall, traders say pricing for a Clarity Act signing before end-2026 has weakened.
Prediction markets show the probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 fell to about 15.5% from 18% the prior day and was down from roughly 30% a week earlier. The delay is viewed as a near-term setback for expectations of rapid regulatory clarity.
What to watch next: September Senate scheduling updates and remarks from Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott. Broader support or opposition from key senators or White House officials could further shift expectations around the Clarity Act’s legislative path.
Bearish
Clarity ActSEC vs CFTCCrypto regulationUS SenatePrediction markets
Japan’s Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan carried out a forex intervention on April 30, spending a record 6.28 trillion yen to support the yen. The yen had weakened to around 160.7 per US dollar. The move initially boosted the currency to about 155 yen per dollar, but the yen later resumed its broader downtrend. Officials’ forex intervention also represents the largest single-day yen-buying operation on record.
Market coverage suggests the record forex intervention may increase FX market volatility. Traders are watching for further yen-buying actions and monitoring the yen’s path closely. The article also links FX dynamics to gold pricing, with market activity implying a scenario in which persistent yen weakness could translate into higher gold prices, reflected in increased interest in gold price predictions for August 2026.
For crypto traders, this is mainly a macro risk/liquidity signal: yen volatility can affect global risk sentiment, carry-trade expectations, and USD/JPY-driven hedging flows. Near term, the key trigger is whether additional yen-support measures follow; longer term, the persistence of yen weakness and its spillover into gold and inflation expectations could shape broader market direction.
Neutral
Japan forex interventionJPY volatilityBank of JapanUSD/JPYgold price outlook
Alibaba has launched Qwen 3.8-Max, a new enterprise-focused AI model previewed on July 19–20. Qwen 3.8-Max is reported to have 2.4 trillion total parameters, about 95 billion active parameters per run, and a near 1 million token context window.
For developers, Alibaba set standard API pricing at roughly $2 per million input tokens and $6 per million output tokens, with preview users receiving a 10% discount during the promotional period. Qwen 3.8-Max is multimodal, handling text, images, and video, which positions it for broader enterprise workflows than text-only assistants.
Alibaba highlights strong performance in coding tasks and “agentic workflows,” where systems chain multiple steps to complete complex jobs autonomously. The company also plans to release open weights for the Max-class model, enabling fine-tuning for specialized use cases.
The pricing strategy signals a competitive push against comparable Western models, emphasizing cost efficiency over any reported revenue-sharing for enterprises. Alibaba also bundles AI capabilities through enterprise integration tools such as DingTalk, its workplace collaboration platform.
In the broader AI landscape, the 2.4T parameter scale places Qwen 3.8-Max among the largest publicly acknowledged models. The 95B active parameter figure suggests a mixture-of-experts style architecture, meaning only part of the model’s capacity is used for each task.
Neutral
AI EnterpriseQwen 3.8-MaxOpen WeightsAgentic WorkflowsAPI Pricing
Thailand has confirmed a 0% crypto tax on capital gains—but only if trading is routed through Thailand’s regulated, SEC-licensed digital asset business operators.
The Thai Cabinet’s draft Ministerial Regulation would grant a personal income tax exemption for capital gains from selling digital assets, including cryptocurrencies and digital tokens. However, the 0% crypto tax is not available for offshore exchanges, non-compliant platforms, or peer-to-peer (P2P) liquidity.
Eligible trading must use licensed domestic exchanges, brokers, or dealers overseen under Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Finance Deputy Minister Julapun Amornvivat said the policy aims to support economic potential and position Thailand as a global digital hub.
The exemption is time-limited. The 0% crypto tax benefit is capped to a five-year relief window from Jan 1, 2025 through Dec 31, 2029.
The government expects around $1 billion in annual revenue through indirect effects, including higher local liquidity, increased market activity, foreign capital inflows, and broader domestic consumption—despite giving up direct tax collection.
This is part of a wider tax reform trend. Thailand previously eliminated VAT on crypto and token sales, and capped personal income tax on profit shares from digital tokens at 15%.
Crypto traders reacting online quickly learned the key caveat: 0% crypto tax applies only when trades comply with Thailand’s sandbox and licensed rails.
PowerCompute will hit the first decision point of its $18.13 million Bitcoin loan from Arch Lending on Sept. 2, when the 30-day initial period ends for 307 pledged BTC.
The structure is a “collar loan” designed to avoid forced selling during the term. CryptoSlate reports there are zero margin calls or liquidation triggers until the reset date, even if BTC moves through the collar levels before then.
At Sept. 2 (8:00 a.m. EST), an agreed reference-price check uses a floor of $58,860 and a ceiling of $66,370. PowerCompute then has until 5:00 p.m. EST to either:
- Accept new quoted terms (rolling to a new period with re-struck floor/ceiling), or
- Close out during a 24-hour cure window.
Settlement logic depends on the reference price at reset:
- Below $58,860: Arch can keep the pledged BTC with no deficiency claim.
- Between $58,860 and $66,370: PowerCompute can repay secured obligations (including accrued interest) and recover collateral.
- Above $66,370: upside is capped for PowerCompute; Arch captures excess appreciation via retained BTC or USD/USDC settlement.
The loan was refinanced from an existing Galaxy Digital facility and two Liebel loans. The initial rate is 2% annual for the full facility, with a prior 12%-to-2% comparison applying only to the $7 million Liebel portion.
For traders, this is a near-term catalyst calendar item: the market may watch BTC around $58,860–$66,370 ahead of Sept. 2. However, because the Bitcoin loan has “no margin calls” during the term, immediate liquidation risk is muted until the monthly reset.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has reportedly increased its gold reserves in Hong Kong to strengthen the city’s role as a regional bullion trading hub. The move follows Hong Kong’s trial launch of a new central gold clearing and settlement system.
This development aligns with China’s broader strategy to expand Hong Kong’s influence in global gold markets. Market observers are watching closely for any signal that additional Hong Kong gold reserves could translate into higher demand for gold, which may affect gold prices and investor sentiment.
In current pricing, traders appear to be discounting a near-term surge, with probabilities for large gold price increases still considered low. What to watch next is whether PBOC continues gold purchases and whether the new clearing and settlement system scales beyond the trial phase.
Broader drivers such as central bank policy shifts worldwide, geopolitical tensions, and macro data—especially U.S. inflation—could further shape bullion market dynamics. For crypto traders, the headline is more of a cross-asset signal (gold demand and central bank activity) than a direct catalyst for Bitcoin or other tokens.
Neutral
Hong Kong gold reservesPeople’s Bank of Chinacentral clearing & settlementbullion marketgold price drivers
Oil prices rose after Iranian state media reported a draft plan to tighten control of the Strait of Hormuz. The proposal would bar U.S.- and Israeli-linked vessels and set penalties for violators. Although the plan is still under expert review and not yet law, traders reacted to the risk of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a large share of global oil shipments.
Geopolitical tensions have already reduced traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, increasing market sensitivity to any new enforcement. The article says current price behavior aligns with higher “likelihood” scenarios in which crude could test fresh all-time highs.
Key stakeholders including OPEC and the International Energy Agency are monitoring the situation. What to watch next is whether Iran moves from draft to enforcement and how affected nations respond—developments that could quickly change crude oil supply expectations and market pricing.
Bearish
Strait of HormuzIranOil pricesGeopolitical riskOPEC/IEA
A reported Coldcard vulnerability led to a theft on July 30, 2026: about 1,200 Coldcard wallets were drained in ~40 minutes, with attackers moving over 1,000 BTC to a controlled wallet. Crypto security researchers traced the root cause to a firmware integration build-configuration error that silently disabled Coldcard’s hardware random number generator (RNG). Instead, the firmware fell back to a deterministic pseudo-random generator seeded with attacker-predictable values (notably the device serial number and clock state). For older devices, the effective seed space dropped to roughly ~40 bits, enabling offline seed enumeration, address derivation, and blockchain matching without touching devices or using phishing.
Casa co-founder Jameson Lopp says the bug highlights a changed threat model: vulnerability discovery economics now reward machines running against public security-critical code (including firmware and custody logic). He argues manual audits and one-off pentests are “photographs,” while attackers can rapidly iterate.
In response, Casa claims it ran AI penetration testing more frequently using frontier models and an internal AI harness designed to reduce hallucination risk (discover → verify with exact code citations → report). Casa also describes defense-in-depth: automated review on every change, human review, test-first fixes, end-to-end testing, and, most importantly, a multisignature vault design.
The key trading/operational takeaway for Bitcoin holders using affected hardware is that Coldcard vulnerability impacts individual keys; multisig should prevent fund loss as long as you rotate keys on fixed firmware and maintain quorum. Casa says it contacted affected clients with guidance: update firmware, regenerate seeds on fixed firmware, and rotate vault keys.
The Zcash Foundation Q2 2026 report was released, updating traders on engineering progress and other quarterly activities. The Zcash Foundation Q2 2026 report also adds a transparency-focused financial section, detailing inflows, outflows, and a breakdown of expenses.
For liquidity-sensitive market participants, the report provides a snapshot of the Foundation’s financial position, including liquid assets available and the liabilities those assets must cover. This can help gauge operational runway and how treasury obligations are being managed.
Overall, it is an administrative and governance transparency update rather than a Zcash protocol-change or new token-economics announcement. Traders should treat it as sentiment-relevant, particularly for long-term development continuity, and review the full figures in the downloadable report for specifics.
The article argues that AI data centres should use a tiered design—HDD vs NAND flash—because each storage type solves different problems in training and inference pipelines. NAND flash (SSDs) is positioned closest to GPUs for low latency and very high random IOPS, powering model weights, KV caches, and vector indexes. HDDs are kept for the bulk, long-retention capacity tier: large training corpora, synthetic/augmented data, stabilized checkpoints, logs, and growing inference outputs.
Key performance and cost points cited include Seagate’s estimate that HDDs are ~6× cheaper per TB than NAND SSDs, alongside much lower energy and embodied carbon per TB—important at hyperscale. On endurance, flash requires controller-level management (ECC, wear leveling, over-provisioning) because cells wear out with program/erase cycles. The piece references SNIA guidance that write amplification and workload patterns strongly affect real flash lifetime.
A practical workflow is described: store authoritative datasets and archives on HDD-backed object/file storage; stage hot shards on NVMe/SSD before runs; use flash for bursty checkpoint writes; then migrate stabilized checkpoints and artifacts back to HDD to recover expensive flash capacity. Cloud and vendor best practices (e.g., staging/caching guidance) are presented as consistent with this tiered approach.
For crypto traders, the immediate market signal is indirect: this is an infrastructure/IT efficiency narrative rather than a crypto protocol or regulation event.
Neutral
AI data centersHDD vs NAND flashNVMe cachingSSD endurancehardware infrastructure
A new fee-UX model is emerging: paying blockchain gas with USDC instead of native tokens, enabled by ERC-4337 account abstraction and Circle’s permissionless paymaster.
Core mechanism: Under ERC-4337, a paymaster must still hold native-token deposits at the EntryPoint to satisfy protocol-level requirements, even if the end user pays in an ERC-20 such as USDC. Bundlers may also limit or audit paymasters, adding acceptance risk.
Circle’s implementation matters for traders and builders. Circle’s Paymaster lets users pay gas in USDC, applying a 10% surcharge on USDC-paid transactions on Arbitrum and Base (on top of native chain fees). Circle states it manages native-token balances and swaps behind the scenes, implying providers bear conversion spreads, slippage, and custody/inventory risk.
Why it’s timely: USDC liquidity is large (DeFiLlama shows USDC market cap in the low ~$70B range). Circle also points to the Ethereum Pectra upgrade (EIP-7702) enabling an EOA-first experience, so wallets funded only with USDC could transact immediately when paired with a paymaster.
Fee-market implications: USDC-priced gas could reduce retail exposure to small native-token balances, shifting demand and operational risk toward professional paymaster providers. Users may experience more stable “USD sticker prices,” but pay provider markups (10%) and spreads.
Key things to watch: Pectra/EIP-7702 readiness, changes to Circle paymaster pricing/supported chains, bundler allowlists, and real transaction share of USDC-settled gas. If adoption is broad and pricing compresses, this may expand user activity on L2s; if markups remain high or stablecoin liquidity weakens, it stays a convenience layer rather than a default.