Latest Crypto News | Bitcoin, Ethereum and Altcoin Updates

Magic Eden will end support for Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) chains and Bitcoin-native markets (Runes/Ordinals) to focus on its on-chain gambling product, Dicey. CEO Jack Lu set a phased timetable: the EVM and Bitcoin marketplaces will close on March 9, the Bitcoin API will be shut on March 27, and the multi-chain wallet will switch to export-only mode (effectively ending normal operations) on April 1. The decision follows revenue realities — Solana accounted for more than 85% of volume in late 2024 — making low-volume EVM and Bitcoin infrastructure uneconomical to maintain. Magic Eden is also ending its NFT buyback program and narrowing NFT offerings toward Solana-native randomized NFT packs while investing in Dicey features, including a planned sportsbook. Dicey’s closed beta attracted ~200 users and recorded more than $15 million wagered over two months, highlighting demand for low-fee, high-throughput gambling on Solana. Users must migrate assets from Magic Eden’s wallet to chain-specific wallets (e.g., Phantom for SOL, MetaMask for ETH) before export mode. Traders should watch for: concentrated NFT liquidity on Solana (SOL), short-term volatility and liquidity gaps for Bitcoin-native collectibles (Ordinals/Runes) as retail activity migrates to smaller platforms (e.g., UniSat), and potential traffic and volume shifts that could affect SOL and marketplace tokens. The move aims to cut multi-chain operating costs and double down on iGaming revenue, but it may trigger temporary market dislocations for assets tied to Ordinals/Runes and marketplace liquidity. Keywords: Magic Eden, Dicey, NFT marketplace, Solana, Ordinals, Runes, wallet sunset, gambling pivot.

Vitalik Buterin published EIP-8141, an omnibus proposal that implements full Account Abstraction on Ethereum via a new transaction model called Frame Transactions. The proposal replaces the legacy one-action-one-signature pattern with programmable multi-call transactions that can include multiple calls, each with its own sender and gas payer. Key features: Frame Transactions for atomic UX flows (eg. approve+spend), Paymasters that enable token-based or sponsored gas payments without mandatory relayers, on-chain Paymaster contracts that can swap tokens to ETH, and privacy options such as ZK-SNARK validation for fee coverage. EIP-8141 also introduces a dual-dimensional nonce for parallel transaction streams, references standards (RIP-7712, EIP-7997), contemplates quantum-resistant signature schemes, and adds native support for bulk, sponsored and FOCIL transaction types. The proposal outlines a phased mempool transition with stricter verification in a new mempool while maintaining a parallel flexible pool during rollout. Buterin expects the full changes to land in the Hegota hard fork within the year. For traders: the upgrade is primarily product- and UX-focused — it could broaden on-chain fee assets, reduce dependence on third-party relayers, and enable privacy-preserving payment flows. Those shifts may gradually raise ETH utility and demand as wallets, relayers and dApps integrate the new model, but the change is not presented as an immediate tokenomics shock.

Jan3 CEO Samson Mow says Bitcoin (BTC) is trading 24%–66% below its historical trend versus gold when measured against gold’s market capitalization and global money supply. The Bitcoin/gold Z‑score, a statistical measure of deviation from the long‑term BTC–gold relationship, sits near -1.24. Historically, readings below -2 (and especially below -3) have coincided with major market lows—March 2020 and November 2022—after which BTC rallied strongly (150%–300%+ within 12 months). Over the past year the BTC/gold ratio fell roughly 50% while gold rose about 63%, driven by safe‑haven flows, tokenized gold demand and tighter monetary policy weighing on BTC. Current gold prices cited include gold futures and tokenized gold near the mid‑$5,000s per BTC-equivalent. Some analysts warn downside remains: market structure and weak investor confidence could push BTC toward ~$50,000 before a sustainable reversal. For traders: monitor the BTC/gold Z‑score for a dip below -2 (a historically contrarian buy signal), watch gold strength and macro/geopolitical flows that could either reinforce or delay a BTC rebound, and use strict risk management until confirming on‑chain, institutional flow and price action signals appear. Keywords: Bitcoin, BTC, gold, BTC/gold Z‑score, market trends, macro flows.

Ethereum co‑founder Vitalik Buterin says AI-assisted “vibe coding” can dramatically speed prototyping and early implementation of the Ethereum roadmap, but warned of serious security and governance caveats. Responding to a claim that AI could implement the roadmap in two weeks, Buterin acknowledged AI’s ability to rapidly generate code, tests, audits and documentation—compressing research and early development timelines—while stressing that bypassing the EIP process and client coordination (Geth, Nethermind, Besu) would leave builds with numerous critical bugs. Core roadmap goals mentioned include rollup-centric scaling, single-slot finality, account abstraction, Verkle trees and quantum-resistant cryptography. Experts and Buterin recommend a hybrid approach: use AI to accelerate prototyping, auto-generate tests and specs, assist audits, and produce multiple independent implementations, while preserving community governance, rigorous EIP review, formal verification and multi-client coordination before mainnet deployment. Short-term trader considerations: faster prototyping could increase development momentum and positive sentiment for ETH, but concrete mainnet upgrades still require lengthy audits and consensus, keeping immediate price impact limited. Key takeaways for traders: watch for accelerated research milestones, AI-driven tooling or audit announcements, and any signs of expedited EIP timelines—but treat claims of rapid full implementation skeptically because security and coordination remain binding constraints.

Trump Media & Technology Group plans to spin off its flagship social platform, Truth Social, into a new public company (SpinCo) and merge it with Texas Ventures Acquisition III, a SPAC tied to an earlier ~ $6+ billion agreement involving fusion-energy developer TAE Technologies. Shareholders of Trump Media would receive SpinCo shares. The move follows the company’s aggressive 2025 push into crypto and fintech under its Truth.Fi brand: a disclosed Bitcoin treasury of ~11,500 BTC, multiple ETF filings (Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and a CRO staking-linked fund), and a CRO reserve established with Crypto.com and Yorkville Acquisition. The proposed TAE tie-in highlights strategic synergy claims—fusion energy could lower power costs for AI data centers and crypto operations—though the combined business reported sizable 2025 losses (a $712.3M unrealized-loss-driven loss) and year-end assets near $2.5B. The articles note Bitcoin technicals (price ~ $66k; supports ~65.7k and 62.5k; resistance near 68k; RSI neutral–slightly bearish) and mention geopolitical tension (US–Iran) lifting futures volumes. Key risks are crypto volatility, regulatory and execution risk around ETF and SPAC deals, and potential valuation pressure from unrealized losses; key positives are an outsized BTC treasury and ETF progress that could bolster institutional demand. Traders should watch on-chain flows from the BTC treasury, ETF filing milestones, SPAC deal announcements, and liquidity/volatility around the announced supports and resistances for short-term moves; longer-term implications depend on ETF approvals and the successful separation/merger execution.

MicroStrategy raised the annualized coupon on its perpetual preferred STRC to 11.50% for March 2026, a 25-basis-point increase intended to keep STRC trading near its $100 par and provide steady monthly yield. Michael Saylor announced the change on social media and the company confirmed it. STRC’s coupon has been adjusted multiple times since its July 2025 launch and remains in demand despite broader crypto weakness. The company said it raised roughly $7 billion last year via STRC and other perpetual preferred offerings and plans to favor preferred capital over issuing common stock for Bitcoin treasury purchases. Separately, MicroStrategy’s common stock (MSTR) has weakened sharply: MSTR fell about 14% in February — its eighth consecutive monthly decline — after a Q4 2025 net loss of $12.4 billion. MSTR recently traded around $129.50, well below late‑2024 highs. MicroStrategy continues to accumulate Bitcoin, buying 592 BTC in mid‑February at an average price of ~$67,286, bringing disclosed holdings to 717,722 BTC with an average cost basis near $76,020 and an unrealized loss of roughly $6.5 billion. Management signaled possible further weekly purchases. Critics warned of downside risk, while executives said the company can meet obligations even in deep BTC declines. Implications for traders: the STRC dividend hike may attract yield-seeking capital into MicroStrategy’s preferred instruments and provide some support for STRC and MSTR liquidity. However, BTC price remains the dominant risk driver — weakness in BTC and large unrealized losses on the treasury keep pressure on MSTR. Traders should monitor BTC support levels (notably near the mid-$60k range) and STRC/MSTR liquidity; dividend adjustments can shift capital flows but are unlikely to offset major BTC-driven moves. This is informational and not investment advice.

A bipartisan group of 11 U.S. senators has asked the Treasury Department and Department of Justice to open a prompt, comprehensive review of Binance’s sanctions compliance and anti‑money‑laundering (AML) controls, citing media reports that flagged roughly $1.7 billion in crypto flows linked to Iran‑connected actors and more than 1,500 accounts accessed from Iran. Senators — including Chris Van Hollen, Ruben Gallego, Elizabeth Warren and Raphael Warnock — also raised concerns about possible Russian sanctions evasion, alleged retaliation against compliance staff who flagged suspicious transactions, and waning cooperation with law enforcement. They requested details on planned agency actions and whether Binance is meeting terms of its November 2023 settlement, setting a March 13 deadline for a response. Separately, Senator Richard Blumenthal has opened a congressional probe seeking Binance internal records. Binance denies the allegations, says it blocks Iranian users and reports suspicious activity, and disputes media estimates of Iran‑linked flows. Lawmakers warned that new Binance products (regional payment cards, stablecoin partnerships) could be used to evade sanctions. Key takeaways for traders: elevated regulatory and enforcement risk for Binance that may increase reputational pressure on BNB and broader crypto markets; potential for agency actions or further congressional scrutiny by the March 13 deadline; and heightened volatility around Binance‑related tokens should investigations escalate.

Paradigm, the San Francisco venture firm founded by Matt Huang and Fred Ehrsam, is seeking up to $1.5 billion for a new fund to expand its remit beyond crypto into frontier technologies including artificial intelligence and robotics. The firm manages roughly $12.6–$12.7 billion in assets (late 2024) and has a history of large vehicles, including a $2.5 billion fund in 2021 and an $850 million early-stage fund in 2024. Paradigm has already made AI-related moves — a $50 million investment in Nous Research and a partnership with OpenAI to build EVMbench, an AI-driven benchmarking tool for smart‑contract security. Leaders say the shift is diversification rather than an exit from crypto and stress continued commitment to blockchain investing, while capturing synergies between AI and decentralized finance. The move mirrors a broader VC rotation toward AI and autonomous systems and follows industry fundraising trends (for example a16z’s multibillion-dollar AI raises). Key facts for traders: $1.5B target fund, ~$12.6B AUM, $50M Nous investment, ongoing OpenAI collaboration. Primary keywords: Paradigm, AI fund, robotics, venture capital, crypto diversification.

SBI Holdings and Startale plan to launch JPYSC, a yen‑pegged stablecoin issued by SBI Shinsei Trust Bank targeted for Q2 2026, subject to regulatory approval. JPYSC will be structured as a Type III electronic payment instrument under Japan’s revised Payment Services Act. Reserves will be held in trust at SBI Shinsei Trust Bank to segregate client funds from bank assets and to meet capital and redemption requirements. Distribution and secondary liquidity will be handled by crypto exchange SBI VC Trade, while Startale supplies the blockchain infrastructure and smart contracts designed for high‑volume institutional settlement. The project is explicitly aimed at institutional use cases — cross‑border transfers, treasury management, tokenized asset settlement and future AI/agent payments — rather than retail trading. Partners say several banks and large corporates have expressed early interest. If approved and adopted, JPYSC would provide a regulated yen alternative to USD‑pegged stablecoins and could shift institutional settlement flows and FX corridors after listing and uptake.

Citi will roll out an institutional‑grade Bitcoin custody service by year‑end, beginning with key management and wallet infrastructure that meet institutional security standards (MPC, HSMs, geographically distributed key shares). The service will integrate Bitcoin reporting, tax and management into Citi’s existing custody, settlement and client platforms so institutions can hold Bitcoin alongside cash and securities in a single safekeeping framework. Citi plans transaction support via SWIFT, APIs and UIs and expects future extensions into prime brokerage, settlement integration, cross‑margining, collateralized lending and structured products. The move responds to strong client demand for bank‑grade custody over self‑custody and follows regulatory developments (OCC guidance, MiCA, UK rule changes) that make bank custody more feasible. Citi’s entry adds the scale, compliance and insured framework of a global systemically important bank to a market previously dominated by crypto‑native and some traditional custodians. Risks include operational, counterparty and regulatory issues, but successful launch could unlock substantial institutional capital, boost Bitcoin liquidity and over time reduce volatility. Traders should watch custody onboarding timelines, proof of insurance and integration with trading/prime services as signals for increased institutional flows into BTC.

Onchain investigators found eight wallets captured roughly $1.2 million in profits from a single Polymarket contract tied to an Axiom-related event, while more than 50 other wallets incurred combined losses of about $1.23 million. Blockchain researcher Defioasis and reporter ZachXBT flagged patterns consistent with insider trading: several addresses traded only this market and three earned over $100,000 each. The probe centers on allegations involving Axiom employee Broox Bauer and associates; Axiom says it has removed internal tools implicated in the report and expressed shock. The incident revives regulatory and integrity concerns for prediction markets — coming after earlier high-profile Polymarket trades — and has already prompted access restrictions in multiple jurisdictions. Traders should expect elevated integrity risk, potential regulatory actions, and short-term volatility around related contracts as markets reprice the risk of privileged information and enforcement pressure.

AllUnity — a joint initiative backed by DWS, Galaxy Digital, Flow Traders and Deutsche Bank affiliates — has launched CHFAU, a Swiss franc‑pegged ERC‑20 stablecoin on Ethereum targeted at institutional users. CHFAU is issued under Europe’s MiCA framework and is covered by an Electronic Money Institution licence from Germany’s BaFin (granted July 2025). The token is fully backed 1:1 by segregated CHF reserves held at regulated banks and is initially available only to banks and professional investors through the AllUnity Mint Platform. Use cases highlighted include cross‑border payments, faster settlement, treasury and liquidity management, and offering regulated digital access to Swiss franc safe‑haven exposure. CHFAU follows AllUnity’s earlier euro token (EURAU). AllUnity plans to expand CHFAU to additional blockchains in 2026 to increase interoperability and regulated adoption. For traders: the launch underscores growing institutional demand for non‑USD, regulated stablecoins (CHF exposure), may boost on‑chain CHF liquidity and reduce settlement frictions for euro/CHF corridors, and could gradually increase demand for ETH network capacity and related on‑chain stablecoin flows.

Morgan Stanley will build an in‑house Bitcoin (BTC) custody and spot trading platform to offer bank-managed access to BTC for its wealth and E*Trade clients. The rollout will begin over the next year: an initial phase lets E*Trade users buy and sell spot crypto via existing partnerships while Morgan Stanley develops its own custody and exchange infrastructure. The bank is building the technology internally to ensure operational control, reliability and compliance for its large client base (managing trillions in assets). Crypto yield and lending products are being explored but remain in early stages with no timeline; custody and spot trading are the immediate priorities. Morgan Stanley expects many clients to continue self‑custody and positions its service as a regulated, bank-based alternative. The coverage also notes regulatory context: clearer U.S. digital-asset rules (notably progress on the CLARITY Act) could support crypto markets later in the year. For traders, the development signals increased institutional infrastructure and potential demand for BTC; technical commentary mentioned $68,200 as a key BTC breakout level and $65,500 as near-term support toward a $74,000 target.

American Bitcoin (ABTC), a Bitcoin mining firm backed by the Trump family, reported a $59.5 million net loss for Q4 2025 despite revenue growth to $78.3 million and a 53% gross margin. The company mined 1,654 BTC in 2025 (783 BTC in Q4) and held roughly 5,401 BTC at year-end, with holdings since growing to just over 6,000 BTC; some reserves are pledged to Bitmain under a miner-purchase agreement. A large non-cash impairment tied to BTC valuations widened ABTC’s 2025 full-year net loss to $153.2 million. The miner raised $150.5 million through an at-the-market equity program in Q4 to support its accumulation/HODL strategy while continuing capital expenditure to buy 16,000 Bitmain rigs partly payable in pledged BTC. ABTC shares have fallen sharply (reports show declines ranging from ~39% YTD to ~85% over six months), underperforming Bitcoin. The results arrive as major miners diversify — some pivot to AI/data-center projects and others have liquidated reserves to preserve liquidity. Key implications for traders: material on-balance-sheet BTC reserves (including pledged BTC), ongoing dilution and capital raises, large non-cash impairments sensitive to BTC price swings, and significant share underperformance versus BTC which may amplify equity volatility if BTC moves.

The U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) published a notice of proposed rulemaking to implement the GENIUS Act, creating a federal regulatory framework for dollar-pegged payment stablecoins. The proposal covers who may issue payment stablecoins (national bank subsidiaries, federally qualified issuers, qualifying state issuers and certain foreign issuers) and sets operational standards: minimum reserve requirements, segregation and custody of reserve assets, mandatory redemption at par, liquidity and risk-management rules, regular attestations or audits, and enhanced reporting and disclosure to federal regulators. Anti-money-laundering, Bank Secrecy Act and sanctions rules will be added separately in coordination with Treasury. The OCC opened a public comment period. The agency says the rules aim to increase transparency, reduce systemic risk, protect consumers and provide regulatory certainty to banks, fintechs and crypto firms. For traders, expect higher compliance costs, tighter custody and reserve practices, potential consolidation among stablecoin providers, and clearer pathways for institutional adoption—outcomes that could affect liquidity and the competitive landscape among stablecoins. Keywords: stablecoin regulation, GENIUS Act, OCC, stablecoin reserves, custody, regulatory clarity.

A US federal judge in San Francisco, Rita Lin, granted a preliminary injunction for Anthropic, blocking parts of the Trump administration’s actions. The ruling temporarily stops the White House directive telling federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and it pauses the Pentagon’s effort to treat Anthropic as a national security “supply chain risk.” The judge said the government’s moves looked punitive rather than security-driven and suggested they could amount to illegal First Amendment retaliation tied to government contracting scrutiny. The case stems from Pentagon negotiations over Claude safety restrictions. Anthropic said it would not remove safeguards that prevent uses involving fully autonomous weapons without human supervision or mass surveillance of Americans, while remaining open to other government work. The injunction is stayed for seven days to allow an appeal. A separate, related civilian federal contracting case is still moving. Crypto-trader take: This is mainly a regulation/legal headline around AI procurement. Any market effect is likely second-order through tech-sector sentiment, not a direct token catalyst for Anthropic-related headlines.

Bitcoin ETFs saw a sharp sell-off on Thursday, with outflows of $171M—the largest single-day withdrawal since March 3—as BTC slipped below the ~$70,000 area. The article links the move to higher geopolitical caution and volatility, including US troop deployment reports in the Middle East and a Trump extension of a US–Iran ceasefire on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6. By issuer, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $41M outflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC (-$32M), ARK 21Shares’ ARKB (-$30.5M), and Grayscale’s GBTC (-$24M). Despite the daily pressure, the broader trend in Bitcoin ETFs remains resilient: the piece cites about $1.36B of net inflows so far in March, pointing to a potential first monthly net accumulation since Oct 2025. For traders, these Bitcoin ETFs outflows look more like a short-term risk-control signal than a confirmed trend reversal. Near-term impact hinges on whether BTC can stabilize around the high-$60,000s and whether geopolitics keeps driving hedging demand.

ZEC is consolidating near $235–$240 after a sharp February selloff, while the 2026 “ZK-backed privacy” narrative helps drive demand. The later report notes momentum has improved in March, including a reported one-day jump of about 23.26% around March 16, with daily spot activity returning to the hundreds of millions of dollars. Price context: ZEC fell about 20.93% in February (from ~$302.80 to a month-end close near ~$239.41) before rebounding in March. Technically, the 14-day RSI was described as low-to-mid 50s, suggesting strength without clear “blow-off” conditions. Key catalysts (trader-relevant): - Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) raised $25m+ on March 25 (largest round cited), with backers including Paradigm, a16z Crypto, and Coinbase Ventures. The funding is aimed at expanding the ZODL wallet stack and other privacy-first tools. - Foundry Digital plans to launch an institutional-grade ZEC mining pool in April 2026, its first move beyond Bitcoin mining—framed as a signal of growing confidence in Zcash’s long-term viability. - Roadmap progress (e.g., CashZ wallet work and consensus upgrades) targets making shielded transactions easier to access, reinforcing ZEC’s positioning as privacy infrastructure rather than a pure speculation play. Trading takeaway: If ZEC’s shielded-transaction adoption keeps rising alongside this funding and infrastructure push, the current $235–$240 range could transition from consolidation into a more sustained repricing. The article also flags downside risk (potentially toward $100–$150) if privacy demand or usage growth fades.

ONDO is rebounding despite weaker broader markets, jumping about +5% intraday to around $0.262. The move is tied to a stronger institutional catalyst: Ondo Finance and Franklin Templeton confirmed they will tokenize five Franklin Templeton ETFs on the Ondo Global Markets platform. The tokenized ETFs target investors across multiple non‑US regions and include on-chain use cases such as DeFi collateral and financial-services infrastructure. Franklin Templeton’s AUM is cited at about $1.7T. Traders are also watching ONDO’s technical picture. Support is forming near $0.26, where the 20-day and 50-day SMAs converge around $0.2604, with heavier 24-hour volume (~$185M). However, momentum is mixed: daily RSI is ~52.8 (not overextended), daily MACD still shows a sell signal, and ADX is neutral, pointing to limited trend conviction. A bullish path would hold above $0.26 and push toward resistance near $0.293; a base case looks like range trading between $0.26 and $0.293; losing $0.26 raises the risk of a drawdown toward about $0.2062 by month-end. The article also mentions LiquidChain (LIQUID), a Layer 3 liquidity infrastructure project running a presale and aiming for unified liquidity across BTC/ETH/SOL ecosystems.

PEPE price is under renewed bearish pressure, falling more than 3% and testing the $0.00000300 area. After failing to hold the $0.00000344 resistance, a brief rebound above $0.00000342 faded quickly, suggesting weak upside momentum. On the 4-hour chart, PEPE continues to respect a descending trendline. Rallies repeatedly stall near the falling boundary, with rejections clustering around $0.00000335–$0.00000345. Traders should watch for continuation risk unless bulls reclaim this range. A breakdown below $0.00000320 could accelerate selling. Daily structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows. Overhead resistance near $0.00000340 capped attempts to break out, pulling price back toward $0.00000330 support. RSI is around 45 (below neutral), and price action hugs the lower Bollinger Band, consistent with limited accumulation. Key levels: support at $0.00000330, then $0.00000300; further downside risk lies near $0.00000290. Near-term invalidation is a reclaim of $0.00000345 and a hold above the descending boundary. At the time of writing, PEPE trades around $0.00000328.

Crypto futures liquidation struck major venues on March 21, 2025, wiping about $143M of futures contracts within one hour. This followed a larger 24-hour deleveraging wave, with total liquidations reported at over $447M. The move was driven by forced position closures when leveraged traders’ margin fell below maintenance levels. The latest report stresses that liquidation cascades can cut both ways—long liquidations often follow sharp sell-offs, while short liquidations can occur after rapid upside. Data cited via Coinglass pointed to heavy activity on Binance, Bybit, and OKX. The underlying trigger mix included high leverage (often 20x–50x for retail), thinner liquidity in some pairs, key technical levels breaking, and broader macro uncertainty that can amplify automated selling or buying. From a trading lens, this crypto futures liquidation event signals leverage overheating and fast volatility expansion. Traders may see funding normalize or flip, but ADL and insurance fund mechanisms can still influence how cleanly positions unwind. Tactically, watch open interest, funding, and order-book liquidity before placing stops, since cascades can overshoot liquidation prices.

The Ethereum Foundation launched pq.ethereum.org, a public hub for its post-quantum cryptography roadmap, EIPs, and code repositories. The Ethereum L1 quantum upgrade plan aims to complete core Layer 1 protocol changes by 2029, with full execution-layer migration expected to take additional years. At the consensus layer, Ethereum plans to move away from today’s BLS validator signatures toward hash-based, quantum-resistant schemes such as XMSS, with a “leanSig” approach for smaller signatures and zk-friendly aggregation. On the execution layer, account abstraction is designed to enable a gradual rollout of quantum-safe authentication without a disruptive flag-day switch. The Foundation also says 10+ client teams are already running weekly post-quantum interoperability devnets through the PQ Interop program to keep implementations compatible. For traders, this is a long-horizon governance and engineering catalyst. The Ethereum L1 quantum upgrade narrative may support longer-term security confidence, but near-term price impact is likely limited by the multi-year timeline and ongoing implementation risk.

ARK Invest said it will integrate Kalshi prediction market data into its investment process to improve macro research and risk signals. The firm plans to use Kalshi’s real-time probability-weighted contracts to gauge market expectations, monitor business KPI outcomes, and support hedging decisions as probabilities update with each trade. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour confirmed the collaboration and noted that some contracts are already live, including non-farm payrolls and deficit-to-GDP markets, plus business KPI themes tied to trading activity, regulatory approvals, and technology milestones. ARK CEO Cathie Wood and research director Nick Grous are central to the effort. The latest reporting also highlights ARK’s plan to add more contracts covering macroeconomic and scientific milestones aligned with its genomics, energy transition, and AI themes. For traders, this is a signal that Kalshi prediction markets are moving toward institutional decision support, which could strengthen confidence and liquidity in regulated event markets over time, even if it is not a direct crypto token catalyst.

ASTER is trading around $0.6695 (+0.84%) with an overall downtrend and weak demand. The 24h volume is about $48.66M, below the 7-day average (~$65M), signaling cautious sentiment. Volume Profile shows “fair value” near $0.66 and highlights a key support cushion at $0.6562 (95/100), where buyers appear to defend as price stabilizes below EMA20 (~$0.69). RSI is near the low-40s (~41), while MACD stays bearish with a negative histogram. Traders should watch $0.6848 (70/100) for upside confirmation. Any rise that reaches resistance without volume expansion risks a “trap rally.” Higher targets sit around $0.725–$0.766, but the base case remains a retest of $0.6562 unless momentum improves. BTC correlation (~0.85%) remains a key driver: a BTC rebound could lift ASTER toward resistance; continued weakness keeps support testing in focus.

ENA/USDT trades around $0.1017 (+7.05% today), but the broader trend remains bearish. ENA is still below the EMA20, while RSI(14) (~41.5–43) stays under 50 and MACD remains negative with a widening bearish histogram—momentum has not repaired. Key ENA levels: support clusters at $0.0967 and strengthens at $0.0912 (high confluence). A breakdown under $0.0912 could extend selling toward $0.0444. Resistance sits at $0.1032 first, with a higher target near $0.1569. Supertrend remains bearish and caps price around $0.12. Trade-flow signals also lean bearish: negative volume divergence, negative OBV slope, and seller dominance (delta negative). The high-volume node mainly lies in the $0.0967–$0.1032 band, so ENA may face overhead supply unless it reclaims resistance with strong volume. Bitcoin is the main macro trigger. With BTC around ~$68.4k and a downtrend, the ENA–BTC correlation is above 0.85+. If BTC holds below ~$68k, the analysis expects ENA pressure back toward the $0.09 area; if BTC stabilizes, ENA may retest $0.1032 before any recovery. Trading takeaway (technical only): bearish structure dominates. Short-term rallies face resistance near $0.1032–$0.12; longs likely need an acceptance break above ~$0.1032 with volume.

US lawmakers have introduced a new bipartisan bill to curb prediction market insider trading by officials and tighten compliance rules for Financial Prediction Market contracts. The proposal, the “2026 Financial Prediction Market Public Integrity Act,” was announced by Todd Young, Elissa Slotkin, John Curtis, and Adam Schiff. It warns that event-linked prediction markets can blur the line between gambling and finance, creating opportunities for insider trading. Key points for market watchers: - Who is covered: the President, Vice President, and members of Congress, plus certain political appointees and employees at executive or independent regulators. - What counts as insider information: non-public information a “reasonable investor” would find important for trading. - Reporting trigger: officials betting more than $250 must report within 30 days to the ethics office, including contract name, size/price, date and time, position, trading platform, and profit/loss. - Penalties: the greater of $500 or double the profit from the prediction market contract. The bill is the second push this week, following an earlier “PREDICT Act” that targets political-event and policy-decision-linked contracts. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are also strengthening internal controls to deter insider activity. For crypto traders, the main effect is regulatory headline risk around prediction markets and possible compliance pressure. It may shift attention toward governance and market structure rather than directly changing spot token demand.

WLFI is trading near $0.10 but remains in a 1D downtrend. Price is below EMA20 and Supertrend is still bearish, keeping the broader bias risk-off for WLFI traders. Momentum is mixed. RSI(14) around 43 is in a neutral-bearish zone, while MACD shows bullish histogram expansion—an attempted rebound that the report warns could be a fakeout without stronger confirmation. Key levels for WLFI: resistance at $0.1003 (most critical), then $0.1064 and $0.1128. Support sits around $0.0975 and $0.0885. A breakdown below $0.0885 is flagged as likely to accelerate selling, with a bearish target at $0.0607. New in the latest update: volume and participation do not support a sustained reversal (24h volume ~41.5M, OBV downtrend; negative volume delta). The tighter range may be consolidation, but a breakout is less likely without volume. BTC correlation remains the trigger. BTC is pressured, with key levels near $68,150 and $66,384. If BTC drops toward $66,384, WLFI is expected to retest $0.0885; if BTC rebounds, WLFI may push toward $0.1064. Trading implication: the report leans bearish for WLFI as long as it stays below $0.1003–$0.1064. Confirmation for longs would require stronger price action above higher resistance.

USD/JPY is trading around 159.50 and stalling near 160.00 as Japan intervention fears rise. Verbal warnings from Japan’s Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan have made traders more cautious about pushing the yen toward multi-decade lows. On the US side, cooling inflation and softer consumer spending are pulling forward expectations for earlier Fed interest-rate cuts. That is weighing on Treasury yields and narrowing the US–Japan rate differential that has supported USD/JPY for roughly two years. Key technical focus is the 159.50–160.00 resistance band, just below levels tied to Japan’s past large-scale intervention. The pair remains above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, but momentum has cooled (RSI off overbought). Options flows show rising hedging demand around 160.00, with traders buying out-of-the-money puts to guard against a fast, intervention-driven yen rally. Historically, Japan has intervened when depreciation is “excessive” and disorderly rather than at a single fixed price—examples include around 145 (Sep 2022), 149 (Oct 2022) and 160+ (Apr 2024, estimated $60B+). Going forward, USD/JPY volatility should hinge on Japan inflation, wage growth, BoJ Tankan versus US jobs and CPI. Any surprise that quickly reprices yield expectations could rapidly move the USD/JPY differential again. For crypto traders, the takeaway is that macro risk appetite may swing with USD/JPY volatility: intervention headlines and Fed-yield repricing can move global funding conditions in both directions, even if the direction is uncertain.

Twenty One Capital, founded by Jack Mallers, has become the second-largest listed BTC treasury holder with 43,514 BTC (over $2.9B at the time of writing). The ranking shift follows MARA’s March 2026 sell-off of 15,133 BTC (about $1.1B), pushing MARA down to third. Strategy remains the largest listed holder with 762,099 BTC. Twenty One Capital completed its NYSE listing (ticker XXI) after a business combination with SPAC Cantor Equity Partners. Its shares are also down more than 25% year-to-date in 2026. Analysts warn that “debt-funded” BTC treasury models can force low-price liquidation in downturns: leverage may help in bull markets, but debt service can trigger BTC sales at losses. The note contrasts this with Strategy’s “permanent digital credit” approach, using BTC as collateral to keep financing further acquisitions. Broader market stress—crypto weakness since Oct 2025 and falling equity prices—has encouraged “capitulation” BTC selling among some miners and treasury-linked firms, with expectations of further mNAV compression and tighter financing conditions.